College Football Underdog Parlay: Week 9 Picks with Upset Potential (Oct. 31)

• Four live moneyline underdogs on the Week 9 college football board.
• A ranked Big 12 clash, a Big Ten road trip and an ACC visit to Tallahassee.
• Read below for the full underdog parlay and payout breakdown.

Week 9 is when the playoff picture starts to harden, and a few favorites are being priced like the result is already in. I don’t buy all of those numbers.

This college football underdog parlay goes after four moneylines where I think the favorite is getting too much credit. Every leg has to win outright, so each one needs a concrete reason behind it.

It’s a longshot ticket, so I’m keeping the stake small. Here are my college football parlay picks, with prices from BetMGM.

College Football Parlay Picks for Saturday

Odds as of October 30, 2026, from BetMGM. Compare prices on our college football betting apps page.

1. Arizona vs Texas Tech Pick: Arizona Moneyline

• Arizona Moneyline [+150 at BetMGM]

No. 22 Arizona walks into Lubbock at 6-1, and it isn’t sneaking up on anyone. The 39-3 win over Iowa State showed the blueprint, with the defense allowing just 221 yards and 52 on the ground.

My path against No. 13 Texas Tech is sustained drives and pressure. Arizona converts 54.7% of third downs, throws for 310.9 yards per game as a team and has Noah Fifita completing 74.2% of his passes. Add 23 sacks and a defense that has allowed touchdowns on only 9 of 18 red zone trips, and I’ll take +150.

2. Wisconsin vs Iowa Pick: Wisconsin Moneyline

• Wisconsin Moneyline [+110 at BetMGM]

Wisconsin is scoring 27 points per game after averaging 12.8 last year, and Colton Joseph is a big reason why. He has 365 rushing yards (52.1 per game), throws for 179.4 yards per game and has accounted for 15 touchdowns.

The defense closes games, too. Wisconsin has allowed 44 second-half points all season and just 16 since Week 2, with Sebastian Cheeks leading the front at 34 pressures.

Iowa still hasn’t settled on Hank Brown or Jeremy Hecklinski at quarterback. Against power conference opponents, Brown has produced 1.11 points per drive to Hecklinski’s 3.06, and Kamari Moulton is out for the season.

The risk is real. Iowa’s defense has forced 33 three-and-outs and the Hawkeyes have won four straight in this series. But Joseph’s legs give Wisconsin a way to extend drives, and +110 is close enough to a coin flip for me.

3. Ohio State vs USC Pick: USC Moneyline

• USC Moneyline [+195 at BetMGM]

No. 2 Ohio State comes west scoring 39.3 points per game, so this isn’t easy. USC needs a shootout, and Jayden Maiava can deliver one. USC averages 318.6 passing yards per game at home, and Maiava went 31-of-50 last week.

He’s also handled good defenses, averaging 271 passing yards in 12 career starts against defenses ranked in the national top 25 in points allowed. Julian Sayin’s status is still uncertain for Ohio State. I’m not betting on him sitting, but any doubt at quarterback makes +195 on the home team more appealing.

4. Clemson vs Florida State Pick: Clemson Moneyline

• Clemson Moneyline [+185 at BetMGM]

Clemson (4-3) visits Florida State (3-4) at 7 p.m. ET on ACC Network. The Tigers have the better record and have won their last four trips to Tallahassee.

The defense is my case. Clemson allows 21.3 points and 317 yards per game, while Florida State gives up 27.9 points and 434.9 yards. That should keep this close and hand Clemson chances against the weaker unit.

The offense is the worry. Clemson scores 21.4 points per game and converts just 31.7% of third downs, so it has to cash those chances. At +185, I’ll take that bet.

College Football Underdog Parlay Payout

Multiplying the four prices gives a decimal of about 44.14, or roughly +4314. A $10 ticket would return $441.39, a $431.39 profit.

That payout is calculated from the single-leg BetMGM prices, not a confirmed combined offer, so check the final number on your slip. You can also compare college football odds across books before locking it in.