The 4 Best Props & Touchdown Picks for Dolphins vs Jets (Oct 25)
By Michael Harrison in NFL News
Published:
- The Miami Dolphins visit the New York Jets Sunday afternoon
- I’m very bullish on four NFL player props bets to wager on for this AFC East tilt
- Miami vs New York odds, player props and anytime touchdown scorer picks for Week 7
The Miami Dolphins (0-5) visit the New York Jets (2-4) at MetLife Stadium for a basement-dwelling AFC East clash Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET / 10 AM PT on CBS. Prop bettors have plenty to analyze in this divisional tilt with the Jets favored in the NFL odds.
Keep reading for my top four NFL props for this battle.
Best Player Prop Picks for Dolphins vs Jets
Malik Washington 40+ Receiving Yards (-108 / 52¢, Kalshi)
Malik Washington has established a remarkably stable floor, having exceeded 41.5 receiving yards in each of his last five games (52.4 receiving yards per game average), hauling in consecutive receiving totals of 53, 43, 56, 67, and 43 yards while recording at least three receptions in every single outing this season.
He faces a New York defense yielding 185.0 passing yards per contest this season and surrendering 7.4 yards per target to slot receivers.
Given his reliable target involvement and a 24.3% target share over his past three games, Washington is well-positioned to eclipse this moderate total.
Mason Taylor 21+ Receiving Yards (-108 / 52¢, Novig) – Claim SBD’s exclusive NOVIG PROMO CODE to get a bonus.
Mason Taylor continues operating as a steady underneath outlet, having exceeded 20.5 receiving yards in six of his last eight games (22.2 receiving yards per game average), clearing this number in his last two contests with 24 yards against Cleveland and 33 yards on four receptions against New England.
The Dolphins currently surrender 219.2 passing yards per game while allowing third-down conversions at a 51.7% rate, ranking 31st in the NFL by permitting 30 conversions on 58 opponent third-down attempts. That elevated conversion rate translates directly into extended drives and extra snaps for the New York offense.
Taylor only needs a couple of grabs to cash this ticket after running a route on 74.2% of New York’s dropbacks since Week 4, making this a smart play in the prop market.
Geno Smith 30+ Pass Attempts (-117 / 54¢, Kalshi)
Bettors can look at the passing volume for the New York quarterback to find another distinct edge. The Miami defense forces opponents to sustain long drives, yielding an average opposing offensive possession time of 3:21 per drive across 54 defensive series, the fifth-longest mark in the league. That elevated time on the field translates directly to more throwing opportunities.
Consequently, Geno Smith has exceeded 29.5 passing attempts in at least four of his last five games (30.6 passing attempts per game average), including heavy-volume outings of 41 throws against Green Bay, 37 against Detroit, and exactly 30 pass attempts in consecutive weeks against Cleveland and New England.
Backing his volume is a prudent decision, especially with primary running back Breece Hall sidelined by a quadriceps injury.
Ollie Gordon II Anytime Touchdown (+213 / 32¢, Kalshi)
Trading at 32 cents on Kalshi, the implied probability for Ollie Gordon II to find the end zone offers excellent value compared to traditional sportsbooks. He serves as a primary driver for the Miami offense, particularly when approaching the red zone, having scored a rushing touchdown in three consecutive games from Weeks 3 through 5.
Relying on his guaranteed touch share near the goal line makes this an appealing wager to round out the betting card, as Gordon paces Miami with 14 of the team’s 29 total red zone carries (48.3%) and has accounted for three of Miami’s five rushing scores inside the 20-yard line.
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.
