Dodgers vs Padres Predictions & Player-Prop Picks on June 26
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Dodgers and Padres begin a three-game series tonight in San Diego and on Apple TV
- With Walker Buehler and Roki Sasaki both battling high WHIPs, I’m backing Over 7.5 runs
- Don’t miss the Dodgers vs Padres predictions and player prop picks on June 26th, below
The Los Angeles Dodgers (52-29) head south to open a series against the San Diego Padres (42-37) at Petco Park and on Apple TV tonight. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 PM EST, with clear skies and 70 degree temperatures on deck per the MLB weather forecast.
Los Angeles just secured a 4-3 victory over the Minnesota Twins, powered by a Mookie Betts home run. Meanwhile, San Diego enters with momentum following a 5-2 win over the Atlanta Braves. Ty France went deep to help seal that victory for the Padres.
With elite talents like Fernando Tatis Jr anchoring the home lineup, and Shohei Ohtani fuelling the visitors, this matchup offers plenty of intrigue. Keep reading for my favorite Dodgers vs Padres predictions and player prop picks on June 26th, below.
Dodgers vs Padres Predictions
- Over 7.5 Runs (-147 at Caesars)
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My top bet in the MLB odds is Over 7.5 runs. The Dodgers lineup has been a relentless force this season, boasting a .262 team batting average and a .783 OPS. Conversely, the Padres have struggled to consistently generate offense, lagging behind with a .220 collective average and a .658 OPS.
San Diego will send Walker Buehler (4-3) to the mound, who carries a 3.96 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP, indicating he allows plenty of traffic on the basepaths. This is a dangerous recipe against World Series odds favorites who are loaded with power hitters.
On the other side, Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki (3-4) has battled run prevention with a 4.77 ERA. However, he maintains elite swing-and-miss stuff, posting 9.27 strikeouts per nine innings. Because both pitchers carry WHIPs near 1.30 and are prone to allowing baserunners, leaning toward the Over is a logical game-flow prediction.
Dodgers Batters vs Walker Buehler
There is a stark contrast in familiarity between these two MLB starting lineups, and tonight’s opposing starting pitchers. The entire Padres starting lineup has zero career at-bats against Sasaki, presenting a completely blank slate. This adds an element of unpredictability to San Diego offensive prop markets.
Conversely, the Dodgers have a limited but notable track record against Buehler. Shohei Ohtani has secured two hits in four career at-bats (.500 AVG) without striking out. On the other end of the spectrum, veteran Freddie Freeman has historically struggled to string together hits against Buehler. Freeman has recorded just a .100 AVG with three strikeouts in 10 at-bats.
Dodgers vs Padres Odds
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Dodgers vs Padres Player Prop Picks
- Shohei Ohtani Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases (+108 at DraftKings)
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In the MLB props market, Ohtani will lead the charge, boasting an explosive .963 OPS and 17 home runs according to the batter vs pitcher stats. At +108 odds at DraftKings, banking on Ohtani to record Over 1.5 Total Bases against a pitcher who routinely allows contact is the most attractive value on the board.
If you are looking to build a correlated narrative, I suggest targeting the Dodgers bats to push Buehler out early. Pairing Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases (+108) with Buehler Under 15.5 Pitcher Outs (-161) creates a highly logical Same Game Parlay.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.