Blue Jays vs Orioles Expert Picks & Props to Bet (Sep 22)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Blue Jays and Orioles meet tonight in Baltimore
- George Springer mashes against Chris Bassitt, bringing the over on his total bases prop in play
- See the Blue Jays vs Orioles expert picks and props to bet on Sep 22, below
The Toronto Blue Jays (77-79) and Baltimore Orioles (75-81) continue their series tonight, with a 6:35 PM ET first pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Following Baltimore’s narrow 4-3 victory yesterday, I am zeroing in on the MLB player props market. The Orioles flexed their power with home runs from Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso, while the Jays need an offensive spark to rebound.
With both lineups featuring dangerous sluggers facing vulnerable starting pitching, the betting value is screaming off the page. Let’s break down my Blue Jays vs Orioles expert picks and props to bet for Sep 22, below.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Expert Picks
I’m expecting this matchup to be a high-scoring affair, meaning there are no shortage of player prop bets to target. Here are my top three for this AL East showdown.
George Springer Over 1.5 Total Bases (+163 at Kalshi)
George Springer enters tonight in prime position to clear his total bases prop against Baltimore starter Chris Bassitt. Historically, Springer has had strong success against the veteran right-hander, going 9-for-26 (.346 AVG) with a double, two home runs, and a .615 slugging percentage per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats.
Bassitt has struggled to manage contact all season, yielding a 1.55 WHIP, a .291 opponent batting average, and a modest 6.68 K/9 strikeout rate that creates high-contact environments. Springer’s recent form also signals a major uptick from his .251 season baseline, as he has batted .297 with 1.1 hits per game over his last 10 contests.
With Bassitt allowing heavy traffic on the basepaths and Springer seeing the ball well at the top of Toronto’s order, +163 offers tremendous value for the Blue Jays slugger to log multiple bases. Grab the Kalshi promo code to tail this pick.
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+150 at Kalshi)
Gunnar Henderson draws a premier matchup tonight against right-hander Max Scherzer. Henderson has handled Scherzer with ease in their brief head-to-head history, batting .400 (4-for-10) with a double. More crucially, Scherzer has developed a glaring vulnerability against left-handed bats in 2026, allowing a .280 batting average and nine home runs across 175 at-bats (compared to just .181 against righties).
Scherzer’s inflated 6.07 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 1.73 HR/9 reflect these struggles, including a September 11 start where the Orioles tagged him for six earned runs on seven hits. Henderson enters tonight scorching hot, slashing .342/.419/.605 (1.024 OPS) with five extra-base hits over his last 10 games. Backing Baltimore’s premier slugger against a home run-prone Scherzer at +150 is one of the strongest plus-money spots on the board.
Toronto vs Baltimore Props to Bet
Guerrero Jr Under 1.5 Total Bases (-145 at Caesars Sportsbook)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. faces an uphill battle to find extra bases tonight. In 11 career regular-season at-bats against Bassitt, Guerrero has been virtually neutralized, managing just a single while striking out three times (.091 AVG / .091 SLG).
Although Guerrero has shown modest signs of life over his last 10 games (.286 AVG), his power output throughout 2026 has been uncharacteristically muted, slugging just .359 with 9 home runs across 529 at-bats. Bassitt’s dominant track record over Guerrero Jr. makes the Under 1.5 Total Bases a disciplined play.
Start betting with the Caesars Sportsbook promo code now to fade Guerrero tonight.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
