NBA Player-Prop Picks Today – Best Prop Bets for Nov 4

• Tonight’s 13-game NBA slate is loaded with value in the player props market
• Monitor injury reports closely, as missing stars heavily alter offensive usage and open up unexpected betting angles
• Keep reading for my favorite NBA player-prop picks today, including the best prop bets for Nov 4

We’ve got a massive 13-game NBA slate tonight, which inevitably offers a bettors paradise for NBA player props. The board features plenty of exploitable spots for some of the brightest stars, including Luka Dončić, who is primed for another massive night against one-win Kings.

Navigating these environments is critical for building a winning card. Read on as I break down tonight’s matchups and reveal my favorite NBA player-prop picks today, including the best prop bets for Nov 4.

NBA Player-Prop Picks Today

Roughly half of the best-available odds tonight come from prediction market Novig. If you live in a region that permits predictions markets, claim SBD’s exclusive Novig promo code before locking in your picks.

Best NBA Props Bets for Nov. 4

Below is a deeper dive into the most-exploitable player props highlighted on tonight’s board.

Tyrese Maxey, 76ers
Over 23.5 total points — Novig +104
Tyrese Maxey has been a dominant scoring force for Philadelphia. Over his last 10 games, he is averaging an impressive 29.1 points per contest. That volume has remained consistently elite, ticking up slightly to 29.4 points across his last five outings. Given his massive 29.7% usage rate over the 10-game sample and heavy playing time (37.4 minutes per game), this 23.5-point line sits well below his recently established floor.

Karl-Anthony Towns, New York Knicks
Over 1.5 made threes — Kalshi +133
Karl-Anthony Towns continues to stretch the floor efficiently for New York. He averaged 1.9 made three-pointers per game over his last 10 contests, shooting 39.4% from beyond the arc. In his five most recent games, his volume from deep increased to 5.2 attempts per night, allowing him to maintain a steady average of 1.6 makes. Getting plus-money odds for him to hit just two triples presents strong value. Before making any wager tonight, scan the prediction market apps to find the best price.

Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets
Over 23.5 total points — Novig -122
Jamal Murray is currently on a blistering scoring tear. Through his last 10 games, the guard is putting up 27.3 points per night. He turned up the heat even further recently, pouring in 31.6 points per game over his last five matchups while jacking up 10.2 three-point attempts per contest in that shorter span. The data heavily supports the Over here.

Damian Lillard, Trail Blazers
Under 4.5 total assists — Novig +108
While known for his playmaking capabilities, Damian Lillard’s recent distribution numbers have trended securely beneath this total. Over his last 10 games for Portland, he is averaging exactly 4 assists per game. This number dropped even further to 3.6 assists across his five most recent outings. With the even-money payout, fading his passing production aligns perfectly with his recent statistical output.

Luka Dončić, Lakers
Over 7.5 total rebounds — Novig +117
NBA MVP odds contender Luka Dončić continues to impact the game across the board for Los Angeles, notably on the glass. He is pulling down 8 rebounds per game over his last 10 appearances. Over his last five games, that average bumped up to a staggering 8.5 rebounds. Earning plus-money odds on a rebounding line set below both his recent averages provides a very solid mathematical edge.

Davion Mitchell, Heat
Over 7.5 total assists — BetMGM +118
Davion Mitchell is operating as a premier facilitator for Miami right now. The point guard averages exactly 8 assists over his last 10 games. He maintained that identical 8 assist average across his five most recent contests. Given his incredibly consistent playmaking volume in the halfcourt offense, the +118 payout on BetMGM to clear the 7.5 mark is highly attractive.

Key NBA Injury Updates & Absences Impacting Tonight’s Betting Slate

Navigating the betting board requires a sharp eye on the injury report. Missing star players fundamentally shifts offensive usage, alters game totals, and pulls premium player props right off the board. Since no official lineup or minute redistribution data has been made available to pinpoint direct beneficiaries, I approach these specific environments with caution. Focus on the sheer impact of these major absences.

Here are the most significant injuries to monitor before locking in your wagers tonight:

• Jayson Tatum, Celtics (Out – Rest): Boston will be without its franchise cornerstone for tonight’s home tilt against the Bucks due to rest. This removes one of the most popular points and rebounds prop options from the board entirely and creates unpredictability in the overall scoring output.
• Tyrese Haliburton, Pacers (Out – Hamstring): The offensive engine for Indiana will sit out against the Grizzlies with a hamstring injury. Haliburton’s absence alters the playmaking dynamics. Bettors hoping to target his typically high assist totals must look elsewhere.
• Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves (Out – Knee): Sidelined with a knee injury, Edwards leaves a massive scoring void for Minnesota as they head to Houston. Any offensive props tied to Edwards are off the board, significantly lowering the ceiling of the standard scoring attack.
• Chet Holmgren & Jalen Williams, Oklahoma City Thunder (Out – Knee/Ankle): Oklahoma City is dealing with devastating blows to its rotation hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers. Both Holmgren (knee) and Williams (ankle/fibula) are out long-term. This dual absence strips the Thunder of critical interior defense and perimeter scoring, making team totals harder to project.
• Ja Morant, Trail Blazers (Out – Hamstring): The explosive point guard for Portland is out with a strained hamstring for a road matchup against the Suns. With Morant unavailable, bettors lose access to his dynamic scoring and assist markets.
• Kawhi Leonard, Toronto Raptors (Out – Knee): Toronto will take the floor against the Denver Nuggets without Leonard, who is sidelined with a knee issue. His absence leaves a heavy usage gap on the wing and forces a pivot away from his highly targeted two-way prop markets.
• Brandon Ingram & Bradley Beal, LA Clippers (Out – Heel/Knee): The Clippers are severely depleted for their home game against the Heat. With both Ingram (partially torn Achilles/heel) and Beal (knee) unavailable, Los Angeles loses a massive chunk of its projected shot attempts. Expect heavy volatility in their offensive markets tonight.