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Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Picks, Player Props & Odds for June 4

Adam Spencer

by Adam Spencer in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 4, 2024 · 11:00 AM PDT

Luis Gil pitches for the Yankees during a recent game against the Angels.
May 29, 2024; Anaheim, California, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Gil (81) throws to the plate in the first inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
  • The New York Yankees (42-19) host the Minnesota Twins (33-26) in the first game of a 3-game series tonight in the Bronx.
  • Luis Gil (7-1, 1.99 ERA) takes the mound for the Yankees, looking to continue an incredible season. Bailey Ober (5-3, 4.89 ERA) gets the ball for Minnesota.
  • Read below to find the best picks for today’s American League showdown.

The New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins have had some memorable battles over the years. Game 1 of the 3-game set this week figures to be a good pitching duel, as Luis Gil has been elite so far in 2024 and Bailey Ober has been strong for the Twins. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday night and the game can be seen on TBS.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Picks

  • Yankees -1.5 (+120)
  • Luis Gil over 7.5 strikeouts (+130)
  • Juan Soto over 0.5 home runs (+260)

As you can see, I like all things Yankees tonight in the Bronx. Gil has been one of the best starters in baseball so far this year. He should be able to contain a Twins lineup that strikes out more than 8.5 times per 9 innings. In his last 3 starts, he’s been incredible, posting 9, 8 and 14 strikeouts against the Angels, Mariners and White Sox, respectively. The Angels and White Sox have similar strikeout rates as the Twins, too, so those are good games to compare.

You can get Gil for 8+ strikeouts at +130 odds at bet365, which is an incredible value. The Yankees, who have won 4-straight games by 2+ runs, are +120 to do it again tonight. Again, good value there from the folks at bet365. Earlier this season, the Yankees swept the Twins in Minnesota, outscoring them 14-1 in the process.

While Ober has been solid for the Twins, he had trouble keeping the ball in the park in May. In 31.1 innings last month, he allowed 7 home runs, including 3 in his last start against the Royals on May 29. The Yankees lead the majors with 90 team home runs. Juan Soto hit 2 home runs against the Giants on Sunday, and I like him to go yard again tonight, which is +260 at bet365.

Soto only has 3 career at-bats against Ober, but he’s 2-for-3 with 2 doubles and an RBI, so it’s safe to say he sees the ball well when Ober’s on the mound.

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Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-140) +145 O 8.0 (-110)
New York Yankees -1.5 (+120) -170 U 8.0 (-110)

Odds via bet365 as of June 4. Use bet365 bonus code SBDXLM when you sign up today to get $150 in bonus bets when you place an initial wager of $5+.

The Yankees, who are on a 5-game winning streak, are understandably favored in this game, sporting -170 moneyline odds and +120 odds to win by 2+ runs. The Twins are -140 to keep things within a run and +145 on the moneyline. The run total is set at over/under 8.0, with each side having equal -110 odds.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Starting Pitchers

Bailey Ober VS Luis Gil
5-3 Record 7-1
4.89 ERA 1.99
25.0% SO% 31.7%

Clearly, this is a battle of two pitchers who don’t give up much contact. The difference is that when Ober does allow hitters to connect, the ball usually goes a long way. Gil, meanwhile, has only allowed 4 home runs this year to Ober’s 10.

Gil’s 1.99 ERA is good for sixth in the majors, behind only Ranger Suárez (1.70), Seth Lugo (1.72), Reynaldo López (1.73), Tanner Houck (1.85) and Tarik Skubal (1.97). His 7 wins are good enough to have him tied for fourth in the big leagues, behind Lugo and Suárez (9 each) and Chris Sale (8 wins).

Gil is firmly in the Cy Young mix at this early stage of the season, while the same can’t be said of Ober. Still, if Ober keeps the ball from landing in the bleachers too much, he’s capable of pitching some gems. Tuesday night’s game should provide plenty of entertainment.

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