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Blue Jays vs Phillies Picks & Odds (Sep. 20)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Sep 19, 2022 · 4:20 PM PDT

Ross Stripling pitching for the Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 9, 2022; Arlington, Texas, USA; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Ross Stripling (48) pitches against the Texas Rangers during the first inning at the Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Blue Jays are -120 road favorites over the Phillies on Tuesday night
  • Ross Stripling (8-4, 2.94) will pitch for Toronto against Kyle Gibson (10-6, 4.45)
  • A look at the Blue Jays vs Phillies odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

Two teams trying to position themselves in the wild card races open a two-game series when the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Philadelphia Phillies at 6:45 pm ET Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park.

The Blue Jays (83-64, 40-32 road) lost for just the second time in their last six games Sunday, falling 5-4 to the Baltimore Orioles. The Phillies (80-66, 44-31 home) had their losing streak reach four games as they fell 5-2 to the Braves in Atlanta.

Both teams were off Monday.

The Blue Jays entered Monday in second place in the American League East, 5.5 games behind the New York Yankees but had a 0.5-game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays for the first AL wild card. The Phillies held a two-game advantage over the San Diego Padres for the third and final National League wild card.

Blue Jays vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Toronto Blue Jays -120 -1.5 (+143) Over 9 (+100)
Philadelphia Phillies +100 +1.5 (-170) Under 9 (-120)

Odds as of September 19th at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars Sportsbook promo code.  

The Blue Jays are -120 favorites and have an implied win probability of 54.55%. In the World Series odds, the Blue Jays are listed at +1300 and the Phillies at +3000.

The weather forecast calls for mostly clear, 78 degrees at gametime with a low of 61 and calm wind.

 

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Blue Jays vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

Ross Stripling (8-4, 2.94) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays against Kyle Gibson (10-6, 4.45). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.

Stripling vs Gibson

Ross Stripling
VS
Kyle Gibson
8-4 Record 10-6
2.94 ERA 4.45
3.46 xERA 4.33
0.99 WHIP 1.27
5.10 SO/W 2.91

Stripling has come up big in the pennant race for the Blue Jays, going 4-1 with a 2.42 ERA in his last nine starts.

In his last outing, Stripling allowed one run on three hits in 6.1 innings to beat the Tampa Bay Rays in Toronto. He had four strikeouts and one walk.

Stripling is 2-0 with a 4.08 ERA in his career against the Phillies in nine games (six starts). At Citizens Bank Park, though, he has no decisions and a 7.36 ERA in five games (four starts).

In 13 games (10 starts) on the road this season, Stripling has a 5-1 record and 3.21 ERA. He is 5-1 at night with a 2.34 ERA in 18 games (12 starts). The Blue Jays are 14-7 when Stripling starts.

Gibson is 3-1 in his last six starts despite a 5.10 ERA. He beat the Marlins last Wednesday in Miami when he gave up one run in six innings while striking out seven and walking none.

Against the Blue Jays, Gibson has a 5-1 lifetime record and 4.14 ERA over 10 starts.

Baserunners should beware.

Gibson is 7-3 at home in 16 starts this season with a 3.90 ERA. He has 7-4 record and 4.83 ERA in 16 starts at night. The Phillies are 16-12 with Gibson on the mound.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Blue Jays Batters Batting Average vs Kyle Gibson
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .667
Danny Jansen .500
Cavan Biggio .333
Whit Merrifield .250
Bradley Zimmer .222
Jackie Bradley Jr. .118
George Springer .077
Matt Chapman .000
Teoscar Hernandez .000
Bo Bichette .000
Raimel Tapia .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Ross Stripling
Brandon Marsh 1.000
J.T. Realmuto .600
Bryce Harper .571
Bryson Stott .333
Yairo Munoz .286
Jean Segura .273
Kyle Schwarber .250
Rhys Hoskins .125
Matt Vierling .000
Garrett Stubbs .000
Alec Bohm .000

Gibson has been a tough matchup for the Blue Jays’ Matt Chapman (0 for 12) and George Springer (1 for 13, .077). The Phillies’ Bryce Harper is 4 for 7 with two doubles off Stripling but Rhys Hoskins is 1 for 8.

Blue Jays vs Phillies Betting Outlook

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Danny Jansen hit home runs Sunday, but it wasn’t enough to keep the Blue Jays from losing by one run to the Orioles. Guerrero has +50000 AL MVP odds.

Also Sunday, the Phillies were no-hit by Braves rookie Spencer Strider for 5.1 innings before Alec Bohm hit a home run as they got swept in the three-game series.

The Blue Jays swept a two-game set from the Phillies in Toronto in July. Teoscar Hernandez led the way for the Blue Jays by going 4 for 8 with a double and two home runs.

Since 2016, Toronto is 14-7 against Philadelphia.

TOR vs PHI Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/13/22 Blue Jays Phillies TOR, 8-2
7/12/22 Blue Jays Phillies TOR, 4-3
5/16/21 Blue Jays Phillies TOR, 10-8
5/15/21 Blue Jays Phillies TOR, 4-0
5/14/21 Blue Jays Phillies PHI, 5-1
9/20/20 Phillies Blue Jays TOR, 6-3
9/19/20 Phillies Blue Jays PHI, 3-1
9/18/20 (2) Phillies Blue Jays PHI, 8-7
9/18/20 (1) Phillies Blue Jays PHI, 7-0
8/20/20 (2) Blue Jays Phillies TOR, 9-8

Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction

Stripling is continually coming up with good outings down the stretch for the Blue Jays. It’s hard to pick against him right now.

Pick: Blue Jays ML (-120) 

 

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