Red Wings vs Panthers Prediction, Puck Line & Thursday NHL Picks

• The Panthers host the Red Wings in an Atlantic Division clash at Amerant Bank Arena on Thursday night
• Florida’s power play faces a Detroit penalty kill that’s struggled all season
• See below for my Red Wings vs Panthers prediction, puck line odds and two player props

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The Florida Panthers (10-7-2) host the Detroit Red Wings (7-9-3) on Thursday, November 12, with puck drop set for 7:30 pm ET at Amerant Bank Arena. ESPN+, Hulu, Disney+ and Sportsnet+ have the broadcast.

Florida is coming off a win and keeps leaning on Matthew Tkachuk, who has 27 points in 19 games. Detroit is trying to snap a four-game skid and needs more from Alex DeBrincat and Lucas Raymond. Ironically, Detroit’s most recent win (Nov. 2) came against Florida as the Wings won 5-3 in Sunrise.

With two division rivals trending in opposite directions, the moneyline isn’t the only place to look. Here’s where I see value on Thursday’s board.

Red Wings vs Panthers Prediction and Picks

I’m backing Over 5.5 goals scored YES at 54¢ on Kalshi, which works out to about a 54% implied probability. The over has hit in each of Florida’s last four home games and in the last three meetings between these clubs.

The Panthers have also gone over in five of their last six games following a win, and they enter Thursday off one. Florida averages 3.16 goals per game, while Detroit allows 3.11.

Special teams could do plenty of the work. Florida’s power play is converting at 24.4%, and the Red Wings are killing just 69.5% of their penalties. Both clubs also carry sub-.890 team save percentages, at .884 for Detroit and .887 for Florida.

The projected goalie matchup backs it up. John Gibson is projected for Detroit with an .866 save percentage and 3.43 GAA, while Akira Schmid is expected for Florida at .886 and 3.00.

Red Wings vs Panthers Player Props

Reinhart has gone over 0.5 points in seven of his last eight games, and he has a point in six of his last seven after a Panthers win. He has 18 points in 19 games and is projected to center Florida’s second line with Aleksander Barkov out.

Novig offered the Yes side on one or more Reinhart points at 65¢ as of 2:52 am ET on Nov. 12. An assist gets the pick there just as surely as a goal.

On the flip side, I’m fading Brady Tkachuk’s shot volume. He has failed to top 3.5 shots in five straight games against Detroit, and the under has cashed in seven of his last 10 overall.

Tkachuk has 68 shots in 19 games, about 3.6 per night. Novig priced No on four or more shots at 58¢. That pays if he finishes with three shots or fewer.

Red Wings vs Panthers Odds and Puck Line

Prices as of Nov. 12 at 12:32 am ET on Kalshi.

Florida YES at 62¢ translates to roughly a 62% chance to win, with Detroit YES at 40¢. On the puck line side, a Panthers win by two or more goals trades at 39¢, while a Red Wings win by that margin sits at 20¢.

The public is lopsided on the moneyline, with 98.24% of the stake backing Florida. Splits on the puck line and total aren’t available yet, but that one-sided handle lines up with my read that the Panthers will drive the pace.

Red Wings vs Panthers Injuries and Projected Lineups

Florida is without Barkov (lower body), Brad Marchand (leg), Sandis Vilmanis and Jonah Gadjovich (upper body). Detroit will be missing defenseman Albert Johansson for the rest of the road trip.

Even shorthanded, the Panthers project Brady Tkachuk, Sam Bennett and Matthew Tkachuk on their top line. Detroit is projected to slot Emmitt Finnie between DeBrincat and Viktor Arvidsson, with Michael Brandsegg-Nygård on the second line. These combinations are projections, not confirmed lineups.

That Florida firepower against a leaky Detroit penalty kill is why goals are my favorite Red Wings vs Panthers prediction on Thursday. I predict a 4-2 Panthers victory tonight.