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2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Odds and Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

May 9, 2022 · 6:51 AM PDT

Scheffler driving
May 13, 2021; McKinney, Texas, USA; Scottie Scheffler plays his shot from the second tee during the first round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Jim Cowsert-USA TODAY Sports
  • The AT&T Byron Nelson tees off Thursday, May 12th from McKinney, Texas
  • Scottie Scheffler is the +700 favorite over Justin Thomas
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious and provided the best value bets below

The AT&T Byron Nelson is the last tune-up before the PGA Championship. A lot of the big names haven’t teed it up much since last month’s Masters, but seven of the top-15 are competing this go around. That includes reigning Masters winner and tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler, along with Justin Thomas, who is searching for his first victory this season.

This is just the second year that TPC at Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas is the venue. K.H. Lee won by three strokes last season at 25-under-par, amid soggy Sunday conditions. This championship has been something of a breeding ground for first-time champions, with Lee, Sung Kang and Aaron Wise the last three winners, each making this their maiden title.

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Odds

Golfers Odds
Scottie Scheffler +700
Justin Thomas +900
Will Zalatoris +1400
Dustin Johnson +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Jordan Spieth +2200
Sam Burns +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Joaquin Niemann +3500
Seamus Power +3500
Brooks Koepka +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Jason Kokrak +4500
Talor Gooch +4500
Alex Noren +5500
Adam Hadwin +5500
Jhonattan Vegas +5500
Maverick McNealy +5500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6000

Odds as of May 9th at DraftKings Sportsbook


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Sam Burns Playing Great Golf

Sam Burns enters this championship with the sixth shortest odds to claim the trophy. An argument could be made that he should have shorter than the +2200 odds to win, given his recent play and also course history.

Burns won three starts ago at the Valspar Championship, then nearly notched another title in his latest outing, where he was runner-up at the Zurich Classic. That was also the case last year at the AT&T Byron Nelson, as he held the 54-hole lead. He was surpassed on the final day, resulting in a second place showing. His ‘strokes gained’ stats for that week were unsurprisingly very solid.

Sam Burns’ Strokes Gained Stats At 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson

Tee-To-Green Total Ball Striking Off-The-Tee Approach Around-The-Green Putting
1 2 3 6 6 8 37

His last twelve rounds for the campaign, Burns is ranked first in putting, fourth in approach and fifth in total strokes gained. At +2200 odds, you’re getting solid value for a golfer finding himself as a regular contender more consistently on the PGA Tour.

Last Five AT&T Byron Nelson Winners

Year Winner
2021 K.H. Lee
2019 Sung Kang
2018 Aaron Wise
2017 Billy Horschel
2016 Sergio Garcia

*There was no 2020 tournament due to COVID-19

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Best Value Picks

  1. Cameron Champ (+6500): A healthy Cameron Champ is a dangerous player to contend with. The longest driver on the circuit posted a T-10 at the Masters, then followed that up with a T-6 at the Mexico Open. He held the lead in that final round before an untimely triple bogey knocked him out of it. The three-time winner is first in SG: off-the-tee in his last twelve measured rounds.
  2. Jason Day (+6500): At last week’s Wells Fargo Championship, Jason Day held the lead through 36 holes as he gained over nine shots tee-to-green. A really poor Saturday during awful conditions saw him tumbling down the board, winding up in tie for 15th. The event prior to that he was T-10th at the Zurich Classic. Earlier in the season he finished a shot out of a playoff at the Farmers Insurance Open.
  3. Kevin Kisner (+10000): Phenomenal odds for a golfer that can get hot in a hurry. Kevin Kisner is a perfect boom or bust type candidate, as he’s had two outstanding tournaments in his last five individual events. Kisner was the runner-up at the Dell Match Play and fourth at the Players Championship. In the last 24 rounds, ranks first in putting, which will critical for success with it expected to be a birdie fest.
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