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A.I. College Football Picks for Week 2 – Model Predictions for ATS and Over/Under Bets

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated: September 11, 2026 at 2:26 am EDT

Published:


Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin evades a Ball State defender ahead of Week 2.
Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin eludes Ball State defensive back Anthony Pinnace at Ohio Stadium on Sept. 5, 2026. Credit: USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect.
  • The A.I. college football picks cover 10 Week 2 games, led by Ohio State’s trip to Texas
  • The card leans toward favorites ATS and unders, with two road underdogs making the cut
  • Read below for every pick and the Week 1 results

Ohio State at Texas is the game everyone will be watching Saturday, but it is hardly the only Week 2 matchup worth a look. Oklahoma heads to Michigan after two very different openers, Oregon faces another big spread, and the Border War starts the weekend Friday night.

The A.I. college football picks finished Week 1 at 6–5 against the spread and 8–3 on totals. This week’s card covers 10 games, with eight favorites and six unders. Here are the ATS and over/under selections, followed by the matchups that stand out.

A.I. College Football Picks for Week 2

GameATS PickO/U Pick
Missouri at KansasMissouri -5.5Over 51.5
Oregon at Oklahoma StateOklahoma State +22.5Under 57.5
Arizona State at Texas A&MTexas A&M -14.5Under 51.5
Oklahoma at MichiganOklahoma -5.5Over 43.5
Alabama at KentuckyAlabama -10.5Under 49.5
Arizona at BYUBYU -7.5Under 47.5
Tennessee at Georgia TechTennessee -12.5Over 55.5
Iowa State at IowaIowa State +14Under 40.5
Ohio State at TexasTexas -1.5Over 49.5
Arkansas at UtahUtah -12.5Under 55.5

Lines reflect the numbers used for these picks and can change. Compare the latest college football odds before betting, especially around key spreads such as three, seven and 14.

Week 2 ATS Picks Favor the Chalk

Oklahoma State +22.5 and Iowa State +14 are the only underdogs on the card. Both can lose comfortably and still cover, which is the point of taking those numbers. The Oklahoma State pick needs more caution: the Cowboys just lost 24–10 to Tulsa, while Oregon beat Boise State 34–27.

That Oregon result is worth remembering. Boise State covered +24.5 in last week’s card despite losing outright. A good team and a good bet are not always the same thing, particularly when the favorite has to win by more than three touchdowns.

Over/Under Picks Lean Low

Six unders make the table, including five games where the favorite is laying double digits. Tennessee at Georgia Tech goes against that trend, pairing Tennessee -12.5 with over 55.5. The Vols scored 56 against Furman; the Yellow Jackets managed 13 against Colorado. The over needs Tennessee to do much of the work, but Georgia Tech cannot afford another quiet offensive night.

Iowa State–Iowa has the lowest total at 40.5. Taking the Cyclones +14 alongside the under calls for a game with few possessions and a manageable margin. Iowa’s 40–0 opener against Northern Illinois is the obvious danger to that view.

Ohio State vs Texas: Backing the Home Side

The picks are Texas -1.5 and over 49.5, putting the focus on Arch Manning and Julian Sayin. Manning threw for 305 yards and four touchdowns against Texas State. Sayin answered with 320 yards and three passing touchdowns against Ball State.

Those were comfortable openers, not proof either offense can repeat the performance against a top-four opponent. Still, Texas scored on eight of nine drives, and Ohio State piled up 671 yards. The over asks both quarterbacks to carry some of that efficiency into a much tougher game. With Texas laying less than a field goal, a narrow home win would cover.

Oklahoma vs Michigan: A Much Bigger Test

Michigan needed a 47-yard touchdown from Bryce Underwood to JJ Buchanan on the final play to beat Western Michigan 13–12. Oklahoma won 51–0 against UTEP. That contrast explains why the Sooners draw attention here, though neither opener settles what happens in Ann Arbor.

Oklahoma -5.5 stays below a touchdown, while over 43.5 needs Michigan to contribute more than it did last week. That is the tension in this pairing: another stalled Wolverines offense would help the spread pick but put more pressure on Oklahoma to carry the total.

Week 1 A.I. Picks Results

Here is how every pick from the Week 1 A.I. picks article finished. Results are graded against the lines published in that article.

GameFinal ScoreATS ResultO/U Result
Colorado at Georgia TechColorado 14–13Georgia Tech -6.5 — LOver 51.5 — L
Fresno State at USCUSC 39–0USC -21.5 — WUnder 51.5 — W
Miami at StanfordMiami 45–6Miami -24 — WOver 47.5 — W
Boise State at OregonOregon 34–27Boise State +24.5 — WUnder 51.5 — L
Baylor vs AuburnAuburn 17–16Auburn -7.5 — LOver 58.5 — L
Marshall at Penn StatePenn State 45–0Penn State -24.5 — WUnder 52.5 — W
Clemson at LSULSU 51–10Clemson +10 — LOver 50.5 — W
Washington State at WashingtonWashington 24–10Washington State +23.5 — WUnder 50.5 — W
Notre Dame vs WisconsinNotre Dame 41–13Notre Dame -20.5 — WOver 47.5 — W
Louisville vs Ole MissOle Miss 41–38Ole Miss -6.5 — LOver 55.5 — W
SMU at Florida StateSMU 27–24SMU -3.5 — LUnder 53.5 — W

Week 1 summary: 6–5 ATS, 8–3 O/U and 14–8 overall (63.6%). There were no pushes. Totals supplied the stronger return, with eight winners from 11 games. The SMU result is the reminder to watch the number: a 27–24 win did not cover the published -3.5, even though bettors holding -3 would have pushed.

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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