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Best MLB Player Prop Picks for Friday, August 4th, Including a +340 Home Run Prediction
By Matt Modi in MLB Baseball
Published:
- MLB player props are available for Friday’s MLB betting slate
- The Mariners have a team strikeout rate of 26.2%, which is the second-highest in the MLB
- Check out the best MLB player prop picks for Friday, August 4th below
I know we’re all excited that we got to experience football again on Thursday night, but let’s not forget that we have a full slate of MLB games to bet on Friday.
First up, we are heading to Los Angeles and taking Reid Detmers to record 7+ strikeouts in his matchup against the Mariners.
MLB Player Prop Picks for Friday, August 4th
| Prop | Odds |
|---|---|
| Reid Detmers Over 6.5 Strikeouts | -148 |
| Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run | +340 |
The Mariners are one of the heaviest strikeout teams in the MLB, and we will be taking advantage of that with our first pick, as we are going with Reid Detmers to record over 6.5 strikeouts.
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Odds as of August 3 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Don’t forget to claim either a FanDuel promo code or DraftKings promo code to bet on Friday’s MLB slate.
MLB Player Prop #1: Reid Detmers Over 6.5 Strikeouts
As mentioned above, the Mariners love to strikeout. On the entire season as a whole, they are the second-highest strikeout team in the MLB, striking out 26.2% of the time. Against left-handed pitching, that number actually increases, albeit slightly, to 26.6% of the time. Either way, a team strikeout rate above 25% is silly.
Reid Detmers, Wicked 90mph Slider. 🤢
5th K pic.twitter.com/mVJtuzKBY2
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 29, 2023
Detmers is a good pitcher in a little bit of a slump, but the Mariners are the perfect remedy for that. There was a stretch earlier this summer where Detmers had hit this prop in five straight games, but since then he has missed in three of four. He still had good strikeout numbers, the issue was he couldn’t last long into games.
Well, another advantage in favor of Detmers is the Mariners are a below average offense against LHP, being in the bottom half in pretty much every stat you could possibly look at, including WRC+, wOBA, Slugging %, and OPS.
Pick: Reid Detmers Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-148)
MLB Player Prop #2: Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run
Kyle Tucker has been on fire recently. He has eight home runs since the beginning of July, which is tied for fourth-most in the MLB in that span, while also batting .350 in that stretch.
Overall, he has excellent advanced power numbers since July 1, with an ISO rate of 30%, up from a season long ISO rate of 20%. He also just hit one yard last game, and he has previously shown the ability to get hot and go on a streak.
King of the Jungle. pic.twitter.com/08f2gYrF7W
— Houston Astros (@astros) August 4, 2023
Aside from this recent streak, there are two reasons why Tucker to hit a dong is a play. For starters, Ballpark Pal predicts the weather will be conducive for home runs to be hit. They also like Tucker’s advantage of going up against Yankees pitcher Luis Severino.
Severino is having a horrible season, if we are being honest. He has a HR/9 of 2.34, which is laughably bad. So bad that if he had pitched enough innings to qualify, it would be the worst in the MLB by a mile.
Pick: Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run (+340)
Matt Modi is a sports betting writer for SportsBettingDime. He offers his best bets for the NFL, NBA, NCAAF, & WNBA. Previously, Matt worked at OddsJam, where he covered all things sports betting. In his free time, Matt likes to take his two dogs for hikes in the Colorado mountains.
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