Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Early Prediction & Latest Odds
By Brady Trettenero in Boxing
Published:
- Jake Paul opened as -170 favorite over +130 underdog Mike Tyson
- Odds have shifted heavily in Paul’s direction, now -275 vs Tyson at +210
- See our early Paul vs Tyson prediction, along with the latest odds, below
Two of boxing’s biggest names are set to collide on Friday November 15, 2024 in Arlington, Texas. YouTuber turned pro fighter Jake “The Problem Child” Paul takes on former undisputed heavyweight champion Mike “Iron Mike” Tyson at AT&T Stadium.
The current Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson odds list the 27-year-old Paul as a solid -275 favorite. Despite being a legend of the sport, the 58-year-old Tyson comes back as a +210 underdog in his first officially sanctioned fight since 2005.
We’ve analyzed the latest Paul vs Tyson odds and have an early prediction for what will undoubtedly be one of the most talked-about fights in recent memory.
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Early Prediction
When the betting markets first opened, Mike Tyson was only a slight +130 underdog against the favored Jake Paul at -170. However, early action from bettors has been all on The Problem Child, shifting Paul’s odds to a heavy -275 against Tyson at +210.
While Iron Mike’s legendary power and experience can never be dismissed, I’m leaning toward a Paul win by decision as my pick.
At 6’1″ with a 76″ reach, Paul will have sizeable physical advantages over the 5’10” Tyson. He’s also 31 years younger and has been the much more active fighter in recent years. If this goes into the later rounds, Paul’s combination of youth and cardio will be the difference.
10 DAYS OUT 🥊
Mike Tyson OR Jake Paul? pic.twitter.com/FFx6Lj7yQ5
— ESPN BET (@ESPNBET) November 5, 2024
Look for Paul to utilize his jab and footwork to keep Tyson on the outside. The heavier 14-oz gloves and 2-minute rounds will also likely work against Iron Mike, potentially sapping his explosiveness in the second half of the fight.
Of course, Tyson’s unmatched resume and devastating punching power still make him a respectable underdog. Only Buster Douglas and Lennox Lewis have stopped Iron Mike inside the distance.
But, if the fight plays out as expected, I see Paul outworking Tyson over eight rounds to claim a clear-cut decision. It may not deliver a viral highlight-reel KO, but it would still be a career highlight for The Problem Child.
My early lean was Paul by stoppage, but I actually believe Tyson’s defense and toughness will allow him to see the final bell. Look for Paul to control distance with his jab and focus on winning rounds rather than headhunting for the knockout.
- Early Pick: Jake Paul by Decision or Technical Decision (+275 at DraftKings )
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Updated Odds
| Fighter | Opening Odds | Current Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Paul | -170 | -275 |
| Mike Tyson | +130 | +210 |
Since opening, the Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson odds have seen significant movement in Paul’s direction. After initially being set as a -170 favorite, The Problem Child has been bet up to -275. Meanwhile, Tyson has gone from his +130 opening price to a current underdog number of +210.
The oddsmakers are giving Paul about a 73% implied probability to win based on his -275 moneyline odds. For Tyson, the +210 comeback price puts his implied probability around 32%.
The shift in odds isn’t surprising considering Paul’s youth, activity, and favorable stylistic matchup on paper. However, Tyson’s star power and punching power still make him a live underdog.
As we get closer to fight night, don’t be surprised if more money comes in on Iron Mike at an appealing +210 price. But for now, all signs point to Jake Paul being a deserving favorite to beat the 58-year-old legend.
BET365 SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE SBD365!
BETMGM SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD1550 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS + $50 BETMGM REWARDS!
CAESARS SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $150 IF YOUR BET WINS!
FANATICS SPORTSBOOKBET & GET UP TO $1,000 NO SWEAT BETS!
KALSHI TRADINGTRADE SUPER BOWL NOVELTY PROPS AT KALSHI!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)
Odds as of November 5, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Ready to place your bets on Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson? Check out our best boxing betting sites for the top places to get your wagers in.
Tyson vs Paul Fight Details
- Fight Date: Friday, November 15, 2024
- Start Time: Main card begins at 8:00 p.m. ET, with main event likely around 11:00 p.m. ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
- How To Watch: Netflix PPV
To accommodate the 58-year-old Tyson stepping into the ring for the first time since an exhibition in 2020, there will be some modified rules for this sanctioned fight:
- Eight two-minute rounds
- Fighters will wear 14-oz gloves (heavier than usual for pro fights)
- Outcome will count on their pro records
With the rounds slightly shorter and the gloves a bit bigger, I envision a decision as the most likely outcome.
Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
