- Justin Thomas leads by one shot over Jon Rahm after 54 holes at the Zozo Championship at Sherwood
- Twelve golfers within four shots of the lead at a course where going low is mandatory
- See the updated live odds at Sherwood Country Club heading into Sunday’s final round
Following the third round of the Zozo Championship at Sherwood, if you aren’t making a ton of birdies you are getting completely lapped, with 19-under-par the leading score. Justin Thomas characterized his third round 5-under-67 as a decent round, which for many other tournaments would be considered a very strong day, but that’s around the norm at this easy course.
Thomas and Jon Rahm were the top two favorites entering the week and in a rarity, they are the top two on the leaderboard entering Sunday as well. With the course totally defenseless, a blistering round of 64 or better is out there, as 10 rounds have occurred already this week, with Rahm shooting a 63 on moving day.
Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets to make for Sunday’s final round.
Live Zozo Championship at Sherwood Odds
Odds taken October 24th at DraftKings
Justin Thomas Has Lost Last Two 54-Hole Leads
In the first nine holes of this event, Justin Thomas was sputtering around with a pedestrian even par score. On the back nine, he blitzed the course with a 7-under-29, setting himself up in position to contend and he hasn’t looked back in the two rounds that have followed.
With birdies on two of his three final holes, Justin Thomas takes a one-stroke lead into the final round @zozochamp.
It is his 14th career 54-hole lead/co-lead on the PGA TOUR. He has converted eight into victories.
— PGA TOUR Communications (@PGATOURComms) October 25, 2020
JT finds himself one ahead of Rahm, and despite the fact that Thomas has won in eight of the 13 times he’s led going into the final round, he’s dropped his last two at the WGC-Mexico Championship and Workday Charity Open this year when he was out in front.
The somewhat concerning stat is that Thomas ranks T-33 this week in greens in regulation, hitting just 38 of 54. He’s been able to work around that because he’s been third in putting, but on a course where droves of birdies are required, that might not hold up when the pressure ratchets up on Sunday.
Jon Rahm Primed For Another Victory
Spaniard Jon Rahm tied for the low round of the day on Saturday with a scintillating 9-under, 63, where he shot six under in the first seven holes. This week, he’s first in greens in regulation, second in scrambling, second in strokes gained tee-to-green and has made just one bogey in his last 45 holes.
Birdie, Eagle, Birdie, Par, Birdie.
Jon Rahm is feeling it on moving day.pic.twitter.com/4BubiLCwL6
— GOLFTV (@GOLFTV) October 24, 2020
Rahm is fifth in SG: approach-the-green this week while leader Thomas is 24th, which again points to Rahm perhaps making it three 54-hole leads in a row dropped by JT. While the odds are very similar, the slightly better value on Rahm is more enticing given their stats through three rounds.
Best Live Value Picks for Zozo Championship at Sherwood
- Patrick Cantlay (+1200): We were high on Cantlay coming into the week because he loves bentgrass, ranking first on tour in the last 50 rounds of players competing this week. Only golfer through 54 holes without a bogey on his card. Both of his wins have been when he trailed entering the final day.
- Sebastian Munoz (+2000): The first round leader has posted the most birdies (23) this week and is also first in strokes gained approaching the green, picking up over eight shots on the field despite losing over two shots off the tee (65th). Benefits by avoiding a threesome with the big guns like Thomas and Rahm so he can just play his own game without the added pressure.
- Bubba Watson (+3300): Has found a resurgence in his game, posting T-7, T-16, T-18, T-31 finishes in his last four events, so he’s close to breaking through. Says he loves this course which is key for his success which strongly varies based on his feelings about a track. Third off the tee and T-4 in greens in regulation this tournament.
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