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Opening 2023 Emmy Odds & Predictions – Succession Heavily Favored to Win Outstanding Drama

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by Graham "GSM" Matthews in Entertainment

Updated Jul 17, 2023 · 7:43 PM PDT

Kieran Culkin of Succession nominated for Best Actor in the Emmy Odds
Jan 6, 2019; Beverly Hills, CA, USA; Kieran Culkin arrives at the 76th Golden Globe Awards at the Beverly Hilton. Mandatory Credit: Dan MacMedan-USA TODAY NETWORK (Via OlyDrop) Xxx Entertainment 76th Golden Globe Awards 20190106 Usa Djm 566 Jpg E Ent Usa Ca
  • The 2023 Emmys will air live on Monday, September 18th
  • Early predictions are available for potential nominations and winners
  • Who do the opening odds favor winning in the major categories?

The nominees for the 2023 Emmys, set to take place Monday, September 18th, have officially been unveiled and all of the obvious suspects are present.

Succession will be stealing multiple awards this year and rightfully so. The widespread success of its recent season is still fresh in the minds of viewers, along with Ted Lasso, The Bear and other critically-acclaimed series.

With sportsbooks now offering early betting odds for each of the main categories, let’s look at the shows and actors currently expected to emerge victorious at the 2023 Emmys.

Outstanding Comedy Series Odds

Film Odds
Ted Lasso -150
The Bear +250
Abbot Elementary +350
Jury Duty +800
Barry +1500
Wednesday +1500
Only Murderers In The Building +2500
The Marvelous Ms. Maisel +2500

2023 Emmy odds as of July 17. Browse the top sports betting sites

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Ted Lasso Favored to Win Outstanding Comedy Series

It’s rare that a show feels as complete as Ted Lasso with viewers leaving it wanting more but knowing it ended practically perfectly. All three seasons were beautifully crafted, but this third and final season specifically was wonderful and had one of the most heartwarming, satisfying finales you’ll ever see.

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Thus, it should come as no surprise it’s a shoe-in to win Outstanding Comedy Series this year. The Bear and Abbot Elementary trail behind at +250 and +350 in the odds, respectively, but Ted Lasso feels like a lock.

The final season of Barry and Wednesday are honorable mentions but won’t win, hence their longshot prices in the 2023 Emmy odds.

Outstanding Drama Series Odds

Film Odds
Succession -1500
The White Lotus +600
The Last Of Us +700
Better Call Saul +1200
The Crown +1200
Andor +3000
House Of The Dragon +3000
Yellowjackets +3000

Succession Favored to Win Outstanding Drama Series

Succession also recently had its final run in the form of a fourth season and it was equally fulfilling. It’s been a hit for HBO since its inception five years ago with every season reaching new heights of insanity and suspense.

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As an extreme heavy favorite, there’s no reason to assume anything else will have the slightest chance of winning Outstanding Drama, but there are some strong candidates included in the nomination list. The White Lotus and The Last of Us were extremely well-received for HBO, and Better Call Saul wrapped up on a high note last year.

Lead Actor (Drama) Odds

Film Odds
Kieran Culkin (Succession) +125
Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul) +250
Jeremy Strong (Succession) +250
Jeff Bridges (The Old Man) +800
Pedro Pascal (The Last Of Us) +800
Brian Cox (Succession) +2000

Kieran Culkin Favored to Win Lead Actor (Drama)

Continuing on with the Succession praise, Kiernan Culkin was remarkable in his role as Roman Roy, but Bob Odenkirk deserves his flowers as well for his portrayal of Saul Goodman in Better Call Saul. He was pivotal to the success of the Breaking Bad spin-off series and is a credible runner-up at +250 in the odds, alongside Succession star Jeremey Strong.

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The recency bias with Succession is bound to give it an edge over Better Call Saul, and of the two Succession standouts, Culkin is the better bet.

Lead Actress (Drama) Odds

Film Odds
Sarah Snook (Succession) -1000
Melanie Lynskey (Yellowjackets) +400
Bella Ramsey (The Last Of Us) +700
Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale) +1200
Keri Russel (The Diplomat) +2000
Sharon Hogan (Bad Sisters) +2000

Sarah Snook Favored to Win Lead Actress (Drama)

The conversation surrounding Lead Actress for a Drama hasn’t been as disputed this year with Sarah Snook of Succession fame being the clear-cut favorite. She’s firmly leading the Lead Actress Emmy odds at -1000 and will likely remain in the top spot.

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Yellowjackets may not win Outstanding Drama Series, but the rave reviews Melanie Lynskey received for her role in the show have her at +400 in the odds with Bella Ramsey trailing not far behind at +700. Elisabeth Moss, Kerri Russel and Sharon Hogan round out the top nominees but are longshots compared to Snook two months out from the Emmys.


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