Best College Football Week 3 Parlay – Expert Picks at +690 Odds
By Michael Schwartz in College Football
Published:
- My Week 3 college football parlay combines three Saturday matchups.
- A home underdog and two offensive mismatches shape these CFB parlay picks.
- Read below for my college football parlay picks, odds and analysis.
Week 3 brings a strong Saturday card, including three games with different paths to a parlay win. This ticket pairs an SEC home underdog with a high-total matchup and a heavy favorite on the road.
I have kept this college football parlay to three legs, with each selection coming from a different game. Below are the prices and the matchup reasons behind my Week 3 picks.
College Football Parlay Picks Week 3
Compare available markets at the best college football betting apps. Odds can change.
Combining +125, -114 and -115 produces decimal odds of approximately 7.897. That converts to about +690 in American odds, so a $100 stake would return approximately $789.66, including the original stake, if all three legs win.
CFB Parlay Pick #1: Ole Miss Moneyline
Ole Miss offers plenty of value in Oxford. The Rebels are listed as home underdogs, but that seems like a bit of a head scratcher even against a tough LSU side as their offense has produced 41.0 points per game and 454.0 yards per game through two games.
The matchup is not without danger. LSU has been even more productive, averaging 47.0 points and 586.0 yards per game. LSU also owns the stronger third-down rate, converting 57.6% of its attempts compared with 35.0% for Ole Miss.
Ole Miss has one important counter: finishing drives. The Rebels have converted all seven of their red-zone opportunities, a 100.0% red-zone conversion rate. Those seven scoring drives give the Rebels a way to keep pace, even though LSU has generated more yards.
At +125, the moneyline requires Ole Miss to be on point enough to justify the upset risk. Home-field advantage and reliable red-zone execution make the price attractive in a game featuring two capable offenses.
Week 3 Parlay Pick #2: SMU vs Louisville Over 58.5
The total is built around two offenses that have generated consistent production early in the season. Louisville is averaging 47.5 points and 552.0 yards per game, while SMU is averaging 41.5 points and 566.0 yards per game.
Louisville has been particularly clean in scoring territory. The Cardinals have converted all nine of their red-zone opportunities, while SMU has converted nine of 11 for an 81.8% rate. Both offenses have consistently turned scoring opportunities into points.
SMU also converts 54.2% of its third downs. Louisville is at 50.0%, giving both offenses a strong chance to extend drives and create more scoring chances. The main concern is that the number has little room for a slow start: 59 points are needed to cash the Over.
Still, the combined scoring average is 89.0 points per game. I like Over 58.5 with both offenses moving the chains and regularly reaching the red-zone.
College Football Parlay Pick #3: Georgia -24.5
Georgia is laying a large road spread, so the handicap depends on sustained dominance rather than simply winning. The Bulldogs have averaged 66.5 points and 576.5 yards per game, compared with 20.5 points and 360.0 yards for Arkansas.
Georgia has also converted 61.1% of its third downs, helping it maintain possession and keep pressure on the opposing defense. Its red-zone offense is 12-for-13, or 92.3%, while Arkansas is 7-for-8, or 87.5%. Those figures support the expectation that Georgia can turn drives into points when it reaches scoring range.
The turnover profile adds another reason to prefer the favorite. Georgia has a positive turnover differential of two, while Arkansas is at minus two through two games. A few extra possessions can be decisive when a team is asked to cover 24.5 points.
The risk is straightforward: large road favorites can lose value if the underdog stays competitive late or if the favorite removes starters after building a lead. Georgia’s scoring, yardage and third-down advantages nevertheless make -24.5 the preferred side for the third leg.
