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2021 Olympic Men’s Golf 4th Round Odds, Preview and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Jul 31, 2021 · 10:31 AM PDT

Hideki Matsuyama of Japan watches his tee shot on the first hole during the third round of the men's golf event at the 2020 Summer Olympics on Saturday, July 31, 2021, in Kawagoe, Japan. (AP Photo/Andy Wong)
  • Xander Schauffele leads the Olympic Men’s Golf competition by one shot after round three
  • Ten golfers are within four shots of jam packed leaderboard
  • See the updated odds at Kasumigaseki Country Club below for Saturday’s (in North America) final round within the story below

The battle for three medals at the Olympic Men’s Golf competition will be a fierce one as the leaderboard is littered with big name players. Heading that list is American Xander Schauffele, who entered the championship with the second shortest odds to win gold. He posted his second round of 3-under, 68 this week, sandwiched in between a brilliant 63 in the second round. The X-Man has made at least five birdies in all three trips around the Kasumigaseki Country Club.

Local hero Hideki Matsuyama is just one stroke behind as he attempts to win gold on home soil after already becoming the first Japanese male to win a major championship at the Masters. Matsuyama has been outstanding the last two rounds, as he’s had just one blemish on his scorecard. Should they both stumble, major champions Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry are lurking, ready to pounce.

Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets heading into the final round.

Updated Men’s Olympic Golf Odds to Win Gold

Golfer Position Score Odds
Xander Schauffele (USA) 1st -14 +175
Hideki Matsuyama (JAP) 2nd -13 +280
Paul Casey (GBR) T-3rd -12 +700
Rory McIlroy (NIR) T-5th -11 +1000
Carlos Ortiz (MEX) T-3rd -12 +1200
Sebastian Munoz (COL) T-5th -11 +2200
Mito Pereira (CHL) T-5th -11 +2200
Shane Lowry (IRE) T-9th -10 +2900
Sepp Straka (AUT) T-5th -11 +3300
Tommy Fleetwood (GBR) T-9th -10 +3300

Odds as of July 31st at FanDuel

Matsuyama With Sights Set On Gold

The top two golfers on the leaderboard are proven winners, and they went head to head at the Masters that Hideki Matsuyama won in April. Schauffele had mounted a furious comeback in the final round before a triple bogey late Sunday sunk his chances. He’ll be out for a measure of payback over Matsuyama this go around.

Of the X-Man’s four PGA Tour triumphs, none have come when he led heading into the final round. He’s also put up two bogeys in all three rounds, while Matsuyama has just one total the last two days. Matsuyama is also second in scrambling after 54 holes, and surprisingly the putter has cooperated, as he’s fourth in putting.

It would be an incredible story to see Matsuyama earn gold on home soil after also capturing a major this season. Given Schauffele’s penchant for struggling with 54 hole leads and Matsuyama’s more consistent game this week, the reigning Masters champs odds at slightly longer +280 are more appealing.

2020 Olympic Men’s Golf Live Value Picks

  1. Rory McIlroy (+1000): After finding himself a full six shots off the pace following round one play, Rory McIlroy has been fighting back with rounds of 66 and 67. The former world #1 is just three adrift, and is a prodigious winner, having taken 19 PGA Tour titles. Tied second in greens in regulation through 54 holes. Seven of his last eight wins he’s shot 68 or better in the final round.
  2. Shane Lowry (+2900): Heading into the tournament we felt Shane Lowry was good value at +2200, and he’s now at +2900. The Irishman begins four back but has the firepower to go low in the final round. He’s made 14 birdies, and is first in strokes gained approaching the green and fourth in proximity to hole.
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