The Best SGP for Patriots vs Bears – Get a +475 Same-Game Parlay for TNF

• Patriots vs Bears will collide Thursday, October 22, to begin Week 7 of the 2026 NFL regular season
• My three-leg single-game parlay for Patriots vs Bears include legs on the ML and two Patriots vs Bears player props
• Read on to find my analysis for my three-leg Patriots vs Bears SGP

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The Bears host the New England Patriots at Soldier Field on October 22, 2026, at 8:15 PM ET; Chicago is a 3-point home favorite, and the game total is 50.5 points. Patriots quarterback Drake Maye appears on the injury report with a shoulder issue, though his expected availability keeps the underlying metrics stable for this matchup.

Below I have set out my favorite Patriots vs Bears same-game for TNF, which pairs the Chicago Bears moneyline with Luther Burden III over 56.5 receiving yards and Rhamondre Stevenson over 42.5 rushing yards for a listed +475.

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Same-Game Parlay

Odds as of Oct 22, 9 AM EDT at BetMGM and are subject to change.

Patriots vs Bears SGP Pick #1: Chicago Bears Moneyline

The Bears bring a balanced profile to Soldier Field, averaging 25.0 points per game (12th) while allowing just 19.8 points defensively (6th). Chicago’s success relies on strict game control, leading the league in both plays per game (73.2) and time of possession (36:01). This sustained offensive pacing resulted in three wins over their last five outings, scoring 31 points against the Atlanta Falcons, 23 against the New York Jets, and 27 against the Philadelphia Eagles.

While the Patriots took the most recent head-to-head meeting 19-3 in November 2024, New England currently profiles as a below-average scoring unit, generating 22.7 points per game (18th). Plus, Chicago’s defense yields only 90.5 rushing yards (8th) and 211.8 net passing yards (14th) per game. The Bears secure this leg by dominating the play count and monopolizing possession to mathematically restrict New England scoring opportunities.

Patriots vs Bears SGP Pick #2: Luther Burden III Over 56.5 Receiving Yards

Luther Burden III surpassed the 56.5 receiving yard mark in four of his last six outings. Operating as a focal point in the Bears passing attack, Burden III recently produced 95 yards on eight receptions against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 6. He also cleared this threshold against the New York Jets (63 yards), Philadelphia Eagles (61 yards), and Carolina Panthers (63 yards).

Matchup data supports this current usage rate. New England allows 141.7 receiving yards to opposing wideouts per game this season, ranking 13th defensively in that category. Burden III provides the chain-moving volume that fuels Chicago’s league-leading 36:01 time of possession, operating as the exact offensive mechanism required to cash the Bears moneyline.

Patriots vs Bears SGP Pick #3: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

Rhamondre Stevenson eclipsed 42.5 rushing yards in four of his last six outings. Operating as New England’s lead back, he produced 64 yards on 13 carries against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 5. He added statistical covers against the Seattle Seahawks (51 yards) in Week 1, Pittsburgh Steelers (43 yards) in Week 2 and Buffalo Bills (47 yards) in Week 4.

Stevenson possesses a proven track record against this opponent, generating 74 yards on 20 attempts during New England’s November 2024 win over the Bears. While Chicago currently yields just 78.5 rushing yards per game to running backs, Stevenson clears this number mathematically if given standard early-down volume.

These three legs construct a logical build rooted in Chicago controlling the clock. Burden III supplies the receiving volume to secure the Bears moneyline, while Stevenson’s rushing prop acts as the independent leg, mathematically structured to cash on early touches before a trailing script forces New England into obvious passing downs.