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Cubs vs Twins Predictions & Odds (May 13)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated May 12, 2023 · 11:46 PM PDT

Cubs vs Twins. Cubs first baseman Matt Mervis
May 12, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Chicago Cubs first baseman Matt Mervis (22) is congratulated by Chicago Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson (7) after scoring against the Minnesota Twins in the seventh inning at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Twins are -165 home favorites over the Cubs on Saturday
  • Hayden Wesneski (2-1, 3.93) will start for the Cubs against the Twins’ Joe Ryan (5-1, 2.45)
  • A look at the Cubs vs Twins matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The Chicago Cubs and Minnesota Twins play the middle game of their three-game series at 2:10 p.m. ET Saturday at Target Field in Minneapolis.

The Cubs (19-19, 8-8 road) won the series opener 6-2 on Friday night for their second win in a row following a three-game losing streak. The Twins (21-18, 12-8 home) lost for the fourth time in their last six games.

Cubs vs Twins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Chicago Cubs +140 +1.5 (-145) Over 7.5 (-110)
Minnesota Twins -165 -1.5 (+125) Under 7.5 (-110)

The Twins are -165 favorites over the Cubs on Saturday in the MLB odds, giving them a 62.26% implied win probability. Minnesota has +2000 World Series championship odds and Chicago is listed at +10000.

Rain is in the forecast for Saturday morning and evening, but the teams should be able to get the afternoon game in on what shapes up to be a breezy day. It is expected to be cloudy with a high of 71 with an east wind of 15-20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

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Odds as of May 12th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Cubs vs Twins Probable Pitchers

Rookie Hayden Wesneski (2-1, 3.93) is expected to pitch for the Cubs against Joe Ryan (5-1, 2.45). Both will be working on five days of rest.

Wesneski vs Ryan

Hayden Wesneski
VS
Joe Ryan
2-1 Record 5-1
3.93 ERA 2.45
5.65 xERA 2.39
1.28 WHIP 0.84
2.88 SO/W 7.83

Wesneski has a 1.59 ERA in his last three starts while going 1-0. He had a no-decision against the Miami Marlins on Sunday at home in which he gave up one run and five hits in six innings while striking out six and walking none.

This will be Wesneski’s first career appearance against the Twins.

Wesneski has recorded quality starts in three of his seven outings this season and the Cubs are 4-3 when he takes the mound. Wesneski, who has +4000 NL Rookie of the Year odds, is 1-0 with a 2.55 ERA in three road starts and 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA in three starts in day games.

Ryan took his first loss of the season in his last outing on Sunday against the Guardians in Cleveland. He went six innings and allowed two runs, eight hits and no walks while striking out four.4

Ryan has a 1-1 career record and a 4.50 ERA in two career starts versus the Cubs.

At home this season, Ryan has won both starts and compiled a 3.46 ERA. He is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA in three daytime starts.

Ryan has notched five quality starts in his seven games and the Twins are 5-2 when he is on the hill. Ryan’s AL Cy Young odds are +3500.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cubs Batters Batting Average vs Joe Ryan
Trey Mancini .667
Eric Hosmer .500
Cody Bellinger .500
Tucker Barnhart .400
Ian Happ .333
Patrick Wisdom .000
Twins Batters Batting Average vs Hayden Wesneski
Donovan Solano .400
Kyle Farmer .200

Cubs catcher Tucker Barnhart is 2 for 5 against Ryan in his career and Twins infielder Donovan Solano is 2 for 5 versus Wesneski.

Cubs vs Twins Betting Outlook

Rookie Matt Mervis doubled in a run and Yan Gomes hit an RBI single in a two-run seventh inning to put the Cubs ahead 3-2 in the seventh inning Friday night and they went on to beat the Twins.

Christopher Morel hit a two-run home run for the Cubs. Ian Happ finished with three hits and Patrick Wisdom had two hits.

The Cubs placed second baseman Nico Hoerner on the injured list before the game with a left hamstring strain and called up outfielder/infielder Miles Mastrobuoni from Triple-A Iowa. Morel started at second base and went 2 for 5.

The Cubs also activated left-handed reliever Brandon Hughes (left knee inflammation) from the injured list and optioned right-hander Javier Assad to Iowa.

The Twins were held to four hits. Right fielder Max Kepler did not start a day after leaving a win over the Padres with a leg cramp but did appear as a pinch-hitter.

Cubs vs Twins Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/12/23 Twins Cubs CHC, 6-2
9/22/22 Cubs Twins MIN, 5-4
9/21/22 Cubs Twins MIN, 9-5
9/1/22 Twins Cubs CHC, 3-0
8/31/22 Twins Cubs CHC, 3-1
9/20/20 Cubs Twins CHC, 11-10
9/19/20 Cubs Twins CHC, 14-9
9/18/20 Cubs Twins CHC, 10-6
6/21/15 Twins Cubs CHC, 8-0
6/20/15 Twins Cubs CHC, 4-1

The teams have split eight games since 2020.

Cubs vs Twins Prediction

Wesneski is having a fine rookie season, but his peripheral statistics are cause for some concern. Ryan has been good all year and we’ll ride him here.
Pick: Twins -165 ML
Season Record: 16-6 (+8.1 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 20-9 (+9.1 units) overall
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