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Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & SEC Picks (Nov. 15)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in College Football

Published:


Trinidad Chambliss warms up before a start vs Georgia.
Nov 7, 2026; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) looks on during warm ups prior to the game against the Georgia Bulldogs at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
  • The Ole Miss Rebels visit the Oklahoma Sooners on Sunday in a massive SEC tilt
  • Oklahoma’s relentless pass rush is going to make points tough to come by for Ole Miss
  • See my Ole Miss vs Oklahoma prediction, odds and SEC picks for Nov. 15, below

Ole Miss-Oklahoma has been bumped to Sunday due to the Rebels inability to travel to Norman in time for their scheduled Saturday kickoff. The game will now be up against the NFL slate, kicking off at 1 pm ET.

Ole Miss sits at 6-3 and is desperate to rebound following a 42-7 road defeat against the Georgia Bulldogs. Oklahoma improved to 5-4 by securing a 23-7 victory over the Florida Gators.

Oklahoma’s third-down defense is the reason I like the Under in Norman. On the other side of the ball, the Sooners have struggled to turn their own long drives into touchdowns. That gives the Rebels a chance to win even if this game stays close. Keep reading for my Ole Miss vs Oklahoma prediction, odds and SEC picks for Nov. 15, below.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Odds

MarketMy PickCurrent PriceMy Maximum Price
Total Points (Polymarket)Under 49.551¢55¢
Moneyline (Kalshi)Ole Miss to win49¢60¢

Ole Miss was 49¢ to win on Kalshi as of 5:08 p.m. ET Friday. On Polymarket, the best offer for Under 49.5 was 51¢ at 5:13 p.m. ET. Prices are subject to change.

Each contract pays $1 if it wins, so a 55¢ price means the market sees a 55% chance. I will only play the Under at 55¢ or less and Ole Miss at 60¢ or less. If either climbs above those limits, I pass. Track the latest college football odds before kickoff.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Stats

StatisticOle MissOklahoma
Points Scored (Season)300199
Points Per Game33.322.1
Total Yards (Season)3,7693,046
Yards Per Game418.8338.4
Passing Yards (Season)2,4432,048
Rushing Yards (Season)1,326998
First Downs221164
Turnovers1415
Turnover Differential-3-2
Third-Down Efficiency48.4%39.1%
Red-Zone Efficiency93.9%78.3%
Defensive Sacks18.026.0
Defensive Interceptions79

The table shows the offensive gap behind my read on the Ole Miss vs Oklahoma odds. Ole Miss outgains Oklahoma by more than 80 yards per game and finishes 93.9% of its red zone trips, while Oklahoma counters with 26 sacks.

Assessing the Rebels Road Offense in Norman

The defining battle features an air raid offense clashing with a disruptive defensive front. The Rebels offense is the reason they hung around in the National Championship odds conversation for a while, averaging 418.8 total yards per game, while converting 48.4% of their third downs.

Oklahoma creates havoc and boasts 26 sacks this season. The Sooners will need relentless pressure to force the Rebels into uncomfortable situations.

The Sooners Home Defensive Matchup

Oklahoma has struggled with offensive efficiency, converting just 39.1% of its third downs this year. The Sooners face an Ole Miss defense that has secured 18 sacks.

Oklahoma will likely lean on a ground and pound approach to shorten the game. Keeping the explosive Rebels offense off the field is a major priority for the home team.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Prediction & SEC Picks

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Pick #1: Under 49.5 (Up to 55¢)

  • Pick: Under 49.5 points (51¢ on Polymarket)

Offensive firepower usually dictates the pace of SEC contests, but I see defensive schemes taking over this week. Ole Miss puts up significant points, yet Oklahoma relies on a methodical approach and has scored just 199 total points this season.

I anticipate defensive disruption will stall drives and force punts. Oklahoma has recorded nine interceptions, which could halt a few critical Rebels possessions. With the two defenses combining for 44 sacks, the clock should keep moving.

At 49.5, an Oklahoma win by a 24-21 score or an Ole Miss win by 27-20 would both cash the Under. The price matters, too. At 51¢ I am willing to back that game script, with 55¢ the most I would pay.

The downside to backing the Under is the elite red zone efficiency of Ole Miss, which turns 93.9% of its trips into points. A few short fields could push the scoring past the number. I trust the home defense to hold strong early. Before making any wager on this game, scan the prediction market apps to find the best price.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Pick #2: Ole Miss to Win (Up to 60¢)

  • Pick: Ole Miss to win (49¢ on Kalshi)

This matchup heavily favors the visitors when drives cross the 20-yard line. Ole Miss boasts 31 red zone conversions on 33 attempts. Oklahoma converts at just a 78.3% rate in the same critical situations.

My Ole Miss vs Oklahoma moneyline pick depends on that difference in red-zone efficiency. At 49¢, the Rebels can pay off with a one-point win. I’d pass if the price moves above 60¢.

What could sink this play is the Oklahoma pass rush. If those 26 sacks become drive-killing negative plays and the Rebels lose the turnover battle in a hostile setting, the Sooners can steal a low-scoring game at home. New users can sign up with the Kalshi promo code and score a bonus to use on this game.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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