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Mets vs Giants Picks and Odds (May 25)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

May 25, 2022 · 6:01 AM PDT

Pete Alonso high-fives teammate
May 23, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso (20) gets high fives by New York Mets second baseman Jeff McNeil (1) during the third inning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mets vs Giants odds favor San Francisco as -130 moneyline favorites on Wednesday (May 25, 3:45pm ET)
  • New York will likely send Thomas Szapucki to the mound for his first Major League start, while San Fran will counter with Jakob Junis (1-1, 2.70 ERA)
  • Read below for the Mets vs Giants odds, analysis and betting prediction

It’s getaway day for the New York Mets on Wednesday, as they wrap-up a six-game road trip with a matinee contest in San Francisco. New York entered play on Tuesday night with the third best winning percentage in the National League (.659), and a commanding eight game lead atop the NL East.

Their fantastic record is even more impressive when you consider their pitching staff has been decimated by injuries. Three of their top-four starters are down including Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom, both of whom began Spring Training as top-tier contenders in the Cy Young odds.

Mets vs Giants Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Mets +110 +1.5 (-180) O 8.5 (-110)
San Francisco Giants -130 -1.5 (+155) U 8.5 (-110)

Odds as of May 24th at Caesars Sportsbook.

 

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The rash of injured arms has prompted New York to call up Thomas Szapucki, and the southpaw is likely to make his first MLB start. The Mets opened as +110 underdogs versus the Giants, in a contest that features a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA, with sunshine and 71 degree temperatures in the forecast.

New York vs San Francisco Pitchers

Szapucki joins the team after an impressive two months at Triple-A Syracuse. He posted a 2.86 ERA in seven starts, racking up 30 strikeouts in only 22 innings.

If there’s a concern it’s his longevity. He hasn’t lasted longer than 5 innings in any of his outings so far in 2022 as he works back from various injuries of his own.

The 25-year-old made his one and only MLB appearance last year, surrendering seven hits and six runs over 3.2 innings of relief work versus Atlanta.

Szapucki (AAA) vs Junis

Thomas Szapucki
VS
Jakob Junis
0-3 Record 1-1
2.86 ERA 2.70
1.31 WHIP 1.01
.247 OBA .232
3.3 SO/W Ratio 5.0

San Fran will counter with right-hander Jakob Junis. The 29-year-old is on pace to set career-bests in most key statistical categories, but is coming off a rough start.

Junis yielded seven hits and four runs to San Diego last time out, posting just two K’s along the way. The Giants have dropped each of his last two starts, and his home run problem from the past two seasons is starting to resurface.

After not surrendering a single home run in his first two outings, he’s now allowed a homer in three straight starts. Last year he posted a HR/9 rate of 1.6 and in 2020 that number was a sky-high 2.49.

Mets vs Giants Betting Analysis

A date with the Mets is not going to fix Junis’ long ball problems given the way New York is swinging the bats. The Mets, a top-three World Series odds contender, belted three home runs in the series opener and crossed the plate 13 times. They’ve now scored double-digit runs twice in their last six games, and own the third best run differential in baseball.

San Francisco’s offense meanwhile, has dried up. They entered play on Tuesday losers of five straight and are fading fast in the MLB divisional odds. They’ve scored three or fewer runs in four of their last five outings, and are dealing with injuries to three everyday starters including Evan Longoria.

NYM vs SF Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
5/23/22 Mets Giants NYM, 13-3
4/21/22 Giants Mets NYM, 6-2
4/20/22 Giants Mets SF, 5-2
4/19/22 Giants Mets NYM, 3-1
4/18/22 Giants Mets NYM, 5-4
8/26/21 Giants Mets SF, 3-2
8/25/21 Giants Mets SF, 3-2
8/24/21 Giants Mets SF, 8-0
8/18/21 Mets Giants NYM, 6-2

Mets vs Giants Pick

These are two teams heading in very different directions. The Mets look like a legit championship contender, while the Giants are struggling badly.

Putting a ton of faith in Szapucki isn’t ideal, but he’s been fantastic in the minors and even if he does struggle New York has a solid bullpen to fall back on. The Mets relievers rank top-11 in WAR so far, and eighth in strand rate.

Junis on the other hand, will have a tough time dealing with this potent New York attack. The Mets have crushed righties this season posting a .405 slugging percentage and .747 OPS, compared to a .354 slugging percentage and .655 OPS versus lefties.

Pick: New York Mets Moneyline (+110)

 

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