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Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol Odds, Pick, and Prediction

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated May 5, 2022 · 7:05 AM PDT

Canelo celebrates
Nov 6, 2021; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Canelo Alvarez celebrates after knocking out Caleb Plant (not pictured) during their undisputed super middleweight world championship boxing match at MGM Grand Garden Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
  • Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol goes Saturday, May 7th at 8 PM EST
  • Canelo is favored to capture Bivol’s WBA Super world title
  • Check out the Alvarez vs Bivol odds, analysis, and predictions, below

Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol goes down at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and broadcasts on DAZN. The challenger is favored over the champion in the Alvarez vs Bivol boxing betting odds, priced at -475.

Let’s analyze the Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol odds via DraftKings as we provide our best bet for the bout.

Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol Odds

Fighter Odds
Canelo Alvarez -475
Dmitry Bivol +350

Odds as of May 4th at DraftKings Sportsbook

This fight is for the WBA Super world light heavyweight championship as Alvarez looks to unseat Bivol.


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Canelo Alvarez Betting Outlook vs Bivol

Alvarez is not unfamiliar with this weight category and is looking to cement himself as a two-time light heavyweight champion.

The four-weight world champion and the current biggest star in the sport moves back up to 175 pounds following his stoppage of Sergey Kovalev in late 2019.

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The undisputed super middleweight world champion strung together three straight stoppage victories amid his enormous 2021 campaign.

From unifying 168 pounds last year to now being seven pounds higher in 2022, Canelo is putting together one of the all-time impressive boxing legacies and the pugilistic public gets to see this story unfurl in real-time.

Alvarez vs Bivol Recent Fights

Missing Team
Caleb Plant, win via TKO Fight 1 Umar Salamov, win via UD
Billy Joe Saunders, win via RTD Fight 2 Craig Richards, win via UD
Avni Yildirim, win via RTD Fight 3 Lenin Castillo, win via UD
Callum Smith, win via UD Fight 4 Joe Smith Jr, win via UD

In addition to the light heavyweight looks, going down for a lucrative third fight with Gennady Golovkin is targeted for later in the year should Canelo emerge victoriously.

That all being said, I feel like the odds for this prizefight are very far off the mark and they don’t reflect a meaningful level of awareness of Bivol’s skills.

Dmitry Bivol’s Boxing Odds and Betting Outlook vs Alvarez

Bivol has a spotless professional record and looks to go 20-0 by claiming his most notable scalp so far. He has also held this gold since November 2017 and looks to notch his eighth straight defense this weekend.

The pure technical boxing approach he brings to the table has been known to give Canelo fits in the past. As evidenced in prior bouts with Floyd Mayweather (Alvarez’s sole pro loss) and Austin Trout.

Also, the Kovalev that fought Alvarez was a bit long in the tough whereas Bivol is in the throes of his competitive prime.

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The winner of this contest not only stands tall as a world champion.

But they potentially punch their ticket to a future unification clash from the winner of the light heavyweight unification bout with Artur Beterbiev vs Joe Smith Jr on June 18th.

Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol Tale of the Tape

57-1-2 Record 19-0
39 Knockouts 11
5’8 Height 6’0
70.5″ Reach 72″
Orthodox Stance Orthodox

Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol Pick & Prediction

The prop bet on this contest going the distance is positioned at -230 and I think that presents good value.

Bivol is riding a six-fight streak of unanimous decision victories but I think that streak gets snapped in the coming days.

Canelo winning via decision or technical decision sits at -140 and I think that bet presents strong value.

Pick: Canelo Alvarez (-475)

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