Islanders vs Sharks Prediction, Puck Line & Late NHL Picks (Nov. 9)

• The Islanders are road favorites on the Islanders vs Sharks odds board for November 9
• San Jose has lost five straight and is 1-5 across its last six home games
• See my Islanders vs Sharks predictions, props and betting picks below

The New York Islanders visit SAP Center Monday night to face a San Jose Sharks team that has dropped five in a row. Puck drop is set for 7 PM PT / 10 PM ET.

New York sits fifth in the Metropolitan Division, and San Jose is sixth in the Pacific in the early NHL playoff picture. The Islanders have also won the last five meetings between these clubs. My Islanders vs Sharks predictions and picks are below.

Islanders vs Sharks Predictions

The Sharks are 1-5 over their last six home games, and they’re also 1-5 against sub-.500 opponents lately. Add New York’s five straight wins in this series, and my Islanders vs Sharks prediction is on the visitors at -133. That price carries about a 57.1% implied chance.

The Islanders allow 2.69 goals per game, while San Jose gives up 3.32. New York also wins 56.1% of its faceoffs and owns a 49.7% Corsi For rate, compared to 46.4% for the Sharks.

Special teams are San Jose’s one clear edge. The Sharks run a 21.4% power play against New York’s 14.6% unit, but the Islanders kill penalties at 85.7%, while San Jose sits at 76.5%.

My second pick is Over 6.5 goals (47¢ on Kalshi). Islanders games have gone over in five of their last six. That gives me a second way to play this game if San Jose’s power play helps push the score past six.

Islanders vs Sharks Team Stats Comparison

Islanders vs Sharks Odds

Kalshi prices as of Sunday evening. Compare the NHL odds before puck drop.

The difference between New York to win at 57¢ and the Islanders puck line at 33¢ matters here. A one-goal Islanders victory cashes the moneyline and loses the -1.5 bet. I want the straight win.

The Over needs seven goals. A 4-2 final would win my Islanders moneyline and lose my total, even though New York would have won comfortably. I like both angles individually.

Islanders vs Sharks Props

• Pick: Macklin Celebrini Over 3.5 shots on goal (51.5¢ on Novig)

I’m going over on Celebrini’s shots on goal. The third-year center has topped 3.5 shots in seven of his last eight games after a loss, averaging 5.0 shots on goal in that span. He’s also cleared this line in five of his last six against losing teams. Novig’s Yes contract pays out if he records four or more shots.

• Prop target: Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 points

Wrapping up my Islanders vs Sharks props, I’m turning to the New York blue line. Schaefer has a point in eight straight games after a loss, averaging 1.25 points per game. He also has seven points in his last eight against bottom-10 defenses. At -218, about a 68.6% implied chance, he fits best as a parlay leg.

Islanders vs Sharks Projected Starting Goalies

Ilya Sorokin and Alex Nedeljkovic are the matchup to watch if they start. Neither goalie had been confirmed for Monday as of yet.

Ilya Sorokin vs Alex Nedeljkovic Stats

Sorokin’s .910 save percentage and 2.64 GAA give New York the edge in net. Nedeljkovic is allowing more than three goals per game, which backs both the Islanders moneyline and the Over.

What to Watch Before Islanders vs Sharks Puck Drop

The Islanders listed Mathew Barzal and Ryan Pulock among their injured players against New Jersey on Saturday. Bo Horvat centered Emil Heineman and Kyle Palmieri in that lineup, and Matthew Schaefer was paired with Logan Stanley.

For the Sharks, Celebrini is the player who can change both my moneyline bet and the total in one shift. His shot volume is why I prefer backing him to put four on net over asking San Jose to win outright. Puck drop is at 7 PM PT / 10 PM ET at SAP Center.