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Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo Odds, Picks & How to Watch

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated Sep 26, 2023 · 1:35 PM PDT

Canelo Alvarez in the boxing ring
Sep 17, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Canelo Alvarez (red trunks) and Gennadiy Golovkin (white trunks) box during a super middleweight championship bout at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
  • Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo goes Saturday, September 30th at 8 PM EST
  • Canelo is a sizable favorite in this highly unique collision
  • Check out the Alvarez vs Charlo odds, analysis, and predictions, below

Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo goes down at T Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, and broadcasts on Showtime pay-per-view. The former is favored over the latter in the Alvarez vs Charlo betting odds, priced at -400.

Let’s analyze the Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo odds as we provide our best bet for this bout.

Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo Odds

Fighter Odds
Canelo Alvarez -400
Jermell Charlo +300

Canelo is a favorite in the boxing odds at -400 meaning the boxer has an 80% implied win probability.

This contest is for the undisputed super middleweight crown (the WBC, WBO, WBA, and IBF belts at 168 pounds) with Caneo and Charlo in the champion and challenger roles, respectively.



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Odds as of September 26th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo.

Canelo Alvarez’s Betting Outlook vs Charlo

Canelo is regarded by many as arguably the biggest star in boxing today and is a pound-for-pound ranked talent within the sweet science.

The four-division world champion looks to notch his sixtieth professional win in a historic contest versus a fellow four bel5t, undisputed world titleholder.

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Initial discussions leading into this leaned more towards the larger Charlo twin, Jermall, being the one to get the Canelo fight.

Things did not pan out for the middleweight titleholder and Jermell became the fighter opposite Alvarez this weekend.

Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo Recent Fights

John Ryder, win via UD Fight 1 Brian Castano, win via KO
Gennady Golovkin,  win via UD Fight 2 Brian Castano, Draw-SD
Dmitry Bivol,  loss via UD Fight 3 Jeison Rosario, win via KO
Caleb Plant, win via TKO Fight 4 Tony Harrison, win via KO


Canelo has held world titles as high as 175 pounds while his opponent here has never journeyed above competing at 154 pounds as a professional pugilist.

Jermell Charlo’s Betting Outlook vs Alvarez

Charlo is also an undisputed champion at light middleweight and jumps up two weight categories for this anomalous undisputed versus undisputed fight in the four-belt era. He looks to become an undisputed belt holder yet again in an even higher weight category against a generational great within the sport.

Jermell Charlo has bested everyone he has ever stepped in the ring with but he faces his biggest test yet this weekend.

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Both have their own advantages and despite the aforementioned accomplishments in higher weight divisions, Canelo’s height and reach is actually a bit less than Charlo’s.

Canelo Alvarez vs Jermell Charlo Tale of the Tape

59-2-2 Record 35-1-1
39 Knockouts 19
5’8 Height 6’0
70.5″ Reach 73″
Orthodox  Stance Orthodox

Alvarez vs Charlo Prediction

This prizefight is scheduled to go for twelve rounds and I see value in seeking out a prop bet on this fight not going the distance (+175).

Some thin Canelo has lost a step in recent outings as far as finishing ability and Charlo has never been stopped as a pro but I see some things changing a bit in the coming days.

I foresee value in seeking out prop bets on Canelo winning via KO or TKO (+250) and Canelo winning between rounds 7-9 (+700).

Pick: Canelo Alvarez (-400)


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