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Mets vs Dodgers Odds, Predictions & Picks (April 19)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 18, 2023 · 11:29 PM PDT

Los Angeles Dodgers left fielder J.D. Martinez celebrates in the dugout
Apr 18, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers left fielder J.D. Martinez (28) is greeted in the dugout after hitting a two run home run scoring first baseman Freddie Freeman (5) in the first inning against the New York Mets at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mets are -125 road favorites over the Dodgers on Wednesday
  • Max Scherzer (2-1, 4.41) will start for the Mets against the Dodgers’ Noah Syndergaard (0-2, 5.63)
  • A look at the Mets vs Dodgers matchup and odds can be found below with a pick.

The New York Mets visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in the deciding game of a three-game series at 3:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium.

The Dodgers (9-9, 6-5) beat the Mets 5-0 on Tuesday night after losing their previous two games. New York (11-7, 7-5 road) had its five-game winning streak snapped.

MLB Network will televise the game.

Mets vs Dodgers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Mets -125 -1.5 (+135) Over 8.5 (-115)
Los Angeles Dodgers +105 +1.5 (-160) Under 8.5 (-105)

The Mets are -125 favorites on the moneyline over the Dodgers, giving them a 55.56% implied win probability in the MLB odds. New York has +800 World Series championship odds and Los Angeles is listed at +850.

The weather forecast calls for sunny skies, a high of 71 and west wind at 5-15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

 

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Mets vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers

Max Scherzer (2-1, 4.41) will pitch for the Mets against Noah Syndergaard (0-2, 5.63). Scherzer will be working on eight days of rest after his start was moved back three days because he was experiencing soreness in his side and back. Syndergaard will be going on four days of rest.

Scherzer vs Syndergaard

Max Scherzer
VS
Noah Syndergaard
2-1 Record 0-2
4.41 ERA 5.63
4.46 xERA 3.69
1.22 WHIP 1.25
2.00 SO/W 8.50

Scherzer pitched five scoreless innings and allowed only one hit on April 10 to beat the visiting San Diego Padres in his most recent start. He struck out six and walked three.

Scherzer has a 6-6 career record against the Dodgers with a 2.61 ERA in 20 games (17 starts).

On the road this season, Scherzer is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA in two starts. He won his only start in a day game when he gave up three runs in six innings against the Marlins on March 30 in the season opener in Miami.

Scherzer’s NL Cy Young odds are +1200

Syndergaard will be facing the Mets for the first time in his career. He made his major-league debut with New York in 2015 and was with the Mets through 2021.

His last time out, Syndergaard lost to the Chicago Cubs last Friday at home. He went six innings and allowed three runs, six hits and two walks while striking out nine.

Syndergaard has made two starts at home and is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA. He had a no-decision in his lone start during the day when he surrendered only one run in six innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 2 at Dodger Stadium.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mets Batters Batting Average vs Noah Syndergaard
Tommy Pham .400
Francisco Lindor .333
Starling Marte .000
Dodgers Batters Batting Average vs Max Scherzer
David Peralta .300
Jason Heyward .263
Miguel Rojas .257
Max Muncy .250
Freddie Freeman .225
J.D. Martinez .200
Mookie Betts .200
Chris Taylor .143
Austin Barnes .091

Mets outfielder Tommy Pham is 4 for 10 with double against Syndergaard in his career but right fielder Starling Marte is 0 for 8. Facing Scherzer, Dodgers left fielder David Peralta is a .300 hitter (6 for 20) with two doubles and two home runs while catcher Austin Barnes is 1 for 11 (.091) with seven strikeouts.

Mets vs Dodgers Betting Outlook

J.D. Martinez went 4 for 5 with two home runs and four RBIs to lead the Dodgers over the Mets on Tuesday night.

James Outman added two hits for Los Angeles. The Mets were shut out on four hits, all singles.

Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts, whose NL MVP odds are +1200, is expected to be activated from the paternity list and make his first career start at shortstop. Meanwhile, infielder/outfielder Chris Taylor is likely to miss his second straight game because of left side discomfort.

The Mets called up right-hander Jeff Brigham from Triple-A Syracuse on Tuesday to give the bullpen some reinforcement and he struck out both batters he faced. Right-hander Carlos Carrasco was placed on the injured list with right elbow inflammation.

Mets vs Dodgers Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
4/18/23 Dodgers Mets LAD, 5-0
4/17/23 Dodgers Mets NYM, 8-6
9/1/22 Mets Dodgers NYM, 5-3
8/31/22 Mets Dodgers NYM, 2-1
8/30/22 Mets Dodgers LAD, 4-3
6/5/22 Dodgers Mets NYM, 5-4
6/4/22 Dodgers Mets NYM, 9-4
6/3/22 Dodgers Mets LAD, 6-1
6/2/22 Dodgers Mets LAD, 2-0
8/22/21 Dodgers Mets NYM, 7-2

The Dodgers are 30-13 against the Mets since the start of the 2016 season.

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction

Scherzer having this start pushed back gives some cause for concern, but he still seems like the way to go here.

Pick: Mets -125 ML

Season Record: 9-4 (+3.1 units) ML; 1-0 (+1.0 unit) RL; 10-4 (+4.1 units) overall

 

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