A Star Is Born Leads 2019 Golden Globe Odds
- The 2019 Golden Globe nominees were announced on Dec. 6, 2018
- Sportsbooks have posted early odds for the biggest categories
- A Star Is Born is the prohibitive favorite to win Best Motion Picture (Drama), despite it being more of a musical
The 76th annual Golden Globe Awards take place on Jan. 6th, 2019, at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills. The nominations came out on Thursday and, as usual, there are some confusing elements.
First and foremost, the very musical A Star Is Born submitted in the Best Drama category.
Okay, let’s talk about the #GoldenGlobes nominees. Why do they have a separate musical or comedy category if they’re going to nominate A Star is Born and Bohemian Rhapsody for best drama anyways?
— Dave Ferraro (@Dave_Ferraro) December 7, 2018
But now is not the time to get into the idiosyncrasies of the Hollywood Foreign Press. Now is the time to scrutinize the early odds for the three biggest categories.
Below, find the opening odds from online sportsbooks in Best Motion Picture (Drama), Best Motion Picture (Musical or Comedy), and Best TV Series (Drama), along with our early betting advice.
2019 Golden Globe Odds
Best Motion Picture – Drama
| Favorites to win Best Motion Picture – Drama | Odds (Dec. 7) |
|---|---|
| A Star Is Born | -400 |
| If Beale Street Could Talk | +400 |
| BlacKkKlansman | +750 |
| Black Panther | +1200 |
| Bohemian Rhapsody | +1600 |
Betting Advice: Even though A Star Is Born probably belongs in the next category, it’s still going to win Best Drama. It’s already a 1/1 favorite to win the Best Picture Oscar, and its main contender there is Roma, a Mexican film by Alfonso Cuaron which isn’t eligible for the Best Drama GG.
Betting on any other film here is a donation to your local sportsbook.
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
| Favorites to win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy | Odds (Dec. 7) |
|---|---|
| Green Book | +175 |
| The Favourite | +175 |
| Vice | +200 |
| Mary Poppins Returns | +900 |
| Crazy Rich Asians | +1000 |
Betting Advice: Vice, which garnered the most nominations (6), isn’t out until Christmas and the dark satire is an awkward fit in the Best Comedy category. But there’s value on it here at +200 given the subject matter (George W. Bush’s selection of Dick Cheney as his running mate) and the GG’s voting body (foreign journalists), a group that loves to see a certain element of the American political spectrum get its comeuppance.
Best TV Series – Drama
| Favorites to win Best TV Series – Drama | Odds (Dec. 7) |
|---|---|
| Killing Eve | -150 |
| Homecoming | +325 |
| Pose | +550 |
| The Americans | +600 |
| Bodyguard | +750 |
Betting Advice: This is a weak year for Best TV Drama. Note that favorite Killing Eve stars Sandra Oh, who is co-hosting the awards show with Andy Samberg. The GG’s have a well-known “you scratch my back, I’ll scratch yours” history.
The best advice we can offer at this point, though, is to fade The Americans, which has been running since 2013 but never even received a nomination until this year.
Each of the last four winners (The Handmaid’s Tale, The Crown, Mr. Robot, and The Affair) won after their first season. The Americans is the only nominee that doesn’t fit that description this year.
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
