College Football Parlay Picks Week 4: 3 Legs for a +555 Payout
By Michael Schwartz in College Football
Published:
- This three-leg Week 4 college football parlay offers a calculated +555 payout
- One home underdog adds plus-money upside to Saturday’s ticket
- My college football parlay picks and the case for each leg are below
Three picks, a calculated +555 payout and no double-digit favorite to sweat. My Week 4 college football parlay targets Saturday, September 26, with one SEC matchup and two Big Ten games.
I’m pairing two outright winners with an underdog getting more than a field goal. At the prices below, a $10 bet would return about $65.48, including the stake, if all three selections win.
Below are my best college football parlay picks for Week 4, the odds for each leg and why I’m backing this combination.
Week 4 College Football Parlay Picks
BetMGM Ontario odds checked September 25 for Saturday’s games. American odds are rounded from decimal prices of 1.49, 2.35 and 1.87; the combined payout is calculated from those prices. Local prices may differ.
The three legs combine to approximately +555: $55.48 in profit on a $10 stake. I’m keeping Iowa’s +5.5 point cushion while asking Texas and USC only to win. Compare the current college football odds before building the ticket, because a different spread or price changes the bet.
CFB Parlay Pick #1: Texas Moneyline
I prefer Texas outright in Knoxville. Arch Manning showed he could keep the offense moving under pressure in the 24-23 comeback win against Ohio State, leading three consecutive touchdown drives to close the game.
Each of those drives lasted at least 12 plays and covered at least 72 yards. That is the kind of sustained offense I want from a road favorite, particularly if crowd noise makes quick starts difficult.
Texas followed that impressive win with a 30-6 victory over UTSA, but Tennessee is a much tougher assignment. The Vols enter unbeaten after beating Kennesaw State 42-9. I’m buying the Longhorns to finish ahead without adding a requirement to win by a particular margin.
- Pick: Texas moneyline (-204 at BetMGM)
Week 4 Parlay Pick #2: USC Moneyline
USC is the underdog I want on this ticket. Jayden Maiava has completed 75.7% of his passes for 1,173 yards, 12 touchdowns and one interception through four games. That gives the Trojans a credible route to an outright home win.
Oregon’s 84-0 result against Portland State is difficult to apply directly to this matchup. Before facing that FCS opponent, the Ducks had allowed 66 points in two games. USC has the passing production to test whether those problems are resolved.
The danger is Oregon’s quarterback playing a cleaner game. Dante Moore has nine touchdown passes without an interception through three outings. I expect both offenses to create chances, and the plus-money home side is my preference for this leg.
- Pick: USC moneyline (+135 at BetMGM)
College Football Parlay Pick #3: Iowa +5.5
I’m taking Iowa getting 5.5 points. The Hawkeyes have allowed only 13 points through three games, and their defense leads the FBS at 176.7 yards allowed per game entering this matchup.
The schedule qualifies those numbers. Two shutouts came against Northern Illinois and Northern Iowa, so I am not expecting Iowa to hold Michigan to the same output. What I like is having more than a field goal in a matchup where both defenses have played well.
Iowa’s rushing attack also gives it a way to sustain possessions. The team is averaging 268 rushing yards, although last week’s 422 against Northern Iowa lifted that figure. Michigan has allowed only 220 total yards per game, which makes repeating that production unlikely.
Hank Brown is making his first career road start, and that is the clearest risk to my pick. I’m asking Iowa to stay close rather than win outright. I would not replace +5.5 with a much shorter number simply to keep this parlay intact.
- Pick: Iowa +5.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Before placing the parlay, eligible new customers can claim the BetMGM promo code when building the ticket. I would keep the stake modest: all three selections have to win for a standard three-leg parlay to cash.