Florida vs Georgia Player Props: Best Anytime Touchdown Picks Include Dwight Phillips Jr. (Oct. 31)
By Brady Trettenero in College Football
Published:
- Florida vs Georgia player props for one of the biggest college football rivalry games of the weekend
- Anytime touchdown odds, matchup stats and injury notes from Atlanta
- Read below for my best Florida vs Georgia anytime TD picks
Florida and Georgia meet in Atlanta for the first time on Saturday, with kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium set for 3:30 p.m. ET (12:30 p.m. PT) on ABC.
Georgia enters at 6-1 and Florida sits at 5-2, and both offenses have scored enough to make the anytime touchdown market worth a close look.
My Florida vs Georgia player props focus on two running backs to score anytime. Below, I break down their roles, the matchup and the prices I’d take.
Jump to: Florida vs Georgia Anytime TD Odds | Dwight Phillips Jr. TD Pick | Jadan Baugh TD Pick
Florida vs Georgia Anytime Touchdown Odds
Listed odds from BetMGM for the Oct. 31 matchup; American odds are rounded. Prices can move before kickoff, so check the current number on the College Football betting apps before you bet.
Georgia is scoring 43 points per game, and Florida is close behind at 39.6. The bigger gap is on defense.
Georgia allows just 91.4 rushing yards and 15.9 points per game, while Florida gives up 120.7 rushing yards and 28.3 points. That split shapes how I’m reading these Florida vs Georgia player props.
The latest Friday SEC availability report lists Georgia running back Chauncey Bowens and Florida’s Duke Clark as out. That leaves both backfields short a contributor. Florida quarterbacks Aaron Philo and Tramell Jones Jr. are probable; neither touchdown pick requires a quarterback rushing score.
Dwight Phillips Jr. Anytime Touchdown Pick
- Dwight Phillips Jr. anytime touchdown (-167 at BetMGM)
My first Florida vs Georgia touchdown pick is Phillips, whose recent work has earned him a place ahead of the more expensive Frazier on my card.
He ran 17 times for 120 yards against Alabama, then posted 10 carries for 68 yards and a touchdown plus two catches for 22 yards against Auburn.
He also scored through the air against Vanderbilt, catching five passes for 75 yards.
The concern with this Florida vs Georgia prop is the shared backfield. Frazier remains part of the rotation, so Bowens being out doesn’t make Phillips the only option near the goal line.
I’m backing the recent rushing and receiving involvement, not assuming every scoring chance belongs to him.
At -167, Phillips needs to score about 62.5% of the time to break even. I like the role and the matchup at that number, but this isn’t a lock. If the price drifts much past -190, I’d pass.
Jadan Baugh Anytime TD Prediction
- Jadan Baugh anytime touchdown (about -189 at BetMGM)
Baugh is my second Florida vs Georgia anytime touchdown pick because of his established workload. Through seven games, he has 135 carries for 763 yards and 13 rushing touchdowns, plus nine catches for 59 yards.
He has four multi-touchdown games this season, and the Gators come in off a 27-24 win over Texas.
This is the tougher matchup. Georgia allows just 91.4 rushing yards and 15.9 points per game, so a repeat of his bigger scoring days is far from assured.
His average of roughly 19 carries gives him multiple chances, but Florida still has to sustain drives and get him into scoring position.
At about -189, the break-even sits near 65%, a higher bar than Phillips faces against a softer run defense. That makes Baugh the riskier and more price-sensitive of my two anytime TD picks. If it climbs past -200, I’d pass.
How I’m Betting Florida vs Georgia Anytime TD Props
Frazier is the same price as Baugh, but with his quiet return against Auburn, I prefer Phillips at a cheaper number.
I’m also leaving Gunner Stockton and Talyn Taylor alone at plus money. Georgia has 13 different players with a touchdown catch, so its passing game is too spread out to force a Taylor play.
If you’re new to BetMGM, check the latest BetMGM promo code before placing these. For the side and total, read our final Florida vs Georgia prediction.
Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
