Early Player Props to Target for Week 4 College Football

• The early Week 4 college football player props menu is loaded with value
• Arch Manning’s touchdown line is a key Week 4 prop to grab early
• Read below for my early player props to target for Week 4 college football

The Week 4 college football slate brings several established offensive stars into conference matchups. Arch Manning and Texas visit Tennessee, Florida hosts Ole Miss, and Ohio State welcomes Illinois. Each game offers a different question for bettors looking beyond the point spread.

For these early college football player props, I am weighing individual production more heavily than a team’s scoring average. A high-scoring offense does not guarantee that one receiver gets enough targets or that a quarterback throws the touchdowns instead of handing them off.

The three selections below focus on a passing touchdown total, a rushing yardage line and a receiving yardage line. I have included the recent performances supporting each pick, along with the main reason the bet could fall short. Keep reading for my early player props to target for Week 4 college football.

Early Player Props to Target for Week 4 College Football

Early odds checked September 21. Get the Caesars Sportsbook promo code and get in on the action.

Manning carries the highest price, while the two yardage props ask Jadan Baugh and Jeremiah Smith to clear substantial totals. The selections depend on those exact thresholds, so compare the available college football player props before substituting a higher line. A favorable matchup does not make every number worth taking.

Week 4 CFB Player Prop Pick #1: Arch Manning Passing TDs

I like Manning over 1.5 touchdown passes at Tennessee. The Heisman Trophy odds top contender has seven passing touchdowns and two interceptions through three games, completing 60 of 97 attempts for 664 yards. That gives this selection an individual production base rather than relying solely on Texas’s scoring average.

The Longhorns have converted 27 of 48 third downs and scored on 14 of 16 red-zone possessions. Longer drives can create additional opportunities for Manning, although those red-zone scores include field goals and rushing touchdowns.

Two touchdown passes are enough to cash, so Manning does not need a career yardage day. The risk is how Texas finishes its drives: a strong rushing performance near the goal line could help the Longhorns win while leaving this prop short.

The -152 price requires a win rate of about 60.3% to break even, before considering any change in the market. That is a meaningful premium. I prefer this touchdown threshold to assuming a big Texas point total will translate into an equally large passing yardage game.

• Pick: Arch Manning over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-152 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Week 4 CFB Player Prop Pick #2: Jadan Baugh Rushing Yards

My rushing selection is Baugh over 118.5 yards against Ole Miss. He ran for 162 yards and scored three touchdowns in Florida’s 44-39 win at Auburn. That performance matters more to me than leaning entirely on the Gators’ earlier games against FAU and Campbell.

Florida finished the Auburn game with 243 rushing yards and held the ball for 39:16. Baugh’s contribution was central to that result, rather than a small share of a large team total. I expect Florida to keep looking to its running game in a matchup versus a National Championship odds contender.

The line still demands a substantial workload. An early deficit or a more evenly split rushing attack would make 119 yards harder to reach. I prefer this yardage bet to a touchdown bet because Baugh can produce between the twenties without needing to finish the drive himself. Grab theScore Bet promo code to tail this wager

• Pick: Jadan Baugh over 118.5 rushing yards (-114 at theScore Bet)

Week 4 CFB Player Prop Pick #3: Jeremiah Smith Receiving Yards

I am taking Smith over 121.5 receiving yards against Illinois. Claim the bet365 bonus code to lock in the line now. The junior opened with eight catches for 151 yards against Ball State, then caught eight passes for 164 yards at Texas. He has already shown he can clear this number against more than one level of opposition.

Last week supplies the counterargument. Smith finished with five catches for 85 yards in Ohio State’s 59-3 win over Kent State. The Buckeyes threw for 382 yards as a team, yet that production did not translate into a winning result at this individual receiving line.

I am backing the involvement he showed in the first two games, while recognizing that 122 yards is a demanding target. This is the least forgiving yardage threshold of the three selections. Another game with production spread widely among Ohio State’s receivers would put the over in trouble.

• Pick: Jeremiah Smith over 121.5 receiving yards (-114 at bet365)