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  • Track the average odds for the most talked-about horses competing at the 2021 Kentucky Derby
  • Bob Baffert’s Medina Spirit won the 2021 Kentucky Derby 
  • View which trainers and jockeys have had the most success at Churchill Downs

The 147th running of the Kentucky Derby is scheduled to take place at historic Churchill Downs in Louisville on Saturday, May 1, 2021. We’re tracking the odds for every fleet-footed thoroughbred since they became available. The main graph on this page has been generated by calculating the average from many of the most trusted horse racing sites.

Kentucky Derby Top Contenders

  • [5/1/21] Medina Spirit took an early lead in the Kentucky Derby and never looked back winning the Run for the Roses at 15-1 odds
  • [4/27/21] Since April 12, Essential Quality has shortened from +250 to +200, meanwhile, Mandaloun has shortened from +4000 to +2000
  • [4/12/21] After winning the Arkansas Derby Super Stock’s odds have rocketed to +1000
  • [4/5/21] Rock Your World is now a top-three favorite at +600 after winning the Santa Anita Derby
  • [3/22/21] After winning the Louisiana Derby, Hot Rod Charlie’s odds have shortened to +800, way shorter than the +2500 he had in January
  • [1/21/21] Life Is Good +1200 and Concert Tour +1400 have now entered the conversation in the top three favorites
  • [11/9/20] Essential Quality won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and has seen his odds shorten from +3000 to +1200
  • [10/14/20] The early odds favor Jackie’s Warrior at 18-1 odds to win the 2021 Kentucky Derby, after quickly shortening from an open of +3000

2021 Kentucky Derby Odds

Horse Odds at TVG
Essential Quality +200
Rock Your World +500
Known Agenda +600
Hot Rod Charlie +800
Highly Motivated +1000
Medina Spirit +1500
Mandaloun +1500
Midnight Bourbon +2000
Dynamic One +2000
King Fury +2000
O Besos +2000
Super Stock +3000
Bourbonic +3000
Soup And Sandwich +3000
Brooklyn Strong +5000
Hidden Stash +5000
Like The King +5000
Helium +5000
Sainthood +5000
Keepmeinmind +5000

Odds as of Apr 28

After a long delay due to the coronavirus, the 2020 Derby was finally run on September 5 and saw Authentic come out on top with a winning race time of 2:00.61. Authentic was not even listed in the early odds in the fall of 2019 but did first come up in the odds in February 2020 around +1600.

Past 10 Kentucky Derby Winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer
2011 Animal Kingdom John Velazquez H Graham Motion
2012 I’ll Have Another Mario Gutierrez Doug O’Neill
2013 Orb Joel Rosario Claude R McGaughey III
2014 California Chrome Victor Espinoza Art Sherman
2015 American Pharoah Victor Espinoza Bob Baffert
2016 Nyquist Mario Gutierrez Doug F O’Neill
2017 Always Dreaming John Velazquez Todd Pletcher
2018 Justify Mike E Smith Bob Baffert
2019 Country House Flavien Prat William I. Mott
2020 Authentic J.R. Velazquez Bob Baffert

Trainers with the Most Kentucky Derby Wins


With Authentic’s win, it brought trainer Bob Baffert into an all-time tie with Ben A. Jones for most Derby wins by a trainer at six. It was Baffert’s second win in three years, last winning with Justify in 2018.

Jockeys with the Most Kentucky Derby Wins

Eddie Arcaro and Bill Hartack were both under 5’5″, but they remain true giants in the world of horse racing, having won five Kentucky Derbies each. The pair are enshrined in the National Museum of Racing and Hall of Fame in Saratoga Springs. Riding Authentic in 2020, jockey John Velazquez has entered the conversation as one of the best of all-time himself, tied with several other jockeys with three wins. He’s won twice in the past four years and sits only behind Arcaro and Hartack, as well as Bill Shoemaker (4 wins) for the most jockey wins.


Archived Kentucky Derby Odds: 2020, 2019


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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com