Nuggets vs 76ers Odds, Spread & Picks (Jan. 28)
By Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball
Published:
- Philadelphia is laying 4.5 points at home in the Nuggets vs 76ers odds
- Joel Embiid (foot) is questionable for Philly, while Nikola Jokic (hamstring) is probable
- Don’t miss the latest Nuggets vs 76ers odds, plus injury updates and predictions
Injuries are front and center ahead of Saturday’s matinee tip between the Nuggets (34-15, 12-11 away) and 76ers (31-16, 18-7 home).
Both Joel Embiid and Nikola Jokic are on the injury report, as are a handful of additional key Denver contributors.
As a result, online sportsbooks are leaning towards the home team in the NBA odds, pegging Philadelphia as the chalk.
Nuggets vs 76ers Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | +4.5 (-110) | +164 | OFF |
| Philadelphia 76ers | -4.5 (-110) | -196 | OFF |
Odds as of January 27th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on the Nuggets vs 76ers game.
The 76ers are currently favored by 4.5 points, in a contest without a total as of Friday night. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 pm ET at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA, with ABC providing the broadcast coverage.
Nuggets vs 76ers Injury Report
ABC has banking on showcasing the matchup between Jokic, the two-time reigning NBA MVP odds winner and current favorite, and Embiid a top-four contender. There’s still a chance the two will square off on Saturday, but it’s certainly no guarantee.
Embiid is questionable with a foot injury. He was a game-time decision with the same issue prior to Wednesday’s victory over Brooklyn, but wound up playing and racking up a double-double. The injury caused him to sit out last Saturday’s win over Sacramento, while the NBA’s scoring leader has missed 12 games in total this season.
Joel Embiid is the only player in the NBA who is top 3 in PPG, PER, and defensive rating. EMBIID MVP pic.twitter.com/qOZklbmdZ8
— Aidan LaPorta (@AidanLaPorta69) January 27, 2023
The rest of the 76ers roster is healthy and the team is playing some of its best ball of the season. They’re currently riding a six-game winning streak, and have lost just twice in their last 13 games.
Jokic meanwhile, is probable despite a hamstring injury. He’s sat out three of Denver’s last four games due to the injury, including Wednesday’s loss to Milwaukee. Not surprisingly, the Nuggets are just 1-2 in those outings.
The outlook is little less clear for the rest of the Nuggets roster. Starting point guard Jamal Murray (hip) is questionable, as is starting small forward Michael Porter Jr. (personal). Starting two guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (wrist) is probable, while key reserve Bruce Brown (undisclosed) is considered day-to-day leaving his status up in the air for now.
Denver enters play on top of the Western Conference standings and just half a game back of Boston for the best record in the NBA. They’re 8-2 in their last 10, including undefeated in that stretch with Jokic in the lineup.
Nuggets vs 76ers Prediction
Over the past 10 games, Denver and Philadelphia rank second and eighth respectively in Net Rating. Denver is second in defensive rating, while Philly is third at the offensive end. Their season long stats are reversed, but still incredibly impressive.
NBA Net Rating Ranks
| Team | Rank |
|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 1 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2 |
| Denver Nuggets | 3 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 4 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 5 |
The 76ers have the edge on defense, while the Nuggets are a slightly better offensive team. Bottom line, these are two of the top contenders in NBA Championship odds for good reason.
If Denver was completely healthy, grabbing the Nuggets at +4.5 would be a no brainer in this spot. However, with so much uncertainly surrounding their roster it makes sense to lean Philly.
The 76ers boast one of the league’s biggest home court advantages, and have been spread crushers at the Wells Fargo Center. Philly is 15-9-1 ATS at home, with an average margin of victory of six points. The combination of Embiid, James Harden, Tobias Harris and Tyrese Maxey are clicking on all cylinders, and should be able to overwhelm what is likely going to be a shorthanded Denver squad.
The Philadelphia 76ers have now won 19 of their last 23 games.
Their 121.2 ORTG is a franchise best in any 23-game stretch since 1984.
How far will this team go? pic.twitter.com/JYccNN5k1G
— StatMuse (@statmuse) January 26, 2023
The Nuggets meanwhile, haven’t played nearly as well on the road as they have at home. They’re just 12-11 overall as visitors, averaging 7 points fewer per 100 possessions on offense, and yielding 7 points more per 100 possessions on defense than in Denver.
They’ve covered in just 10 of 23 road tilts so far, and we should expect them to come up short on Saturday afternoon in Philadelphia.
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 (-110)
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
