NBA Player Prop Picks Today – Best Prop Bets for Nov 6

• Tonight’s NBA slate is loaded with player props value
• Tyrese Maxey is operating at an elite level and is a great bet to exceed his points prop
• Keep reading for my favorite NBA player prop picks today, including the best prop bets for all 9 games

Tonight’s NBA slate presents high-leverage opportunities in the NBA player props markets. When mapping out the board, exploiting defensive vulnerabilities dictates where I allocate my bankroll. The Dallas Mavericks operate against a Utah Jazz defense struggling to string together stops in the halfcourt. Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers project well against a generous Cleveland Cavaliers interior.

Conversely, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder face a stout Memphis Grizzlies unit that excels at limiting transition scoring. Damian Lillard and the Portland Trail Blazers get a pace-up spot against a Los Angeles Lakers roster prone to surrendering fast-break points.

By filtering these matchups through advanced metrics, I pinpoint the most profitable betting opportunities. Keep reading for my favorite NBA player prop picks today, including the best props for all 9 games.

NBA Player Prop Picks Today

With the matchups mapped out and the defensive vulnerabilities identified, it is time to turn my attention to the betting board. Scouring the lines across major sportsbooks reveals several exploitable mismatches. I have isolated the single best player prop value for every team with available markets tonight.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Nov 6

Comparing tonight’s betting board against recent performance data confirms the mathematical edge of these plays. Here is how my targeted props stack up against recent five-game and 10-game sample sizes.

Tyrese Maxey, Over 24.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -115
Tyrese Maxey is playing like an NBA MVP odds candidate and operates as a high-usage engine for the 76ers. Over his last five games, he averages 27.4 points per contest. Expanding the view to his last 10 games, he sits at exactly 28.0 points per game. This heavy volume easily supports the Over on a 24.5 line.

Evan Mobley, Over 17.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -112
The Cavaliers forward provides steady offensive production. Across both his recent five-game stretch and his expanded 10-game window, Evan Mobley averages exactly 18.8 points per outing. Operating comfortably above his 17.5-point prop line, he projects well to clear this threshold.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Under 32.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -130
While Shai Gilgeous-Alexander commands significant volume for the NBA Championship odds co-favorite Thunder, his current production trends under this lofty total. He averages 31.6 points over his last five games and drops to 30.1 points per game over his last 10. The Under is a mathematically supported choice.

Cameron Boozer, Over 9.5 total rebounds (incl. overtime) — bet365 +112
Cameron Boozer’s rebounding for the Grizzlies trends upward over the larger sample. While he pulls down 8.6 rebounds per game over his last five outings, the NBA ROY odds favorite’s broader 10-game sample reveals an average of 9.8 rebounds per game. This justifies the plus-money value on the Over.

Scottie Barnes, Under 5.5 total assists (incl. overtime) — Caesars Sportsbook -103
Scottie Barnes averages 5.6 assists over his last five games for the Raptors, narrowly threatening this line. However, his larger 10-game sample sits at a safer 5.1 assists per contest. Taking the Under relies on his slightly lower extended average in the halfcourt offense.

Tyler Herro, Over 19.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -102
Tyler Herro’s scoring output for the Bucks provides a strong statistical foundation. He produces 21.4 points per game over his last five matchups and an even better 22.2 points per game over his last 10. Both metrics sit safely above the 19.5-point mark. Grab the bet365 promo code to get a bonus to use on this game.

Lauri Markkanen, Under 21.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -120
Lauri Markkanen falls well off this scoring pace for the Jazz. Over his last 10 games, he averages 17.1 points per game. That number dips to just 14.5 points per contest in his recent five-game stretch, giving bettors plenty of cushion on the Under.

Kyrie Irving, Over 21.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -102
Kyrie Irving’s offensive capabilities for the Mavericks remain sharp. He currently puts up 24.2 points per game across his last four appearances. His 10-game metric remains strong at 22.7 points per game, making the Over a highly logical position.

Damian Lillard, Under 21.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -130
Damian Lillard’s recent scoring for the Trail Blazers fails to reach this 21.5-point threshold. He averages 20.1 points per game over his last 10 contests. His latest five-game sample points to an even lower 19.4 points per game, aligning perfectly with an Under bet.

Austin Reaves, Over 21.5 total points (incl. overtime) — bet365 -106
Austin Reaves shows he can shoulder the scoring load for the Lakers. He boasts a robust 23.3 points per game average over his last 10 games. While his last five games sit slightly below the line at 20.8 points, his broader sample points toward clearing the Over.

Tonight’s NBA Injury Report: Critical Lineup Updates to Monitor

Navigating the injury report is mandatory before locking in any wagers. Missing stars drastically alter usage rates, shot distributions, and rebounding metrics. Because official minutes redistributions remain unconfirmed, I avoid blindly backing secondary players. Instead, I focus on how these absences degrade overall team efficiency.

Here are the critical injuries impacting tonight’s betting landscape:

• Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves (Knee — Out): Edwards requires arthroscopic right knee surgery and will miss up to two months. His absence removes a massive volume of isolation scoring and playmaking from the Timberwolves rotation.
• Chet Holmgren & Jalen Williams, Oklahoma City Thunder (Knee & Ankle — Out): Holmgren will miss 8-10 weeks with a patellar tendon tear. Williams suffered a dislocated left ankle and fractured fibula requiring surgery. The Thunder lose elite rim protection and secondary shot creation.
• Ja Morant, Portland Trail Blazers (Hamstring — Out): Morant will sit for at least four weeks with a Grade 2 strained hamstring. Removing his downhill penetration significantly lowers the Trail Blazers offensive ceiling against the Lakers.
• Jaren Jackson Jr & Jusuf Nurkić, Utah Jazz (Knee & Foot — Out): Jackson Jr will miss 6-8 weeks with a torn MCL. Nurkić will sit for at least four weeks with a plantar plate tear. This decimates the Jazz frontcourt, making Mavericks rebounding props highly attractive.
• Kawhi Leonard, Toronto Raptors (Knee — Out): Leonard remains sidelined with left knee swelling. His absence removes a premier two-way wing from the Raptors game plan against the Bucks.