The 4 Best Player-Prop Picks for Dodgers/Brewers (Game 1)
By Juan Pablo Aravena in MLB Baseball
Published:
- Dodgers vs Brewers will play Game 1 of the 2026 NLCS on Sunday at American Family Field
- I’m targeting several Dodgers vs Brewers player props for this series opener, including Jackson Chourio and Andy Pages
- Read on to find my top Dodgers vs Brewers props in the 2026 MLB Playoffs
The Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) travel to face the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) in Game 1 of the 2026 National League Championship Series on October 11 at 8:00 PM ET at American Family Field. Both teams needed just four games in the NLDS: the Dodgers ousted the Atlanta Braves, while the Brewers took down the San Diego Padres.
The Game 1 pitching matchup is an absolute doozy with LAD’s Tarik Skubal (2024, 2025 AL Cy Young winner) facing MIL’s Jacob Misiorowski, who finished the regular season as the prohibitive -2500 favorite in the NL Cy Young odds. That’s led to a run total of just 6.0 in Game 1, with Milwaukee priced as a slight -112 moneyline favorite.
Below, I have set out my four favorite MLB props to target on Sunday.
Dodgers vs Brewers Player-Prop Picks
Jackson Chourio 1+ Hits (64¢ / -170 at Kalshi)
Jackson Chourio enters the NLCS as the linchpin of Milwaukee’s offense, recording at least one hit in 94 of his 127 regular-season appearances (74.0%) and carrying that exact rhythm straight into October. The 22-year-old phenom collected hits in three of the four NLDS games against San Diego and has tallied at least one knock in eight of his last nine games overall dating back to late September.
While facing Tarik Skubal is a daunting assignment for most hitters, Chourio has actually punished southpaws all year long, slashing a lethal .333/.404/.575 with 51 hits across 153 at-bats against left-handed pitching in 2026. Skubal’s wipeout arsenal typically overwhelms lefties, but Chourio’s quick-to-contact stroke from the right side gives him Milwaukee’s cleanest stylistic matchup in the box. With Chourio entrenched atop Milwaukee’s batting order and guaranteed four to five trips to the plate at American Family Field, where the Brewers won 55 games in the regular season, backing him to notch at least one hit offers one of the most reliable baselines on the entire card.
Jackson Chourio 1+ RBIs (28¢ / +257 at Kalshi)
Getting +257 on Jackson Chourio to drive in a run is tremendous value given his postseason form and middle-of-the-order run production. Chourio drove in six runs during the four-game NLDS against San Diego, recording at least one RBI in all four contests – including a multi-RBI Game 1 and Game 2. Expanding beyond October, Chourio has now driven in a run in his last eight starts, and he plated 75 runs in 127 games during the regular season.
While Tarik Skubal rarely surrenders crooked numbers, Chourio’s exceptional .333 average and .979 OPS against southpaws make him Milwaukee’s primary threat to capitalize if table-setters reach base. Once Skubal exits after 95 to 100 pitches, Chourio gets cracks at a Los Angeles bullpen that gave up traffic late in games throughout September. Getting +257 odds on a player who has knocked in a run in 100% of his 2026 playoff games is a steal.
Andy Pages 1+ Hits (52¢ / -108 at Kalshi)
Andy Pages has quietly become one of Dave Roberts’ most reliable postseason contributors, and clearing just a single total base at near-even money is an outstanding target.
Pages found his stride over the final two games of the NLDS against Atlanta, delivering back-to-back two-hit performances (4-for-7, 4 total bases) and driving in two runs in the Game 4 clincher. Across the regular season, Pages cleared 0.5 total bases in 93 of 134 games (69.4%), racking up 239 total bases and 51 extra-base hits.
While Jacob Misiorowski possesses upper-90s heat, the young righty has exhibited stark platoon splits: lefties hit just .114 against Misiorowski this season, but right-handed hitters posted a far more vulnerable .209 mark and produced 58 of the 96 hits he allowed. Pages hits righties well (.266 average, .774 OPS, 15 home runs) and makes loud barrel contact when hunting fastballs in the zone.
With Pages batting right in the middle of a loaded Los Angeles order that regularly creates RBI and extra-base opportunities, getting him at -108 to register one base is a strong edge.
William Contreras 1+ Hits (60¢ / -150 at Kalshi)
William Contreras has been an absolute model of consistency in the heart of Milwaukee’s lineup, recording a hit in 15 of his last 17 games (88.2%) dating back to September 11. That late-season heat carried seamlessly into the NLDS, where Contreras went 6-for-16 (.375) across four games against San Diego with two multi-hit games, highlighted by a three-hit masterpiece in Game 3.
For the season, Contreras notched 153 hits in 147 games (clearing a hit in 65.3% of his contests), and his splits show virtually zero drop-off against southpaws, where he batted .272 with a .355 on-base percentage in 158 at-bats. Contreras features an exceptional contact rate inside the zone, avoiding strikeouts and spraying line drives to all fields regardless of pitch velocity.
Against Tarik Skubal, who relies heavily on swing-and-miss stuff, Contreras’ compact two-strike approach gives Milwaukee its highest-probability bat to put a ball in play and find grass. At -150, backing Contreras to extend his torrid stretch with at least one knock is arguably the safest hitting prop on the board.
Juan Pablo is a sports writer and betting analyst with over 15 years' experience in the industry. He is an expert in European and Latin American soccer, as well as NBA, MLB, NHL, NFL, college sports, and EuroLeague. He was born and raised in Chile and is fluent in Spanish, English, and Portuguese.
