UEFA Nations League Picks & Best Bets Today (Nov 12)
By Miguel Alvim in Soccer News
Published:
- UEFA Nations League picks: Belgium (-115), France (-104), and Spain (-455) moneyline predictions
- England vs Croatia Over 3.5 goals (+127) and Albania vs Finland Under 2.5 goals (-163)
- Best Nations League bets and odds for all eight Matchday 5 fixtures on Nov. 12
Matchday 5 of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League brings eight matchups on Nov. 12, with teams looking to strengthen their positions in the competition. The action begins at 12:00 PM ET and continues with a busy 2:45 PM ET window.
The late games include a heavyweight clash between Italy and France, while England hosts Croatia. Spain is also a strong favorite against Czechia, making the day’s schedule particularly interesting for bettors looking at moneyline markets and goal totals.
Several teams enter the round in strong positions after four matches, while others are fighting to avoid relegation. Below, we break down the best UEFA Nations League bets, examining team form, head-to-head records, and available odds to identify the strongest betting opportunities.
UEFA Nations League Betting Odds for Today’s Matches
The table above lists the moneyline and over/under odds for all eight matchups. Odds are provided by theScore Bet and may change before kickoff.
Best UEFA Nations League Picks and Predictions for Today
Best odds as of 6:29 PM ET on Nov. 11. Claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi promo code before trading on today’s UEFA Nations League games.
Turkey vs Belgium Prediction: Belgium Moneyline (-115)
Belgium is the road favorite at -115, making the moneyline an appealing option. Rather than betting on a specific winning margin, this pick simply requires Belgium to secure all three points.
Armenia vs Cyprus Prediction: Armenia Moneyline (+150)
Armenia is a home underdog at +150, while Cyprus is priced at +200. Backing Armenia at plus money offers an attractive potential return in what the odds suggest could be a competitive matchup.
Italy vs France Prediction: France Moneyline (-104)
France is favored on the road at a manageable price. Unlike a spread bet, the moneyline simply requires France to win the match. The draw remains the main risk in what could be a closely contested matchup.
Czechia vs Spain Prediction: Spain Moneyline (-455)
Spain is the clear favorite, with Czechia priced at +1000 and the draw at +600. The moneyline comes at a steep price, so bettors should keep their stakes modest. Still, Spain is the pick to win.
England vs Croatia Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals (+127)
The match total is set at 3.5 goals, with the Over available at +127. This is a higher-risk selection, but the plus-money odds offer an attractive potential return if the teams combine for at least four goals.
Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction: Montenegro Moneyline (-300)
Montenegro is a strong home favorite at -300. The price is steep and offers limited potential returns, but the home side is still our pick over Latvia or the draw.
Albania vs Finland Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (-163)
The Under 2.5 goals market is favored by the bookmakers, offering a straightforward path to a winning bet: the match must finish with two goals or fewer. However, the -163 price offers limited value, so bettors should avoid risking too much.
San Marino vs Belarus Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-150)
The Over 2.5 goals market is our preferred option over backing Belarus at its very steep moneyline price. At least three goals are needed to cash this bet, regardless of which team scores them.
With more than a decade of experience as a writer, editor, and content manager, Miguel has built a career creating engaging sports content for international audiences. He is multilingual journalist with a strong passion for numerous sports, especially soccer.
