2026 NFL Trade Deadline Odds & Next Team Predictions: Jonathan Taylor, Garrett Wilson & More

• Indianapolis leads Jonathan Taylor’s next team odds ahead of Tuesday’s NFL trade deadline
• The Rams could use a receiver. Josh Downs and Brian Thomas Jr. are two names to watch
• See below for the leading destinations for each player and my trade deadline predictions

On prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, fans can trade on which team a player will join or whether he’ll stay put. Those prices give us the 2026 NFL next team odds. For Jonathan Taylor, traders give Indianapolis about a one-in-three chance, the highest of any team.

The NFL trade deadline is Tuesday, November 10 at 4 p.m. ET. I’m watching the Rams in particular: they need a receiver, and both Josh Downs and Brian Thomas Jr. could help.

Jump to: Jonathan Taylor | Josh Downs | Brian Thomas Jr. | Garrett Wilson | Derrick Henry | Daniel Jones | Khalil Mack | Tyreek Hill

NFL Trade Deadline Next Team Odds: Market Favorites

Market estimates as of 8:07 p.m. ET on Nov. 9. Kalshi prices as of 8:06 p.m. ET; Polymarket prices as of 8:09 p.m. ET. Odds are subject to change.

The NFL deadline is Tuesday, but Kalshi’s markets give players through Nov. 30 to change teams. Staying put counts. Tyreek Hill’s signing market runs through Dec. 31. For more on how the markets work, see our guide to prediction market apps.

Jonathan Taylor Next Team Odds and Prediction

Indianapolis leads the Jonathan Taylor next team odds at 32¢ to buy. New England is the top outside team by implied chance, narrowly ahead of the Giants; a Patriots contract costs 21¢. Rhamondre Stevenson hurt his knee Sunday and TreVeyon Henderson missed the Packers game, so the Patriots have a reason to call. There’s no reported New England offer.

The Giants made the best documented run. Jay Glazer reported that New York pulled its offer of a second- and fifth-round pick. On Monday’s Pat McAfee Show, Adam Schefter said an unnamed player was in the package, too. If Indianapolis turned that down, I’d take the Colts over Minnesota or New England unless a buyer sweetens its bid. The offseason gives Indy another chance to deal.

Josh Downs Next Team Odds and Prediction

Los Angeles has overtaken Kansas City in Josh Downs’ next team odds. The Rams also have the more urgent need. Puka Nacua caught 14 of 19 targets for 150 yards at Washington on Sunday. Sean McVay said Monday that Nacua has knee sprains and turf toe and is likely headed to injured reserve. That would cost him at least four games. Davante Adams is already on IR with a hamstring injury.

In the ESPN segment above, taped before McVay’s injury update, Adam Schefter said the Colts had an offer of at least a fourth-round pick for Downs. He didn’t name the bidder. Downs has requested a trade and has 33 catches for 354 yards this season. He’d give Matthew Stafford an experienced slot receiver.

I lean Rams, but this is my least confident pick. McVay said the team would explore its options, and no Rams offer for Downs has been confirmed.

Brian Thomas Jr. Next Team Odds and Prediction

Jacksonville has edged ahead of San Francisco in Brian Thomas Jr.’s next team odds, 43% to 41%, with the Rams third. Thomas could give Stafford an outside target. Kansas City has also been linked to Thomas, and Xavier Worthy left Sunday’s game with a hamstring injury. No offer from either the Rams or Chiefs has been confirmed.

Jacksonville agreed Monday to acquire safety Jessie Bates III and defensive tackle Jordan Davis, both pending physicals. Those moves suggest the Jaguars are building for a playoff run. Thomas played 19 offensive snaps without a target Thursday at Baltimore, which gives the Jaguars a reason to listen. Schefter said Monday they still plan to keep him unless a strong offer changes their minds.

Garrett Wilson Next Team Odds and Prediction

The market gives the Jets a 93% chance to keep Garrett Wilson. That fits Schefter’s reporting that New York has turned away interest. Wilson has also said he wants to stay.

A team needing a receiver can negotiate with Indianapolis for Downs. To get Wilson, it first has to persuade the Jets to put him on the market. I see little reason to pay 93¢ for that small remaining return, even though New York is my pick.

Derrick Henry Next Team Odds and Prediction

Baltimore is the favorite in Derrick Henry’s next team odds at 87¢ to buy. On Monday, Schefter said multiple teams called about Henry and every one had been turned away. The Giants did ask about a Ravens running back, but their inquiry was about Justice Hill.

Henry is signed through 2027. Baltimore traded for Jacoby Brissett while Lamar Jackson was hurt, a move that fits a team trying to stay in the playoff race. I’d expect the Ravens to keep their lead back. You can follow how contenders are priced in our Super Bowl odds tracker.

Daniel Jones Next Team Odds and Prediction

Sunday’s NFL Network GameDay Kickoff report identified Baltimore as a team that had asked about Jones before acquiring Brissett. Minnesota’s history with Jones made it another plausible fit. That explains why the Vikings appear on his next team board.

Tom Pelissero later reported that Indianapolis had already told Jones on Saturday he would stay. The Colts listened to calls, but their answer to their quarterback carries more weight than an inquiry. Indianapolis costs 93¢ to buy.

Khalil Mack Next Team Odds and Prediction

An expiring contract makes Mack an obvious call for teams looking for a pass rusher. The Chargers’ response makes a deal much harder. Jim Harbaugh said he wants Mack in Los Angeles and Mack wants to stay. NFL Network reported the Chargers had turned away inquiries.

San Francisco is the next team to watch in Mack’s market. I favor the Chargers because of what Harbaugh and the team have said. A contender would have to change their minds before Tuesday.

Tyreek Hill Next Team Odds and Prediction

Kansas City led the named teams on Polymarket at 26¢ to buy. Hill is a free agent, so the Chiefs can revisit him after Tuesday without surrendering a pick. Michael Silver reported in October that he expected Kansas City to have interest once Hill was healthy enough to play.

The medical question matters more than the trade clock. Hill’s camp targeted a possible November return from his knee injury, but there’s no confirmed clearance or offer. I’d pick a reunion with Patrick Mahomes if Hill signs this year. This market also counts a practice-squad signing and settles to Other if he hasn’t joined a team by Dec. 31.