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Red Sox vs Rays Odds, Picks & Betting Trends (April 13)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 12, 2023 · 9:20 PM PDT

Tampa Bay Rays winning celebration
Apr 12, 2023; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
  • Tampa Bay is a -190 moneyline favorite in the Red Sox vs Rays odds on Thursday
  • Boston will give the ball to Corey Kluber (0-2, 6.48 ERA), while Tampa Bay will counter with Jeffrey Springs (2-0, 0.00 ERA)
  • See below for the Red Sox vs Rays odds and predictions

Make that 12 straight wins and counting for the Rays (12-0, 9-0 home). Baseball’s lone undefeated team extended their winning streak on Wednesday by taking down the Red Sox (5-7, 3-3 away) for the third consecutive night, and will now look to complete the four-game sweep on Thursday afternoon.

Online sportsbooks certainly like their chances, as they pegged Tampa Bay as the heavy home chalk in the MLB odds.

Red Sox vs Rays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Boston Red Sox +160 +1.5 (-130) O 8 (-115)
Tampa Bay Rays -190 -1.5 (+110) U 8 (-105)

The Rays are currently -190 moneyline favorites, in a contest that features a total of 8. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm ET inside Tropicana Field, in St. Petersburg, Florida, a stadium where Tampa Bay is 9-0 at this season.

 

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Odds as of April 12 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code.

Boston vs Tampa Bay Probable Pitchers

Despite the Rays red-hot start, they’re still outside the top-six contenders in the World Series odds. They’ll hand the ball to Jeffrey Springs on Thursday, as the 30-year-old looks to maintain his incredible form.

Springs has won both of his starts in 2023, throwing 13.0 innings of scoreless ball. He’s allowed only three hits over that span, and just seven total baserunners. His 13.2 K/9 rate is probably not sustainable, but it’s worth mentioning he has reached double-figures in that category in each of the past three years.

Springs is fresh off blanking both A’s and Tigers, and will be looking to avenge some pretty poor numbers against Boston in the past. He was 0-2 versus the Red Sox in 2022, posting a 4.50 ERA, while surrendering three home runs.

Springs is likely to experience some negative regression over the next few starts, but what he’s doing this year is no fluke. He’s improved in each of the past three seasons, and posted a 2.46 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 25 starts in 2022.

Kluber vs Springs Stats

Corey Kluber
VS
Jeffrey Springs
0-2 Record 2-0
6.48 ERA 0.00
1.68 WHIP 0.54
.273 OBA .075
1.2 SO/W Ratio 4.8

Boston meanwhile, will counter with Corey Kluber who’s fresh off a solid outing after a disastrous season debut. Kluber allowed just a single run and three hits last time out against the Pirates, after getting tagged for six hits and five runs by the Orioles on Opening Day.

The former Ray, and one-time stable in the AL Cy Young odds, has minimal history versus Tampa Bay facing current Rays hitters just 11 times in his career.

Red Sox vs Rays Betting Trends

These are two of the eight highest scoring teams in baseball, with Tampa Bay leading the way in nearly every offensive category. The Rays are first in runs per game, crossing the plate an average of 7.5 times per outing. They also lead MLB in home runs, as well as OBP, slugging and OPS.

Tampa Bay has scored seven or more runs in seven of their past eight outings, including in back-to-back meetings with Boston. The Rays have outscored their opposition by 30 runs in the last five games alone, but they’re certainly not a one-trick pony.

Tampa Bay entered Wednesday’s action leading the Majors in runs against, as well as opponent batting average and WHIP. Their starters have a ridiculous 1.82 ERA and 80.2% strand rate, while the bullpen has been even more impressive. Rays relievers have a 89.4% strand rate and a 1.58 ERA.

Boston on the other hand, is in danger of getting swept for the second time in three series. They lost all three games to Pittsburgh at home last week, and at 5-7 boast the worst record in the AL East.

Red Sox vs Rays Predictions

At this point how do you bet against the Rays? Baseball’s hottest team continues to beat up on anyone and everyone put in front of them, and they can certainly get to Kluber who’s simply not the ace he once was.

Laying -190 however, is not the bet to target. Given Tampa Bay’s offensive prowess we can certainly bank on them to eclipse 4.5 runs. They’ve done so in all but two games this season, while Boston has held enemy hitters to four runs or less only five times in 12 games.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Over 4.5 Runs (-110)

 

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