Patriots vs Dolphins Anytime TD Picks & Props to Target (Week 8)

• The Patriots face the Dolphins this afternoon in an AFC East grudge match
• I’m betting on a big game from Drake Maye as a sizeable road favorite
• See my Patriots vs Dolphins anytime TD picks and props to target for Week 8, below

The New England Patriots visit the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium this afternoon, for a 4:25 pm ET kickoff on CBS. My Patriots vs Dolphins prop picks hinge on projected volume and critical injury concerns: AJ Brown and TreVeyon Henderson are both out for New England, which will thrust the likes of Hunter Henry into an even bigger role than usual.

Below, I’ll break down this game from an NFL player props angle. Keep reading for my Patriots vs Dolphins anytime TD picks and props to target for Week 8.

Patriots vs Dolphins Props to Target

Ollie Gordon II Under 59.5 Rushing Yards (+100 at Novig)

Miami has given Ollie Gordon II substantial work in recent weeks, but the New England run defense remains one of the stingiest units in football, surrendering just 95.29 rushing yards per game through seven contests. Gordon has stayed under 59.5 rushing yards in 9 of his 11 career regular-season home games, averaging just 23.2 rushing yards per game at Hard Rock Stadium.

With the Patriots holding four of their seven opponents under 95 total team rushing yards, Gordon will face a disciplined defensive front that limits chunk yardage on early downs. Before making any wager today, check the prediction market apps to find the best price.

Drake Maye Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-108 at Novig)

Drake Maye continues to use his mobility as a vital part of the Patriots offensive attack, clearing 23.5 rushing yards in three straight games and averaging 36.3 rushing yards per game on the road across his career. The NFL MVP odds long shot has surpassed 23.5 rushing yards in four of his last five road appearances dating back to last season (47, 18, 54, and 26 yards on the road in 2026), consistently finding scrambling lanes against aggressive edge rushes.

Facing a Miami front that surrenders scrambles when defensive backs drop into coverage, Maye is well positioned to cross this mark again.

NE vs MIA Touchdowns Scorer Odds

Rhamondre Stevenson has the shortest anytime-touchdown price in the table at 53¢ (-113), followed by Ollie Gordon II at 42¢ (+137) and Hunter Henry at 38¢ (+163). Drake Maye is listed at 21¢ (+376), a longer price than those three and a higher-variance scoring option.

New England vs Miami Anytime TD Picks

Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+163 / 38¢ at Kalshi)

With New England’s perimeter receiving room thinned and AJ Brown missing four of the Patriots’ seven games this season, Hunter Henry has stepped up as Drake Maye’s premier red zone target. Henry has scored touchdowns in two of his last three games (Week 5 vs. Las Vegas and Week 6 vs. the New York Jets) and has recorded 5 red zone targets over his last four outings. Miami ranks in the lower half of the league in red zone touchdown prevention against opposing tight ends, creating an excellent opportunity for Henry in tight quarters.

Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+376 / 21¢ at Kalshi)

At nearly 4-to-1 odds, Maye offers substantial value to cross the goal line with his legs. Maye has already logged 2 rushing touchdowns in his last three games (Week 5 vs. Las Vegas and Week 7 at Chicago) and has totaled 3 rushing touchdowns over his last six games going back to late 2025. When the Patriots push inside the opponent’s 5-yard line, offensive coordinator designs regularly feature read options and designed quarterback power runs with Maye calling his own number.