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KBO Picks & Odds (Sep. 1): Hanwha an Intriguing Underdog vs Doosan

Jordan Horrobin

by Jordan Horrobin in News

Updated Mar 5, 2021 · 9:12 AM PST

Doosan Bears stadium in Seoul
The Doosan Bears stadium in Seoul. Photo by Johnny Silvercloud (flickr)
  • Despite just one win in their past five games, the Doosan Bears are overwhelming moneyline favorites against the lowly Hanwha Eagles
  • The LG Twins have taken 10 of 12 games against the SK Wyverns this season
  • See the odds and best bets on all five games in the Korea Baseball Organization on September 1st, 2020

It’s a new week in the Korea Baseball Organization, and that means it’s a new slate of series with fresh matchups.

The Doosan Bears serve as massive moneyline favorites against the Hanwha Eagles, who interestingly have won three of six against Doosan this season.

Here’s a look at the entire slate of KBO games for Tuesday, Sept. 1. Note that all games start at 5:30am ET (2:30am PT).

KBO Odds: Sunday, September 1st

Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total at FanDuel Game Time (Eastern)
KT Wiz -136 -1.5 (+140) Over 10.5 (+100) 5:30 a.m.
Lotte Giants +112 +1.5 (-180) Under 10.5 (-128)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Doosan Bears -460 -1.5 (-182) Over 9.5 (+108) 5:30 a.m.
Hanwha Eagles +330 +1.5 (+142) Under 9.5 (-136)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
SK Wyverns +164 +1.5 (+100) Over 10.5 (-130) 5:30 a.m.
LG Twins -205 -1.5 (-128) Under 10.5 (+104)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Samsung Lions +154 +1.5 (-138) Over 8.5 (-126) 5:30 a.m.
KIA Tigers -190 -1.5 (+108) Under 8.5 (-102)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
NC Dinos -170 -1.5 (-118) Over 10.5 (-118) 5:30 a.m.
Kiwoom Heroes +138 +1.5 (-108) Under 10.5 (-108)

Odds as of Aug. 31.

What to Do with Doosan?

Looking at the Doosan Bears’ matchup on Monday puts bettors in a strange position. Of course Doosan, fourth in the KBO, is favored over last-place Hanwha. But the moneyline odds are so staggering that it’s worth wondering if the Bears present any value.

Doosan starter Raul Alcantara (10-2, 3.04 ERA) would like to make his case, given his season-long success and his one-run no-decision in seven innings against the Eagles last month.

But keep in mind that Hanwha has taken three of the six meetings between these teams. For context, Hanwha has a losing record against literally everyone else.

There’s something about these Bears that kept Hanwha in the fight, it seems. Doosan also holds only a one-run edge on the scoring total between these teams this season.

It’s too tight to give the nod to Doosan, even with Alcantara on the mound. Consider going the unconventional route, with Hanwha’s runline, and hope the Eagles can pull off an upset, or at least keep it tight.

Pick: Hanwha Eagles +1.5 runs (+142)

Twins Torment Wyverns

Some teams haven’t even played each other 10 times, and yet, here are the LG Twins with a dominant 10-2 record against the SK Wyverns.

That success is amplified when you consider the recent results, as the Twins have won the past five meetings by a combined score of 51-14. Yeesh.

YouTube video

As a cherry on top, Twins’ starter Jung Chan-heon is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA against the Wyverns this season.

Pick: LG Twins (-205)

Brooks Goes Long

Starting pitchers that can work deep into games are a valuable commodity, and the KIA Tigers have that in Aaron Brooks. In his past 11 starts, Brooks has completed six or more innings on 10 occasions.

He has also been decent against the Samsung Lions this year, allowing two runs in 5.2 innings for a no-decision.

KIA has won three of the past four meetings against Samsung — by a combined score of 28-17 — and will look to stay above the Lions in the standings with Brooks leading the way.

Pick: KIA Tigers (-190)

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