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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Starting Pitchers (Jun. 15)

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in MLB Baseball

Published:


New York Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon delivers a pitch
Jun 5, 2024; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon (55) delivers a pitch during the first inning against the Minnesota Twins at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • We’ve made our Yankees vs Red Sox prediction for Saturday’s MLB rivalry game
  • The Saturday MLB odds favor the Yankees, with New York listed as -175 favorites
  • Read below for Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction, odds, and starting pitchers for June 15th

The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox continue their storied rivalry on Saturday, June 15, 2024, at 7:15 p.m. ET at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

The game will be televised on FOX, with the Yankees entering as -175 moneyline favorites, and the Red Sox as +145 underdogs. The over/under is set at 8.5 runs, with the over at -115 odds and the under at -105.

We’ve made our Yankees vs Red Sox prediction for Saturday, plus provide a breakdown of the betting odds and starting pitchers’ matchup.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

The Yankees (49-22) dominated the series opener on Friday night, crushing the Red Sox 8-1 behind a stellar performance from Alex Verdugo, who hit a two-run homer and tallied four RBIs in his return to Fenway Park.

New York’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, ranking fifth in the MLB with a .254 team batting average, a significant improvement from last season’s .227 mark. The addition of Juan Soto has been a game-changer for the Yankees, as he leads the team with a .320 batting average and a .433 OBP.

On the other hand, the Red Sox (35-34) have struggled with consistency this season but have shown recent signs of improvement. Boston’s offense ranks eighth in the league with a .732 team OPS and is scoring 4.55 runs per game. Rafael Devers has been a key contributor, batting .286 with 13 home runs and 32 RBI.

With Carlos Rodon (9-2, 2.93 ERA) on the mound for the Yankees and Cooper Criswell (3-3, 4.13 ERA) starting for the Red Sox, New York appears to have the edge in the pitching matchup. Rodon has been dominant this season, allowing just 27 runs on 64 hits with 74 strikeouts in 80 innings. The Yankees have won 11 of his 14 starts.

Considering the Yankees’ offensive firepower, the Red Sox’s inconsistency, and the pitching mismatch, we predict the Yankees will win and cover the -1.5 run line.

NY-BOS Pick:

  • Yankees -1.5 (-110)

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds – June 15

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Yankees -1.5 (-110) -175 Over 8.5 (-115)
Red Sox +1.5 (-110) +145 Under 8.5 (-105)

The Yankees are the heavy favorite in this matchup, with -175 moneyline odds, implying a 62.5% probability of winning. The Red Sox, as the underdog, have +145 moneyline odds, indicating a 41.5% chance of victory.

The odds reflect the Yankees’ dominant performance this season, boasting the best record in the American League at 49-22. New York has been particularly strong as a favorite, going 38-15 (71.7%) when favored this season, including a 14-5 (73.7%) record when favored by -175 or more.

Boston’s underdog status is a result of their inconsistent play and the significant gap between them and the first-place Yankees in the AL East standings. However, the Red Sox have shown the ability to compete as underdogs, going 17-18 (48.6%) in such situations this season.

 

Odds as of June 15, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out available betting apps for Yankees vs Red Sox baseball. 

Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers

The starting pitching matchup heavily favors the Yankees, with left-hander Carlos Rodon taking the mound. Rodon has been exceptional this season, posting a 9-2 record with a 2.93 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 80 innings. He has struck out 74 batters while issuing just 20 walks and allowing only 64 hits.

In his last start against the Kansas City Royals, Rodon pitched seven innings, allowing one run on five hits with no walks and three strikeouts in a Yankees victory.

Rodon
VS
Criswell
9-2 Record 3-3
2.93 ERA 4.13
OFF xERA OFF
1.05 WHIP 1.21
3.70 K/BB 3.91

For the Red Sox, right-hander Cooper Criswell gets the nod. Criswell has been inconsistent this season, with a 3-3 record, 4.13 ERA, and 1.21 WHIP in 48 innings. He has struck out 43 batters and walked 11 while allowing 47 hits.

In his last outing against the Chicago White Sox, Criswell struggled, lasting just 4.1 innings and giving up four runs on five hits with one walk and two strikeouts in a Red Sox loss.

The disparity in the starting pitchers’ performance this season is a significant factor in the Yankees being favored in this matchup.

 

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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