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The Best Home Run Props to Bet Today – Get a +22178 HR Parlay on Thursday, May 8th

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


May 6, 2025; Tampa, Florida, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) celebrates after scoring a run against the Tampa Bay Rays in the eighth inning at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images
  • There isn’t much going on in terms of action in the MLB on Thursday, May 8
  • Still, we have enough games where it’s possible to put together a proper Thrilly
  • See below for my +22178 home run parlay today (May 8th)

Thursday is a tough day. It offers more proximity to the weekend than a Tuesday or Wednesday, but it’s still a far cry from a Friday. It’s basically just a placeholder day when we really get to the nuts and bolts of it. Still, one thing that can be fun to do on a Thursday is gambling, specifically on home runs in the MLB.

Today, we don’t have as many games as we’d like, but we have enough to make a proper Thrilly parlay. All we have to do is find three guys that we know are going yard, and we’re in business. I have faith in us. Feels easy.

Please remember to bet each player straight for the same amount you place on the parlay.

MLB Home Run Parlay Today (May 8)

PickOdds
Ryan McMahon HR (Game 2)+560
Bryce Harper HR+400
Freddie Freeman HR+420
Three-Leg Parlay+22178 (With Boost)

MLB odds as of May 8 at FanDuel. Find the best betting app for Thursday’s MLB slate.

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CLAIM OFFER

Thursday HR Parlay Leg #1 – Ryan McMahon to Hit a Home Run (Game 2)

Ryan McMahon has been in the Circle of Trust for years. Sure, it’s taken him a while to get his bat going this season, but at the end of the day, he’s back to smoking balls, so we’re good. All we have to do is wait for him to see a pitch mix he likes, then set him loose.

From where I’m sitting, Keider Montero’s pitch mix looks like what we’ve been waiting for.

PitchMcMahon Hard-Hit Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Montero ISO vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball53%58%
Slider100%50%

The haters are going to say that we’re late to the McMahon party since he went yard last night, but we know they’re wrong. For starters, Ryan is a “homer in bunches” guy. Always has been. Throw in the fact that Keider Montero is a “homers in bunches” pitcher, and we’re cooking with grease. Feels easy.

  • The Bet: Ryan McMahon to Hit a Home Run (+560) – FanDuel
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Thursday HR Parlay Leg #2 – Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run

What we need following Ryan is a guy that we can’t trust with our lives. Our dinger lives that is. We need a bridge to get us from the early slate to the late slate, and that bridge looks like it could be Bryce Harper. After all, he’s a lefty in Tampa, where dongs instinctively flock like the salmon of Capistrano.

Plus, he absolutely destroys Ryan Pepiot’s pitch mix.

PitchHarper Barrel Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Pepiot ISO vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball13%.579
Slider33%.500

The haters are going to say that Bryce really has been great recently, but who cares? Haters never have anything nice to say, and they’re wrong. There has been plenty of red on Bryce’s EV logs, so he’s hitting the ball hard. All he needs is a short porch in right field and a pitcher willing to work with him a little. Maybe even a little wind behind him. He has all three tonight. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run (+400) – FanDuel

Thursday HR Parlay Leg #3 – Freddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run

By the time this leg starts, we’ll be knee deep in cash just waiting for the final delivery. When we’re in a spot like that, our delivery guy has to be someone we can trust. That someone is Freddie Freeman. Ask anyone.

Brandon Pfaadt doesn’t stand a chance against this guy.

PitchFreeman Barrel Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Pfaadt Hard Hit % vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball18%72%
Sinker25%42$

It’s no secret that the hottest hitter in baseball is Freddie Freeman. The guy has an 11-game hitting streak going. On top of that, he’s got three home runs in his last five games. Honestly, it’s going to take a smoke bomb to get Brandon Pfaadt out of the dugout to pitch to Freddie. But somehow it’ll happen, and when it does, Freddie will go deep and cash this thing for us. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Freddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run (+420) – FanDuel
  • SBD 3-Man HR Strategy Results: -5.963 Units
John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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