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WWE Payback 2023 Odds, Picks & Predictions

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by Graham "GSM" Matthews in Entertainment

Updated Aug 30, 2023 · 7:30 PM PDT

Seth Freakin’ Rollins at WWE event
Apr 1, 2023; Inglewood, CA, USA; Seth Freakin’ Rollins during Wrestlemania Night 1 at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
  • WWE Payback will emanate from PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh on Saturday, September 2nd, 2023
  • Shinsuke Nakamura will challenge Seth Rollins for the World Heavyweight Championship
  • Who do betting odds favor emerging victorious in each bout? See odds, analysis, and our best bets below

Despite the lack of buzz surrounding the event, WWE Payback this Saturday, September 2nd in Pittsburgh promises to be a must-see show with what’s on tap.

The World Heavyweight Championship will take center stage as Seth Rollins defends against the motivated Shinsuke Nakamura. There will also be two specialty matches as Becky Lynch and Trish Stratus settle their score in a Steel Cage match while The Judgment Day challenge Undisputed WWE Tag Team champions Kevin Owens and Sami Zayn in a Steel City Street Fight.

Ahead of the anticipated event, let’s take a look at the favorites that are expected to emerge victorious in the biggest bouts at WWE Payback 2023, according to our own betting odds and analysis.

WWE Payback 2023 Odds

Singles Match Odds
LA Knight -900
The Miz +400
Women’s World Championship Match Odds
Rhea Ripley (c) -400
Raquel Rodriguez +300
United States Championship Match Odds
Rey Mysterio (c) -500
Austin Theory +400
Undisputed WWE Tag Team Championship Steel City Street Fight Odds
Sami Zayn and Kevin Owens (c) -150
Finn Balor and Damian Priest +100
Steel Cage Match Odds
Becky Lynch -1900
Trish Stratus +200
World Heavyweight Championship Match Odds
Seth Rollins (c) -300
Shinsuke Nakamura +250

Odds as of Aug. 30. Browse the top sports betting sites.

Knight vs Miz Pick

LA Knight is finally getting the aggressive push many hoped for him, but before he can challenge for championship gold, he must first shut the mouth of The Miz and prove he’s more than a one-hit-wonder. Considering Miz has won only one match all 2023 long, this seems like a slam-dunk victory for Knight at -900 in the odds.

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It’s possible Miz pulls out the victory to keep the feud alive, but it makes more sense for Knight to maintain his momentum.

Women’s World Championship Prediction

This will mark Rhea Ripley’s first defense of the Women’s World Championship on pay-per-view since Night of Champions, and although Raquel Rodriguez comes off as a bigger threat to the title than most, it’s not yet her time to be crowned champ.

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WWE must do more to make Rodriguez more interesting as a character and continuing to chase Ripley may help with that. Even after five months, Ripley’s run is only just getting started, making her the favorite at -400.

United States Championship Best Bet

Rey Mysterio recently put an end to Austin Theory’s forgettable reign as United States champion and Theory can’t be built back up if he regains the gold. That should make it obvious that Mysterio is retaining at Payback, but WWE could easily have Theory regain the gold by booking Santos Escobar to betray Mysterio in shocking fashion.

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Thus, Theory has a slight chance at +400, but Mysterio is the better bet. Mysterio vs. Escobar appears to be a long-term story and nothing imminent.

Undisputed WWE Tag Team Championship Pick

The Judgment Day have been a massive thorn in the side of Sami Zayn and Kevin Owens for many months and Payback will provide the Undisputed Tag Team champions a chance to eliminate them as a threat once and for all. The Steel City Street Fight stipulation will ensure it’s a decisive victory as well.

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At -150, Owens and Zayn have the slight edge as they have many more teams to defend against from Raw and SmackDown. Finn Balor and Damian Priest, on the other hand, are on the brink of collapse and can use this loss to move their storyline forward.

Lynch vs Stratus Prediction

The heated Becky Lynch vs. Trish Stratus feud has lasted long enough and will culminate with their Steel Cage match at Payback. The story has been that Lynch can’t beat Stratus, so this must be where she gives the WWE Hall of Famer her comeuppance and emphatically comes out on top.

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The expected outcome makes Lynch the biggest favorite in the odds than anyone else on the card at -1900.

World Heavyweight Championship Best Bet

WWE has done a commendable job of attempting to present Shinsuke Nakamura as a credible challenger to Seth Rollins in the weeks preceding the pay-per-view. He’s found his footing as a heel and is bound to have a terrific match with Rollins.

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That said, it’s clear Nakamura is a filler opponent for Rollins, who is primed to defend against Cody Rhodes later this year. Nakamura is the underdog at +250, but Rollins retaining is the smarter choice as their rivalry rolls on.


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