Padres vs Giants Odds, Picks, and Predictions (Oct. 2)

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Giants are -xxx home favorites over the Padres on Saturday
- Kevin Gausman (14-6, 2.87) will start for the Giants against Joe Musgrove (11-9, 3.22)
- The odds and matchups can be found below with a prediction
One National Leage West team headed to the postseason plays a division rival going home when the playoffs start next week as the San Francisco Giants host the San Diego Padres at 4:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park in the middle game of a season-ending three-game series.
The Giants have the best record in the major leagues going into the penultimate day of the season. The Padres were eliminated from postseason contention last weekend on the heels of an epic late-season collapse.
Padres vs Giants Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
San Diego Padres | +110 | +1.5 (-190) | Over 7.5 (-115) |
San Francisco Giants | -130 | -1.5 (+160) | Under 7.5 (-105) |
Odds as of October 1st at DraftKings.
It should be a perfect day at Oracle Park with the high temperature forecast for 82 degrees with sunny skies and light wind.
Probable Pitchers
Joe Musgrove (11-9, 3.22) will start for the Padres and face Kevin Gausman (14-6, 2.87).
Musgrove has not factored in the decision in his last two starts, giving up eight runs in 10.2 innings. He faced the National League East champion Atlanta Braves last Sunday in San Diego and allowed three runs and seven hits in five innings while striking out nine and walking three.
Musgrove vs Gausman
11-9 | Record | 14-6 |
3.22 | ERA | 2.87 |
3.94 | xERA | 3.56 |
1.09 | WHIP | 1.04 |
3.69 | SO/W | 4.53 |
In his last seven starts, Musgrove is 3-1 with a 3.56 ERA.
Half of Musgrove’s 30 starts have been quality ones and the Padres are 16-14 in those games. He is 5-5 with a 3.54 ERA in 15 road starts and 1-3 with a 3.99 ERA in eight starts in the daylight.
Musgrove had had a tough time against the Giants this season, going 1-2 with a 7.06 ERA in four starts.
Joe Musgrove talks about his performance against the Giants and the frustrating loss🎙 #HungryForMore pic.twitter.com/S1D4KDz1jp
— Bally Sports San Diego (@BallySportsSD) September 22, 2021
In his career, the big right-hander is 2-3 with a 5.51 ERA in six starts versus the Giants and has a 2-2 record at Oracle Park with a 4.09 ERA.
Since winning five straight decisions, Gausman has gone 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in his past three starts. He had a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies in Denver last Sunday despite yielding only one run on three hits in six innings with 11 strikeouts and no walks.
The Giants have a 21-11 record in Gausman’s starts and 19 of the 32 have been of the quality variety. At home, he is 6-4 with a 3.63 ERA in 13 starts and he has an 8-3 mark in 15 starts during the day with a 2.36 ERA.
Kevin Gausman, Wicked 86mph Splitter. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/RR5A68MaXu
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) September 26, 2021
Gausman has faced the Padres five times this season and is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA. His career mark against the Padres is also 2-1 with a 3.78 ERA in six games (five starts).
Crawford Shows MVP Form
National League MVP candidate Brandon Crawford hits Musgrove well. The veteran Giants shortstop is 5 for 11 with two doubles, one triple and a home run.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Padres Batters | Batting Average vs Gausman |
---|---|
Tommy Pham | .500 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | .429 |
Adam Frazier | .357 |
Jurickson Profar | .313 |
Manny Machado | .294 |
Trent Grisham | .231 |
Eric Hosmer | .231 |
Wil Myers | .143 |
Jake Marisnick | .111 |
Jake Cronenworth | .091 |
Victor Caratini | .000 |
Ha-Seong Kim | .000 |
Giants Batters | Batting Average vs Musgrove |
Thairo Estrada | 1.000 |
Brandon Crawford | .455 |
Tommy La Stella | .400 |
Curt Casali | .400 |
Steven Duggar | .333 |
LaMonte Wade Jr. | .333 |
Kris Bryant | .267 |
Mike Yastrzemski | .250 |
Alex Dickerson | .250 |
Evan Longoria | .167 |
Wilmer Flores | .133 |
Buster Posey | .000 |
Austin Slater | .000 |
Giants second baseman Tommy La Stella is 4 for 10 with a double and a triple off Musgrove. However, catcher Buster Posey is 0 for 7.
Padres superstar Fernando Tatis Jr. has given Gausman fits as he is 6 for 14 with two home runs. Outfielder Tommy Pham is 7 for 14 with one double and one homer.
FERNANDO TATIS JR. JUST BECAME FERNANDO TATIS SR. 🤯
OUT OF DODGER STADIUM 😱
(via @MLB)pic.twitter.com/1tl6c6CLcO
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 1, 2021
Gausman, though, has held infielder Jake Cronenworth to one hit in 11 at-bats.
Padres-Giants Pick
Musgrove has been one of the few bright spots for the Padres in a disappointing season. Yet all signs point to the Giants and Gausman getting the win in this game.
The Pick: Giants -130

Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.