Mets vs Nationals Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers (May 14)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Mets are -210 road favorites over the Nationals on Sunday in their regularly scheduled game
- Max Scherzer (2-2, 5.56) will pitch for the Mets against the Nationals’ Jake Irvin (1-0, 0.84)
- A look at the Mets vs Nationals odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The New York Mets and Washington Nationals figure to have a long day of baseball Sunday, which will be capped when they meet at 4:35 p.m. ET in the third game of a four-game series at Nationals Park. Read on for an analysis of the Mets vs Nationals.
The regularly scheduled game will be played after a game suspended Saturday is completed. The Nationals were leading the Mets 1-0 in the top of the third inning when play was stopped because of inclement weather.
The Mets (19-20, 12-12 road) have won two of their last three games after losing three in a row, six of seven and nine of 11. The Nationals (16-22, 6-13 home) have dropped two of their last three games after winning three of their previous four.
Mets vs Nationals Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | -210 | -1.5 (-125) | Over 9.5 (+100) |
| Washington Nationals | +176 | +1.5 (+104) | Under 9.5 (-122) |
The Mets are -210 moneyline favorites over the Nationals in their regularly scheduled game on Sunday in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 67.74%. New York has +1000 World Series championship odds and Washington is a longshot at +80000.
The weather forecast is much better for Sunday with sunny skies expected, a high of 77 and northeast wind at 7-10 mph.
Odds as of May 13th at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Mets vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
Max Scherzer (2-2, 5.56) is scheduled to start for the Mets against rookie Jake Irvin (1-0, 0.84). Irvin will be pitching on five days of rest and Scherzer on 10 days.
Scherzer vs Irvin
| 2-2 | Record | 1-0 |
| 5.56 | ERA | 0.84 |
| 5.19 | xERA | 4.39 |
| 1.41 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 2.00 | SO/W | 1.14 |
Scherzer was scratched from his scheduled start Tuesday against the Reds in Cincinnati because of a stiff neck.
That came after Scherzer was rocked for six runs and eight hits in 3.1 innings in a loss to the Tigers on May 3 in the second game of a doubleheader in Detroit. He had three strikeouts and one walk.
Prior to that start, Scherzer served a 10-game suspension from Major League Baseball for violating the prohibition on foreign substances.
A former Nationals pitcher, Scherzer is 3-0 with a 4.02 ERA in six games (five starts) in his career against his old team.
The three-time Cy Young Award winner has only one quality start in five outings this season, though the Mets are 3-2 when he pitches. Scherzer is 1-2 with a 7.13 ERA in four starts on the road and 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts during the day. He has +1200 NL Cy Young odds despite his rough start.
The Nationals have won each of Irvin’s first two major-league starts.
Jake Irvin had had never gone past 6.0 IP in his entire professional career.
Tonight – in his 2nd @MLB start – he went 6.1 innings.#NATITUDE pic.twitter.com/8QgiKSWaSg
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) May 9, 2023
Irvin notched his first win Monday by pitching 6.1 shutout innings to beat the Giants in San Francisco. Irvin gave up four hits while striking out five and walking three.
Irvin had a no-decision in his lone start at Nationals Park when he allowed one run in 4.1 innings against the Chicago Cubs on May 3. Irvin will be making his first career start in a day game.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Nationals Batters | Batting Average vs Max Scherzer |
|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | .600 |
| CJ Abrams | .500 |
| Jeimer Candelario | .200 |
| Keibert Ruiz | .143 |
| Dominic Smith | .000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | .000 |
| Joey Meneses | .000 |
| Lane Thomas | .000 |
Nationals second baseman Luis Garcia is 3 for 5 with a home run off Scherzer in his career. Conversely, first baseman Dominic Smith is hitless in 16 at-bats with seven strikeouts.
Irvin has not faced any current Mets hitters.
Mets vs Nationals Betting Outlook
Joey Meneses’ RBI single for the Nationals in the first inning accounted for the lone run Saturday before play was suspended. Washington had four hits and the Mets had two.
The Mets beat the Nationals 3-2 on Friday night as Francisco Lindor hit a rare three-run single. The shortstop has +2000 NL MVP odds.
Bases = cleared@STIHLUSA | #LGM pic.twitter.com/Bdbx7ml8X9
— New York Mets (@Mets) May 13, 2023
Teams are allowed to add a 27th player to the roster Sunday because of the suspended game. The Nationals will call up right-hander Joan Adon from Triple-A Syracuse.
Mets vs Nationals Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13/23 | Nationals | Mets | WAS, 1-0 (Sus) |
| 5/12/23 | Nationals | Mets | XXX |
| 4/27/23 | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 9-8 |
| 4/26/23 | Mets | Nationals | WAS, 4-1 |
| 4/25/23 | Mets | Nationals | WAS, 5-0 |
| 10/5/22 | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 9-0 |
| 10/4/22 (2) | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 8-2 |
| 10/4/22 (1) | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 4-2 |
| 9/4/22 | Mets | Nationals | WAS, 7-1 |
| 9/3/22 | Mets | Nationals | WAS, 7-1 |
The teams have split four games this season, but the Mets hold a 54-36 advantage in the series since 2018.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
Scherzer clearly isn’t right physically, and the Mets have struggled following a hot start to the season. Irvin has pitched well enough to warrant a longshot wager.
Pick: Nationals +176 ML
Season Record: 17-6 (+9.1 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 21-9 (+10.1 units) overall
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
