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Astros vs Mets Odds, Lines & Spread (June 29)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Jun 28, 2022 · 7:59 PM PDT

Astros vs Mets odds
Jun 28, 2022; New York City, New York, USA; Houston Astros right fielder Kyle Tucker (30) hits a three run home run against the New York Mets during the first inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Houston Astros are -125 road favorites over the New York Mets in an MLB inter-league game slated for Wednesday, June 29
  • Houston is 6-0 straight up in the last six games against New York
  • All of the Astros vs Mets odds, picks, predictions and best bets are assessed in the story below

If this week’s Houston Astros (46-27, 26-16 away) MLB inter-league series against the New York Mets (47-28, 24-11 home) is in fact a World Series preview, that could be very bad news for the Mets.

The American League West-leading Astros are absolutely putting a beatdown on the National League-East frontrunners the Mets. Houston will be looking to sweep the brief two-game set with a victory on Wednesday. The Astros also took two games from New York’s NL club last week in Houston. In fact, the Astros have won six in a row from the Mets.

Oddsmakers are on board with a Houston whitewash. The Astros are set as -125 favorites. Houston is 20-11 straight up as an away favorite this season.

Astros  vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Houston Astros -125 -1.5 (+140) O 7.5 (-125)
New York Mets +105 +1.5 (-160) U 7.5 (+105)

Odds as of June 28th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars promo codes.

 

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First pitch at Citi Field for this Wednesday, June 29 game is set to be thrown at 1:10 pm ET. Clear skies, 12 mph wind and a temperature of 81 degrees is in the forecast.

At odds of -125, the Astros are offering an implied probability of victory of 55.56%. A successful $10 wager on Houston would be producing a return of $18.00.

In MLB betting trends, both the moneyline and spread splits show public wagering is supporting the Mets at 60%. The public is also backing the over at 60%.

As far as the AL Division odds go, the Astros are overwhelming -350 favorites to retain their AL West crown. Houston is the +240 second betting choice to win the AL in the MLB pennant odds. The World Series odds show the Astros as third pick at odds of +550. The Mets are at +700 to win the Fall Classic. They’re the -200 favorites to win the NL East and the +360 second betting choice to take the NL pennant.

Houston vs Mets Probable Pitchers

Back in the groove after missing last season due to Tommy John surgery, Astros righthander Justin Verlander is positioning himself to collect the third Cy Young Award of his career. He’s currently the +415 second betting option in the AL Cy Young Award odds.

Verlander rates among the top 9% in AL hurlers in both wOBA (.245) and bases on balls percentage (4.6). He’ll be making his second straight start in New York. Verlander got the decision in a 3-1 Astros victory on June 24 at Yankee Stadium.

The veteran righty is 3-1 with a 2.19 ERA in his past four starts. He’s 2-1 with a 4.80 ERA in three starts against the Mets. In his only career start at Citi Field, Verlander took the loss. He allowed five earned runs in two innings for a 22.50 ERA.

Verlander vs Walker

Justin Verlander
VS
Taijuan Walker
9-3 Record 6-2
2.22 ERA 1.21
3.11 xERA 3.87
0.87 WHIP 1.21
5.25 SO/W Ratio 2.58

At 6-2, right-hander Taijuan Walker is one win away from equaling his season total with the Mets in 2021. He’s won his last three starts while posting a 2.41 ERA.

Walker has pitched at least five innings in nine successive starts. He’s unbeaten (2-0) in four home starts this season with a 2.49 ERA. Walker is also 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA in five day-game starts in 2022.

The righty is 5-5 with a 5.04 ERA in 15 career starts against Houston. The Astros are showing a .285 batting average against Walker.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Astros Batters Batting Average vs Walker Mets Batters Batting Average vs Verlander
Jose Altuve .379 Pete Alonso .000
Yordan Alvarez .000 Mark Canha .357
Alex Bregman .600 Eduardo Escobar .111
Jason Castro .071 Luis Guillorme .000
Mauricio Dubon .000 Ender Inciarte .500
Aledmys Diaz .000 Francisco Lindor .313
Yuli Gurriel .600 Starling Marte .333
Martin Maldonado 1.000 James McCann .333
JJ Matijevic .000 Jeff McNeil .000
Chas McCormick .000 Tomas Nido .000
Jake Meyers .000 Brandon Nimmo .000
Jeremy Pena .000 Dominic Smith .000
Kyle Tucker .500

Houston’s Yuli Gurriel is 3-for-5 (.600) with a homer and two RBI off of Walker. Alex Bregman is also hitting .600 (3-for-5). Jose Altuve is 11-for-29 with a homer and three RBI. Kyle Tucker is 1-for-2 (.500) with an RBI and Martin Maldonado is 1-for-1 (1.000).

For the Mets, Mark Canha is 5-for-14 (.357) with a solo homer against Verlander. Francisco Lindor is 10-for-32 (.313) with a homer and seven RBI. Starling Marte (3-for-9) and James McCann (1-for-3) are both batting .333.

Astros vs Mets Prediction

Yes, it’s only one start, but Verlander’s lone trip to the bump at Citi Field was an unmitigated disaster. Two starts ago, he gave up seven runs – four earned – in a loss to the White Sox.

Walker has proven to be the picture of consistency this season. And it figures that the Mets are going to bounce back from an embarrassing 9-1 loss on Tuesday.

Pick: New York Mets ML (+105)

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