Naoya Inoue vs Paul Butler Odds, Predictions & How to Watch
By Dylan Bowker in Boxing
Published:
- Naoya Inoue vs Paul Butler goes Tuesday, December 13th at 7:30 AM EST
- Inoue is an enormous favorite in this end-of-the-year clash
- Check out the Inoue vs Butler odds, analysis, and predictions, below
Naoya Inoue vs Paul Butler goes down at the Ariake Arena in Tokyo, Japan, and broadcasts on ESPN+. The former is hugely favored over the latter in the Inoue vs Butler betting odds, priced at -8000.
Let’s analyze the Inoue vs Butler odds as we provide our best bet for the bout.
Naoya Inoue vs Paul Butler Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Naoya Inoue | -8000 |
| Paul Butler | +1300 |
Odds as of December 12th via DraftKings Sportsbook.
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This is a fight for the undisputed bantamweight world championship with Inoue looking to further unify titles after doing so within two rounds in his last fight.
Naoya Inoue’s Betting Outlook vs Butler
Inoue is regarded as one of the pound-for-pound best in the sport and is one of the game’s most consistent KO artists today. He has been a titleholder across three weight categories and is currently the bantamweight world champion under the WBA, WBC, and IBF banners.

‘Monster’ is undefeated as a pro and Inoue looks to continue that run heading into 2023. He became a multi-division champion in such a short period of time it put him in the company of titans of the sport like Claressa Shields and Vasiliy Lomachenko.
Inoue vs Butler Recent Fights
| Nonito Donaire, win via TKO | Fight 1 | Jonas Sultan, win via UD |
| Aran Dipaen, win via TKO | Fight 2 | Willibaldo Garcia Perez, win via SD |
| Michael Dasmarinas, win via KO | Fight 3 | Ryan Walker, win via Points |
| Jason Moloney, win via KO | Fight 4 | Jose Aguilar, win via Points |
This is a hugely significant fight historically because there hasn’t been an undisputed king in this weight division for over fifty years. Also, there has never been an undisputed champ at bantamweight in the four-belt era.
Paul Butler’s Betting Outlook vs Inoue
Butler is flying over to Japan to take on not only the partisan favorite but as mentioned, someone who is also a generational talent.
‘Baby Faced Assassin’ is the WBO world champion, this is his second time as a world titleholder, and he has the chance to really bolster his legacy against Inoue in the coming hours.

These two have strong resumes but Inoue’s strength of schedule is ultimately more impressive. Also, this is coupled by his massive advantage in terms of his finishing capabilities (87 percent stoppage rate for Inoue compared to Butler’s sub-fifty percent rate).
The prop bet surrounding this contest not going the distance (positioned at -2500) makes a world of sense considering Inoue’s track record. Butler’s best chance is to win on points and be flawless over thirty-six minutes which I frankly don’t see happening.
Inoue vs Butler Tale of the Tape
| 23-0 | Record | 34-2 |
| 20 | Knockouts | 15 |
| 5’5 | Height | 5’6 |
| 67.5″ | Reach | 65″ |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
Inoue vs Butler Prediction
This prizefight is scheduled for twelve rounds but I very much do not see this fight going the distance.
-2500 via KO or TKO for Inoue makes a world of sense but I think the best value comes in determining when this ends.
Inoue winning between rounds 1-3 (situated at -185) presents optimal value for this highly consequential clash.
Pick: Naoya Inoue (-8000)
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Sports Writer
A part-time writer and full-time broadcaster, Dylan has hosted MMA talk shows Lights Out and Pure Fight Radio with featured guests like Jens Pulver, Roy Nelson, Miesha Tate, and covered some of the biggest MMA promotions like Rumble in the Cage, Unified MMA, and King of the Cage.