Upcoming Match-ups

Canelo vs GGG 3 Best Prop Bets – Golovkin via KO

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Sep 15, 2022 · 10:45 AM PDT

GGG delivers knockout punch
Oct 5, 2019; New York, NY, USA; Gennadiy Golovkin (white trunks) and Sergiy Derevyanchenko (gold trunks) box during the IBF World Middleweight Championship boxing match at Madison Square Garden. Golovkin won via unanimous decision. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
  • Canelo vs GGG 3 Prop Bets abound leading into September 17th
  • What are the top props to go with just days out from fight night?
  • Check out the Canelo vs GGG 3 odds, boxing betting analysis, and predictions below

Canelo vs GGG 3 Best Prop Bets are steadily popping up ahead of Saturday night’s super middleweight title fight. The Canelo vs Golovkin 3 odds still favor Alvarez at -550, with Golovkin listed at +370 in the boxing odds.

Here is the in-depth analysis on which prop bets present good value in this weekend’s undisputed championship clash at 168 pounds.

Canelo vs GGG 3 Props – Goes the Distance

Goes the Distance Odds
Yes -165
No +120

All odds as of September 17th at DraftKings. Claim the Caleno vs GGG promo code before wagering.


Bet $5, Get $150 if Either QB Throws for 1+ Yard in Titans vs Eagles!

BET $5
GET $150


Canelo vs GGG 3 Betting Analysis

It makes sense that this bout is favored to go the distance considering their first two fights both went to the judges’ scorecards. Also, both warriors have showcased incredible durability and their iron chins have been showcased in their series of bouts as well as in their broader combative careers.

That being said, I do think there are some ingredients here where this bout is the exception to the rule, localized to their series. I think this one will actually end inside the distance and the judges will not play a role in the outcome of this trilogy affair.

Pick: No (+120)

Canelo vs GGG 3 Props  – Winning Method

Outcome Odds
 Canelo Alvarez by Decision or Technical Decision +105
Canelo Alvarez by KO, TKO, or DQ +140
Draw +1800
Gennady Golovkin by Decision or Technical Decision +750
Gennady Golovkin by KO, TKO, or DQ +850

Decision Odds Favor Canelo

There is as close to zero chance as there can possibly be for GGG winning by way of decision. The first two Canelo vs Golovkin clashes saw Alvarez win in a pair of controversial decisions where many thought Golovkin should have won both via points on a level of athletic merit. Canelo Alvarez being the number one box office star in Boxing informed that in the eyes of many and will especially inform this bout as GGG is in the final years of his career while Canelo looks to have viable drawing potential for much longer down the line.

Considering the preternatural resilience of Golovkin, I understand why oddsmakers favor a Canelo win by a decision as opposed to seeing a scenario where he halts GGG. I think there is tremendous underdog value on GGG winning via KO and if anyone can halt Canelo for the first time ever as a professional pugilist, it’s Golovkin.

Pick: Gennady Golovkin by KO, TKO, or DQ (+850)

Canelo vs GGG 3 Odds – Round Betting

Round Alvarez Odds Golovkin Odds
Round 1 +4000 +10000
Round 2 +3500 +10000
Round 3 +2800 +10000
Round 4 +2500 +10000
Round 5 +2000 +8000
Round 6 +1800 +6500
Round 7 +1600 +6500
Round 8 +1400 +6500
Round 9 +1400 +6500
Round 10 +1400 +6500
Round 11 +1600 +8000
Round 12 1800 +10000

When Does Canelo vs GGG 3 End?

The level of recency bias in this round betting breakdown on both sides is something to behold. It’s almost as if people are forgetting that Golovkin has the most middleweight knockouts in world title history and is one of the most accomplished KO artists of his generation on a pound-for-pound level. Also, I think fighting at 168 pounds for the first time ever instead of his usual efforts at 160 pounds will pay dividends for GGG at this juncture in his career.

In terms of when Golovkin gets it done, I can see it being in those middle to later rounds of the bout. Historically Golovkin has been known to collect intel on opponents in the earlier rounds to really position them in dangerous spots later in the contest. To that point, I can see Golovkin getting it done sometime between the seventh and ninth rounds of this prizefight.

Pick: Golovkin in round nine (+6500)

Author Image