White Sox vs Royals Picks & Props to Bet on Sep 24
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The White Sox and Royals conclude their three-game series this afternoon
- Vinnie Pasquantino destroys righties, target him to record at least one RBI in this matchup
- Check out the White Sox vs Royals picks and props to bet on Sep 24, below
The Chicago White Sox (81-77) wrap up their series against the Kansas City Royals (68-90) this afternoon, with a 2:10 PM ET first pitch at Kauffman Stadium. Following a tight 5-4 Kansas City victory in the previous contest, I am diving back into the MLB player props markets for this clash.
With David Sandlin taking the mound for Chicago against Randy Dobnak, I see massive value on the MLB odds board. We have elite hitters like Bobby Witt Jr and Vinnie Pasquantino stepping into the box, offering fantastic situational angles. Let’s break down the White Sox vs Royals picks and props to bet on Sep 24, below.
White Sox vs Royals Picks
With Dobnak and Sandlin taking the mound, I have found a wide array of intriguing performance markets to exploit. Here are my three strongest White Sox vs Royals props to bet for this AL Central matchup.
Chicago vs Kansas City Props to Bet
Vinnie Pasquantino Ov 0.5 RBIs (+180 at BetMGM)
Matchup history against Sandlin is a true blank slate, as Pasquantino no history against the right-hander per the MLB batter vs pitcher stats. Without head-to-head stats, I look to the pitcher’s glaring platoon splits: he yields an .889 OPS and five home runs to left-handed hitters compared to a mere .509 OPS against righties. Pasquantino also carries an immaculate betting trend into Kauffman Stadium, having exceeded 0.5 RBIs in five straight regular-season games with a mean performance of 2.2 RBIs per game.
The first baseman is scorching hot, slugging .660 with five home runs and 17 RBIs over his last 15 games. This represents a significant surge above his 2026 season baseline, where he holds a .249 average, a .419 slugging percentage, and 60 RBIs overall. This lethal combination of Sandlin’s struggles against lefties and Pasquantino’s recent run-producing form supports the over. The single strongest reason to back this pick is Sandlin’s .544 slugging percentage allowed to left-handed bats.
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Bobby Witt Jr Un 1.5 Total Bases (-122 at Kalshi)
Witt Jr draws a tough small-sample matchup against Sandlin, walking once and striking out once in two career at-bats for a .000 average. The shortstop has struggled to produce extra-base hits lately, triggering a prominent betting trend: he has failed to exceed 1.5 total bases in nine of his last 11 games (a 9-2 under record), averaging just 1.18 total bases over that span. This cold spell extends broadly, as he has also stayed under 1.5 hits in 19 of his last 23 contests.
His recent form shows a notable dip; over his last 15 games, he is batting .276 and slugging just .362 with a single home run across 58 at-bats. This pales in comparison to his stellar 2026 season baseline of a .282 average, .443 slugging percentage, and 18 home runs. The strongest reason to back the under is Witt’s isolated lack of power lately combined with Sandlin’s .237 overall opponent batting average. The clearest risk is his underlying talent, as a 92.3 mph season exit velocity means he is always dangerous.
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Randy Dobnak Ov 3.5 Strikeouts (+108 at Polymarket)
Dobnak faces a lineup featuring mixed historical success against him. Andrew Benintendi has tagged him for three hits and two home runs in five career at-bats, while Miguel Vargas struck out in his lone plate appearance. Despite occasional damage, the right-hander carries a highly profitable strikeout trend into this clash, having exceeded 3.5 strikeouts in six of his last eight starts (a 6-2 over record). At home, he has cleared this threshold in three of his last four outings.
Over his last five starts, he has produced strikeout totals of one, four, three, six, and five, logging 27.1 combined innings. His season baseline sits at 73.0 innings pitched over 12 starts, carrying a 3.08 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a modest 5.92 K/9 rate. The strongest reason to back the over is Chicago’s lineup vulnerability; players like Colson Montgomery (29 strikeouts in his last 15 games) provide ample swing-and-miss targets. The clearest risk is Dobnak’s low season strikeout rate and a tendency for short outings, as he averages just 5.28 innings per start.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
