Top Player-Prop Picks for Pelicans vs Warriors on Nov 9
By Michael Harrison in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The 4-6 Pelicans take on the 7-3 Warriors Monday night in San Francisco
- I dive into NBA player props picks for three wagers for tonight’s tilt, including Steph Curry and Zion Williamson
- Keep reading for Pelicans vs Warriors betting odds and props
The Golden State Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans Monday night in a Western Conference clash that promises plenty of offensive fireworks. Tip-off is set for 7 PM PT / 10 PM ET at the Chase Center with national television coverage provided by NBA TV.
I always look for specific betting angles when high-usage stars clash, and tonight’s affair offers a fantastic canvas for prop bettors. According to BetMGM, Golden State enters as a heavy 9.5-point home favorite in a game featuring a massive 231.5-point total. Let’s dive into my three favorite player prop picks for tonight’s tilt.
Pelicans vs Warriors Player Prop Picks
Steph Curry 29+ Points (-108, Novig) – Claim SBD’s exclusive NOVIG PROMO CODE today
With the Warriors operating as the home favorite in a high-total track meet, the game script clearly favors their premier perimeter sniper. I love attacking the board when I spot a mispriced number on an elite scorer.
When hunting for NBA player points props, identifying standalone value is my top priority. Novig is currently hanging a very manageable -108 on the over, giving me an excellent player to deploy tonight.
Curry is currently averaging 31.2 points per game on the season. At home, that marker jumps to 31.8 points in 31.4 minutes, fueled by a massive 33.9% usage rate. In clutch time, he dominates with 6.0 points on average, accounting for 52.2% of Golden State’s late-game scoring. This elite volume makes him a highly reliable option to exceed the posted number, even when forced into a slow halfcourt offense.
The Pelicans struggle immensely on defense, allowing 120.8 opponent points per game while posting a terrible 113.1 defensive rating. New Orleans also allows a staggering 47.9% opponent field goal percentage and gives up 32.3 opponent free throw attempts per contest.
Zion Williamson 20+ Points (-113, Kalshi)
Evaluating NBA player props requires identifying where offensive volume meets defensive vulnerability, and this specific combined market offers a fantastic return. The game flow dictates that the visiting underdogs will need their premier interior threat to match Golden State’s scoring output.
Kalshi has 20+ points at -113, which I consider a bargain for a player likely to crash the glass and rack up second-chance points.
Williamson is averaging 21.0 PPG this season. Over four away games, his production actually increases to 22.5 points across 33.1 minutes of action. Boasting a 21.5% away usage rate and a highly efficient 74.2% true shooting percentage on the road, he remains the undeniable focal point of the New Orleans attack.
Golden State surrenders 113.6 points per game and operates with a 109.4 defensive rating. Additionally, the defense allows 27.4 opponent assists per game, suggesting the visiting squad will find open lanes and easy scoring opportunities inside.
Dejounte Murray 6+ Assists (+122, Kalshi)
In a matchup requiring New Orleans to keep pace offensively and get up and down the court quickly, backing their primary facilitator brings notable upside. Kalshi offers an enticing plus-money return at +122 (45¢) for the over on this assist prop.
When I search through NBA player assist props, grabbing premium value on a high-usage guard who will play heavy minutes is an incredibly sharp strategy that I rely on heavily.
Throughout the campaign, Murray averages exactly 5.0 assists. While that falls just under the posted line, his heavy workload of 33.8 minutes per game and a strong 1.94 assist-to-turnover ratio provide a tremendously high floor.
Golden State’s defensive profile actually encourages opposing playmaking, as they give up 27.4 opponent assists per contest. The defense allows opponents to shoot 46.3% from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc.
If Murray’s teammates can knock down shots and capitalize on these favorable shooting metrics against a defense with a 109.4 rating, he should secure the necessary assists to hit this plus-money ticket on the road.
Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.