14 NFL Team Trends to Know Before Betting Week 9: Why the Broncos’ Perfect ATS Record is a Bettor’s Dream
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Published:
- The Week 9 NFL slate continues on Sunday and I’ve got key betting trends for every game
- Denver is perfect against the spread this season as a favorite
- Keep reading for the 14 NFL team trends to know before betting Week 9, below
As the NFL calendar flips to November, the margin for error on the gridiron—and at the sportsbooks—continues to shrink.
This week’s slate offers a little bit of everything for football bettors. The action kicks off with an international flair in Madrid for a 9:30 a.m. ET start. Back stateside, the Sunday schedule features several heavyweight tilts, wrapping up with an intriguing Monday night battle at 8:15 p.m. ET.
While headline matchups draw the majority of public money, successful betting requires looking beneath the surface. We are cutting through the noise to present the most powerful, data-driven team trends you need before placing your wagers. Let’s dive into the numbers and uncover the best NFL odds to build your bankroll.
Keep reading for the 14 NFL team trends you need to know before betting Week 9, including why Denver’s perfect ATS record is likely to continue.
Week 9 NFL Team Trends
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
The Bengals are 5-1 to the Over as a favorite this season.
- Trend Record: 5-1 Over
- Situation: Bengals as a favorite
The Bengals boast a high-scoring offense averaging a potent 29.1 PPG. They are fueled by an elite 52.9% success rate on third down conversions. When favored, they dictate the pace of the game.
This efficiency forces opposing defensive schemes to adjust to their aggressive air raid offense. These matchups consistently turn into higher-scoring affairs that eclipse the total against outmatched opponents.
Back the Over 52.5 at BetMGM before this line moves.
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts
The Cowboys have hit the Over in 8 of their last 10 games.
The Cowboys’ offense has been highly productive, averaging 26.6 PPG over their last 10 outings. However, their defense remains generous, surrendering 27 PPG during that same stretch.
This combination of a high-scoring attack and a leaky defense makes them a prime candidate for shootouts. They consistently force opponents into a frantic, high-scoring field position battle.
Grab the Over 51.5 at BetMGM, and claim the BetMGM promo code for a bonus to use on this game.
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders
The Commanders are 2-7-1 straight up at home over their last 10 games.
- Trend Record: 2-7-1 SU
- Situation: Commanders at home
The Commanders have struggled mightily to defend their home turf. They managed just two wins in their last 10 attempts at Northwest Stadium.
Meanwhile, the Rams bring a more potent offense to the table, averaging 24.2 PPG compared to 22.1 PPG for the hosts. The Super Bowl 61 odds contenders excel at moving the chains with a 42.7% success rate, utilizing a steady ground and pound approach to wear down the opposition.
Lay the juice with the Rams -227 on the moneyline at bet365.
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints
The Browns are 2-11 straight up on the road after a loss over their last 13 games.
- Trend Record: 2-11 SU
- Situation: Browns on the road after a loss
The Browns have endured a miserable time bouncing back in hostile environments. Their offense continues to stall out, averaging just 17.1 PPG overall.
Their severe lack of red zone efficiency (42.9%) makes it difficult to keep pace. They now face a Saints unit that converts a blistering 77.3% of their red zone trips into touchdowns, capitalizing on great pocket presence from their quarterback.
Take the Saints -172 on the moneyline at theScore Bet.
New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Jets are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
- Trend Record: 3-1 ATS
- Situation: Jets as an underdog
Despite their overall struggles, the Jets have shown an ability to keep games closer than oddsmakers expect when catching points. This makes studying NFL ATS records vital for uncovering hidden value.
The Chiefs boast a superior offense scoring 23.9 PPG. However, the visitors boast a positive turnover differential (+1) and a knack for grinding out long possessions. This makes a double-digit spread highly appealing.
Grab the Jets +10 at bet365, and use the bet365 bonus code to lock in this line.
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins are 2-8 straight up over their last 10 games.
- Trend Record: 2-8 SU
- Situation: Dolphins last 10 games
The Dolphins are in a massive tailspin. They manage only 16.4 PPG while struggling with offensive consistency and failing to establish reliable defensive schemes all season.
They now host a juggernaut Lions offense that racks up 29 PPG. The visitors convert 66.7% of their red zone opportunities, making this a severe mismatch at Hard Rock Stadium.
Lay the points with the Lions -7 at BetMGM.
Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers
The Broncos are a perfect 4-0 ATS as a favorite this season.
- Trend Record: 4-0 ATS
- Situation: Broncos as a favorite
The Broncos know exactly how to take care of business against inferior opponents. They maintain a spotless against-the-spread record when laying points.
While the Panthers feature a respectable offense scoring 25.4 PPG, the visitors own a +4 turnover differential. This gives them the extra possessions needed to cover this short road number and dominate the field position battle.
Back the Broncos -2.5 at theScore Bet, and grab theScore Bet promo code to tail this pick.
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are 1-4 ATS as an underdog this season.
- Trend Record: 1-4 ATS
- Situation: Eagles as an underdog
The Eagles struggle to rise to the occasion when oddsmakers doubt them. They cover just 20% of the time as an underdog, largely due to poor third down conversions.
The Giants bring a superior offense scoring 22.7 PPG into this divisional matchup, compared to just 17.1 PPG for the hosts. The visitors should generate enough scoring drives to cover a short road number.
Lay the points with the Giants -3 at BetMGM.
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers have hit the Under in 80% of their games as an underdog this season.
- Trend Record: 4-1 Under
- Situation: Chargers as an underdog
The Chargers simply do not score enough to push games over the total when outmatched. They average a paltry 14.1 PPG with severe red zone struggles, converting just 47.1% of their inside-the-20 trips.
The Texans feature a solid offense averaging 23.3 PPG. However, the inability of the hosts to contribute to the scoreboard makes the Under the smartest angle to pursue.
Take the Under 40.5 at bet365.
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
The Raiders are 6-1 to the Over as an underdog this season.
- Trend Record: 6-1 Over
- Situation: Raiders as an underdog
The Raiders play a brand of football perfectly suited for high totals when trailing or outmatched. They boast a high-scoring offense that averages 27.1 PPG.
They match up against a potent 49ers team scoring 27.9 PPG that is lethal near the goal line (86.4%). Exceptional pocket presence from Kirk Cousins and NFL MVP odds candidate Brock Purdy sets the stage for a late-afternoon shootout.
Back the Over 52 at BetMGM.
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
The Packers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
- Trend Record: 3-1 ATS
- Situation: Packers as an underdog
The Packers relish the underdog role, cashing tickets at a 75% rate when catching points. They routinely disrupt opposing offensive gameplans and rely on a ground and pound mentality.
The Patriots feature a turnover-prone offense (-7 differential) that averages 22.8 PPG. The visitors hold a +4 differential and should keep this within a field goal—or potentially win outright.
Take the Packers +3 at theScore Bet.
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
The Cardinals are 3-14 straight up over their last 17 games.
- Trend Record: 3-14 SU
- Situation: Cardinals last 17 games
The Cardinals remain one of the worst teams in the league over the past season and a half, consistently finding ways to lose. They continually lose the all-important field position battle.
The Seahawks own the statistical advantage across the board. They feature a slightly better offense (22.6 PPG vs. 21.9 PPG) and the undeniable home-field edge at Lumen Field.
Use the Seahawks -417 ML as a safe parlay piece at BetMGM.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears
The Bears are 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season.
- Trend Record: 4-2 ATS
- Situation: Bears as a favorite
The Bears are incredibly reliable when favored. They ride a high-scoring offense (26.8 PPG) and elite third down conversions (44.3%) to consistent covers at Soldier Field.
The Buccaneers struggle on the road recently, going 2-5 SU in their last seven away games. They lack the overall firepower (22 PPG) to keep up in primetime.
Lay the points with the Bears -6 at bet365.
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings are 3-0 to the Under as an underdog this season.
- Trend Record: 0-3 Under
- Situation: Vikings as an underdog
The Vikings’ offense often grinds to a halt when facing superior competition. They average just 19.4 PPG overall and rely on a methodical pace.
While the Bills boast an explosive air raid offense scoring 33 PPG, the hosts lean on a positive turnover differential (+6). This tends to suppress overall scoring in the games where they catch points.
Take the Under 44.5 at theScore Bet.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
