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Spartans Opens as Favorites in Michigan State vs Louisville Odds

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Published:


Michigan State forward Jaxon Kohler yells in a celebratory fashion
Michigan State forward Jaxon Kohler (0) celebrates a 3-pointer against North Dakota State during the first half of NCAA Tournament First Round at KeyBank Center in Buffalo on Thursday, March 19, 2026.
  • #3 Michigan State meets #6 Louisville in the round of 32
  • Tom Izzo’s Spartans are slight chalk
  • See the opening Michigan State vs Louisville odds for the second round

The #3 Michigan State Spartans (26-7, 16-15-2 ATS) made quick work of #14 North Dakota State on Thursday, setting up a heavyweight second-round tilt with the #6 Louisville Cardinals (24-10, 17-17 ATS) on Saturday, March 21st (start time TBD).

Louisville held off a spirited comeback attempt from #11 USF (83-79) but the opening Louisville vs Michigan State odds project the Cardinals’ tournament ending this weekend.

Michigan State vs Louisville Opening Odds

Bet TypeMSULOU
Spread-3.5 (-110)+3.5 (-110)
Moneyline-185+154
TotalO 150.5 (-110)U 150.5 (-110)

MSU is a 3.5-point favorite against the spread and -185 on the moneyline. The Cardinals come back as +154 underdogs. The game total has opened at 150.5 with -110 odds both ways.

Odds os of 6:45 pm ET at DraftKings. See the full list of sports betting apps for March Madness.

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Virginia transfer Isaac McKneely led the way for Louisville on Thursday, scoring 23 points on an electric 7-of-10 performance from beyond the arc.

Louisville vs Michigan State 2025 Team Stats

LouisvilleStatisticMichigan State
24-10Overall Record25-7
5-1Neutral Record4-1
20thKenPom Rank9th
17thNet Rank11th
.#30 SOS.#21
84.7PPG78.9
72.4Opp PPG68.4
47.2%FG%47.1%
36.1%3P%35.9%
76.1%FT%76.3%
36.2Reb/G36.9
17.1Ast/G18.5
11.9TO/G11.5
6.8Stl/G5.1
3.3Blk/G4.1
8-10Quad 1 Record9-6
4-0Quad 2 Record4-1

MSU and Louisville haven’t played since January 2021, when the Spartans took a 73-64 win in East Lansing.

Check SBD’s college basketball public betting splits to see where the money is going on this game and all 67 NCAA Tournament matchups.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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