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Navy vs Army Early Prediction, Odds & Spread – CFB Week 16

Nick Holz

By Nick Holz in College Football

Published:


Navy vs Army Early Prediction
Dec 6, 2024; West Point, NY, USA; Army Black Knights linebacker Andon Thomas (51) celebrates after his interception against the Tulane Green Wave during the first half at Michie Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Danny Wild-Imagn Images
  • Navy and Army do battle on the gridiron on Saturday, December 14
  • Army are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games
  • Check out our Navy vs Army early predictions and odds, below

Navy and Army will battle for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy on Saturday, December 14. One of college football’s most storied rivalries takes center stage as the service academies square off in a game that is defined by physicality and tradition. The annual Army-Navy game kicks off from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland at 3 pm ET.

Here’s a look at the early odds and our predictions for this Navy vs Army matchup.

Navy vs Army Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Navy +5.5 (-105) +184 Over 40.5 (-106)
Army -5.5 (-115) -225 Under 40.5 (-114)

Army are 5.5-point favorites in the college football odds. The total for Navy vs Army is set at 40.5 points.

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Odds as of December 9 at FanDuel. Check out the best football betting apps for Navy vs Army.

Navy’s Spread Option Causes Problems

Navy has been a thorn in the side of opposing defenses this season, as they’ve transformed their offense into a potent spread-option attack. Navy runs the ball on over 75% of snaps, averaging 246.2 rushing yards per game on 5.5 yards per carry.

Star quarterback Blake Horvath helms the Midshipmen attack. He’s thrown for 11 touchdowns and just four interceptions, and rushed for 895 yards and another 13 scores. Unfortunately, Horvath has been dealing with a rib injury since September, and aggravated that injury in November against Tulane. He’s questionable to suit up for Saturday’s Navy vs Army showdown.

Navy’s defense hasn’t been as prophetic as their offense this season. Although, they do allow just 23.4 points per game. Unfortunately, the Midshipmen have also surrendered a gaudy 4.5 yards per rush, which could be their Achilles heel against the number-one rushing attack in the nation.

Keep in mind, the Midshipmen are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 games. However, they’re just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against Army.

Army Looks to Put Stamp On Amazing Season

The Army Black Knights enter this contest riding a wave of momentum. AAC Champions after going a perfect 9-0 in the conference, the 2024 season has been Army’s best in a generation. Their 11-1 record is the program’s best in the modern era.

Quarterback Bryson Daily has rightfully been compared to Captain America. He’s blasted opposing defenses into submission all year, rushing for 1,480 yards and 29 touchdowns on 5.6 yards per carry. Daily added eight more touchdown passes through the air while leading the Black Knight’s dominant rushing attack.

Army leads the FBS with 308.9 rushing yards per game, but they’re far more explosive this year and sit 30th while averaging 32.1 points per contest.

The Black Knight’s defense has been unbelievable in 2024. Army are allowing just 15.7 points per game, and 5.1 points per play this season. They’ve been incredibly stout in the red zone, allowing opposing offenses to score a touchdown on just 58% of trip inside the 20.

Intriguingly, the total has gone under in four of Army’s last six games.

Navy vs Army Early Prediction

Historically, the Army-Navy game has been a low-scoring affair, with the last four matchups averaging a total of 27.5 points. However, this year’s contest has the potential to buck that trend. Both teams are far more dynamic offensively than in years’ past.

Ultimately, Army’s stellar defense will be able to contain Navy’s offense for long stretches, while their relentless rushing attack will wear down the Midshipmen over four quarters. With Horvath’s status up in the air, backing the Black Knight’s is the highest value early prediction.

Early Navy vs Army Pick:

  • Army -5.5 (-115)

 

Nick Holz
Nick Holz

Sports Content Writer

A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.

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